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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Iran - full evacuation of Tehran?

795 replies

Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 04:18

Genuinely finding it hard to sleep now having seen the news that Tehran - a population of 10 million are being urgently advised to leave. Is anyone else feeling very concerned (and nervous) watching what is now taking place in the ME? It is being reported that Israel have ‘full ariel control’ of Iran?

www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/israel-has-full-control-of-tehrans-airspace-over-100-missile-launchers-destroyed-idf-says/

www.euronews.com/2025/06/17/trump-hints-at-major-israeli-offensive-as-he-urges-all-of-tehran-to-evacuate-immediately

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liveblog/2025/6/17/live-israel-iran-trade-attacks-trump-orders-residents-of-tehran-to-flee

Blasts rock Tehran, Tel Aviv; Iran warns Israel of ‘devastating’ attacks

Blasts rock Tehran and sirens blare in Tel Aviv as hostilities between Iran and Israel continue for a fifth day.

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liveblog/2025/6/17/live-israel-iran-trade-attacks-trump-orders-residents-of-tehran-to-flee

OP posts:
Thread gallery
30
alikelylass · 17/06/2025 21:24

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:22

practically all of Israel’s military apparatus is situated in residential areas. Their command and control centre is rumoured to be beneath a hospital. The irony

The important word here is "rumoured".

Toadstool101 · 17/06/2025 21:26

@alikelylass you need to think critically about this. It will be so painful, because I imagine it’s very important to your own identity to feel pride and security in your leadership and people. I’m not being condescending, I truly believe it must be very difficult to look at this critically.

There are multiple Western doctors who have treated injured and dying children in Gaza. These are doctors moved by humanitarian reasons, and not to push anti-semitic agendas, to work in a war zone. Their testimony is of deliberate shootings of children. Are you familiar with the story of Hind? The little girl in the car with her family? Are you familiar with the recent massacres at aid sites? Are you familiar with the images of IDF soldiers wearing deceased Palestinian women’s underwear? With the photo background of deceased children’s superhero bedding? Are you familiar with the babies in the neonatal unit left to starve? These are not the actions of a military acting in self-defence. This is the action of people, probably acting from their own traumas, in the way of animals. Similar to Hamas.

Hamas were not in the car with Hind. They are not 50 people queuing for aid. They are not in a neonatal unit. Hamas are despicable people. But they are not all Palestinians.

You really must be critical. You are being lied to.

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:28

Re-read this. slowly. It's really important.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 21:28

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:22

practically all of Israel’s military apparatus is situated in residential areas. Their command and control centre is rumoured to be beneath a hospital. The irony

Everyone knows where it is though, if you want to bomb the IDF HQ or the Mossad building (as the Iranians did) you don’t have to go looking for it. They plonked it down where it was visible. Thats very different from firing from someones roof or building a bloody network of tunnels and hiding behind your population like the cowards that Hamas are.

No using your population as a human shield is when you can’t be arsed to build bunkers for them even though you could so they are milling around ulstairs while you sit in your little cubbyhole. Or hiding weapons and access to your tunnels under their homes. The IDF isn’t hiding any of it’s stuff behind or under it’s civilians.

The conversation on mumsnet is entirely insane. The phrase human shield has a specific meaning.

BlackForestCake · 17/06/2025 21:29

If the ayatollahs' regime falls, it will not be replaced by a liberal democracy, but by chaos and pro-Israeli gangsters, and things will get much worse for Iranians. Just look at Syria.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 21:32

BlackForestCake · 17/06/2025 21:29

If the ayatollahs' regime falls, it will not be replaced by a liberal democracy, but by chaos and pro-Israeli gangsters, and things will get much worse for Iranians. Just look at Syria.

Syria is stabilising, there are definitely problems but no it’s not chaos there. It’s bumpy as people look to settle score but it will settle down.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 21:34

Also probably still better than being barrel bombed by assad or disappearing into Sednaya. One guy got sent there for beating an Assad in a polo match. Pictures coming out of there were horrific.

Letstheriveranswer · 17/06/2025 21:35

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 17:08

Are you saying Netenyahu’s regime is safer than the dozens and dozens of Islamic countries where people are living a peaceful life without the aggressions and genocide that his regime has committed? Is that what you are saying?

Edited

Please name dozens and dozens of Islamic countries where people are living a peaceful life?

Thegreyhound · 17/06/2025 21:40

alikelylass · 17/06/2025 21:03

@Toadstool101 "And whenever that’s raised you STILL ask ‘but do you condemn Hamas?’"

That's because it's Hamas that's responsible for the death toll in Gaza.
Anyone that's saying the Israelis are only to blame for this, I strongly disagree with because Hamas, as an organization is operating in civilian areas, densely populated civilian areas, in hospitals, under hospitals, in schools, under schools with human shields.
They're doing so intentionally both to try to protect their fighters, but also to ensure maximum PR information war damage on the Israelis when they target Hamas so that they have to be responsible for killing civilians.

The fact that Hamas is actively doing that - putting their civilians in maximum danger, is to help ensure that they can achieve their own ideological and political goals, it means that they are responsible for deaths of Palestinian civilians.

Hamas has already said it doesn't want to govern Gaza - the area (and it's people) are just a means to an end.

https://mondoweiss.net/2025/02/exclusive-senior-hamas-leader-says-movement-isnt-interested-in-ruling-gaza-but-laying-down-arms-remains-a-red-line/

Edited

Boring

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:40

Letstheriveranswer · 17/06/2025 17:00

Thank you for running - for once - reasoned devate. Rare to see on MN!

Paragraph 1 - 100% agree, nobody wants innocent children hurt or killed and I would add that they shouldn't suffer the psychological abuse of being brainwashed and militarised from the cradle. It also breaks my heart that Israelis grow up knowing that at 18 they have to go into the army and they actually might die defending their actual home and homeland.

Paragraph 2 - my opinion is that there are two ministers in Israel's government who are an absolute disgrace and have no business being anywhere near government. Unfortunately they have Netanyahu in an armlock, as if removed they will collapse the coalition. Netanyahu has many flaws, I am no fan and would not vote for him. He gets some things very right and some things very wrong: he is human. I genuinely don't believe he is the monster he is painted as by all the people on these threads who speak with utter hate and repeat modern versions of blood libels. Once people show hate, for me I close down and the conversation is over.

Paragraph 3 & 4 - wholeheartedly agree re Hamas and Gaza needing a competent government

Paragraph 5 - re people of Gaza - unfortunately I do believe that the vast majority are brainwashed and radicalised so it will take a long time. If a new election was called they are likely to choose another radical anti-Israel government. They currently hate Hamas for what Hamas has done including seizing and withholding food supplies, but they are very far from wanting peace with Israel. This is because for generations they have been kept deprived by Iran, Muslim Brotherhood and proxies, and told that their situation is all the fault of the Israelis who stole their country. This is not historical accuracy - history and borders are complex -but they believe it. This will take generations to undo the radicalisation.

Paragraph 6 - Iran. Hamas, Houthis, Hizbullah are arms of the terror monster. IRGC is the head.

My understanding is that about 80% of Iranian people in Iran are anti regime but heavily oppressed. And that the majority outside Iran are anti-regime, and escaped. The minority in Iran keeps power extremely brutally. I have seen on social media a lot of posts by Iranians in diaspora, showing support for Israel attacking the IRGC. And videos of people on balconies in Iran shouting death to Ayatollah and celebrating Israel's actions. I have never heard an Israeli say a bad word about the non-IRGC Iranian people, I believe there is a lot of mutual warmth there. Iranians outside Iran also come to support on many Jewish marches and protests.

The issue in my opinion is political Islam. Islam seeks to colonise and expand (hence there are very few non-Muslims left in the middle east). Once it has colonised a country it considers it an unendurable shame to give it up: the more I have studied, the more I have come to believe that is their main problem with Israel. Israel was colonised by Muslims in around 800CE and they cannot bear that it is in non-Muslim hands, especially by Jews who really, really upset Mohammed by declining his new religion and sticking with what they already had. Let's not also forget that some Arab countries were in close league with the Nazis.

Everything else - religious and cultural differences, land division, resources, even the painful history of the last 100 years, is secondary to that main issue. All other issues can be resolved but when a movement is unwilling to accept you exist and have a right to live, that is when there is no possibility of resolution.

I also genuinely do not believe Israel wants to occupy Gaza. It's too much hassle. Some ministers have made comments to that effect but it isn't a solution generally wanted. Egypt exported many of their Muslim Brotherhood trouble makers to Gaza, Egypt also did not want Gaza. Nobody wants that headache! Maybe a technocratic government would work but who would sit in such a government who is independent of the current clans and tribalism that exists within Gaza and who has no links to Hamas?

Apologies. this is the post that I thought was overlooked a few pages back and needed a revisit.

Stirabout · 17/06/2025 21:43

Worried what’s next

We have
Trump hinting ( interviews on airforce 1 ) somethings going to go down soon.
Now he’s in a Security council meeting
Netanyahu yesterday told everyone in Tehran to evacuate
Trump tells everyone in Tehran to evacuate

Analysts believe Trump will not join Netanyahus war unless Iran is weakened enough to ensure the US military aren’t in (too much) danger.
Israel has ramped up attacks on missile sites
Israels national security advisor stated the military operation will not end until they have successfully damaged Fordow.
Analysts have stated Israel would need US support for this With their massive bombers and ammunition as its in a highly secure location well under a mountain.

so
It seems
there will be a huge attack on Tehran.
and also an attack on Fordow

but both of these are obvious so What is Trump hinting at. What’s the big secret. Is it that the US will join forces with Israel. ?

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:48

User37482 · 17/06/2025 21:28

Everyone knows where it is though, if you want to bomb the IDF HQ or the Mossad building (as the Iranians did) you don’t have to go looking for it. They plonked it down where it was visible. Thats very different from firing from someones roof or building a bloody network of tunnels and hiding behind your population like the cowards that Hamas are.

No using your population as a human shield is when you can’t be arsed to build bunkers for them even though you could so they are milling around ulstairs while you sit in your little cubbyhole. Or hiding weapons and access to your tunnels under their homes. The IDF isn’t hiding any of it’s stuff behind or under it’s civilians.

The conversation on mumsnet is entirely insane. The phrase human shield has a specific meaning.

But they don’t have to build it in urban areas. They have plenty of non urban areas in Israel so why bills them where they do? In Gaza they really don’t have a choice the whole place is urban.

alikelylass · 17/06/2025 21:49

Toadstool101 · 17/06/2025 21:26

@alikelylass you need to think critically about this. It will be so painful, because I imagine it’s very important to your own identity to feel pride and security in your leadership and people. I’m not being condescending, I truly believe it must be very difficult to look at this critically.

There are multiple Western doctors who have treated injured and dying children in Gaza. These are doctors moved by humanitarian reasons, and not to push anti-semitic agendas, to work in a war zone. Their testimony is of deliberate shootings of children. Are you familiar with the story of Hind? The little girl in the car with her family? Are you familiar with the recent massacres at aid sites? Are you familiar with the images of IDF soldiers wearing deceased Palestinian women’s underwear? With the photo background of deceased children’s superhero bedding? Are you familiar with the babies in the neonatal unit left to starve? These are not the actions of a military acting in self-defence. This is the action of people, probably acting from their own traumas, in the way of animals. Similar to Hamas.

Hamas were not in the car with Hind. They are not 50 people queuing for aid. They are not in a neonatal unit. Hamas are despicable people. But they are not all Palestinians.

You really must be critical. You are being lied to.

You are mistaken.

They are not my leadership or my people.

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:49

User37482 · 17/06/2025 21:32

Syria is stabilising, there are definitely problems but no it’s not chaos there. It’s bumpy as people look to settle score but it will settle down.

Edited

Really? It’s been 14 years in Libya, that hasn’t settled down. They have slave markets in Tripoli now

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 21:50

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:40

Apologies. this is the post that I thought was overlooked a few pages back and needed a revisit.

There is so much crap in that post that I am finding it very hard to even make a start.

This is Iraq and WMDs all over again. Wasn’t Netenyahu bleating on Saddam building WMDs then?

How the history repeats itself.

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:50

Please name dozens and dozens of Islamic countries where people are living a peaceful life?

Oman, Dubai, Abu Dhabi in fact most of the UAE, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia is nearly there too accordingl to my nephew who left for Australia eight months ago. .

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 21:51

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:49

Really? It’s been 14 years in Libya, that hasn’t settled down. They have slave markets in Tripoli now

Edited

Syria is stabilising got to be the joke of the day. The genocidal Neetneayh and Trump and their murderous ambitions!

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:55

Honestly, Israel and the West have absolutely decimated the Middle East. The wilful ignorance is amazing

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 21:55

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:50

Please name dozens and dozens of Islamic countries where people are living a peaceful life?

Oman, Dubai, Abu Dhabi in fact most of the UAE, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia is nearly there too accordingl to my nephew who left for Australia eight months ago. .

That was a manner of speech to compare the ‘only Jewish’ state some posters keep claiming about. (I do not believe Israeli regime had any religion).
Pakistan and Afghanistan used to be great until USA and U.K. planted jihaids there. You will find a large number of historical photographs from both. Malaysia is an amazing example.
Are you implying this is an Islam specific problem? I believe this is a lunatic (mostly) men problem.

tramtracks · 17/06/2025 22:06

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 21:50

There is so much crap in that post that I am finding it very hard to even make a start.

This is Iraq and WMDs all over again. Wasn’t Netenyahu bleating on Saddam building WMDs then?

How the history repeats itself.

No. It’s not. Iran do have the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons. It is nothing like the Saddam Hussein wmd situation. All reputable organisations know and have stated that Iran has the capability. This is irrefutable.
The argument is and should be whether it is right for Israel to remove their capability in view of the perceived threat against it. IMO and on balance - they are right. Others disagree - that is their prerogative and I respect that. After all we are lucky to live in a country where good debate is encouraged and not sanctioned.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 22:06

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:48

But they don’t have to build it in urban areas. They have plenty of non urban areas in Israel so why bills them where they do? In Gaza they really don’t have a choice the whole place is urban.

I mean you can see the difference can’t you. You don’t have to bomb a hospital to bomb the IDF HQ you just bomb the HQ, it’s on google maps. Hiding a HQ under a hospital is the definition of using human shields. Anyone who wants to attack such a site has to decide what level of casualties are acceptable if any, it is literally using humans to shield your military. The IDF building can be bombed without having to worry about killing a bunch of civilians to do so. There are actually street level buildings in Gaza you realise. You can just choose a building and put your HQ in it. The only reason to stick it under a school or a hospital is to discourage attack and also ensure if you get hurt civilians definitely get hurt first.

I’m bewildered by this.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 22:09

Golden407 · 17/06/2025 21:49

Really? It’s been 14 years in Libya, that hasn’t settled down. They have slave markets in Tripoli now

Edited

You said Syria, I responded to Syria.

tramtracks · 17/06/2025 22:10

Papyrophile · 17/06/2025 21:40

Apologies. this is the post that I thought was overlooked a few pages back and needed a revisit.

Thank you. A brilliant and well reasoned, knowlegable post.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 22:13

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 21:51

Syria is stabilising got to be the joke of the day. The genocidal Neetneayh and Trump and their murderous ambitions!

Yes it is, they are opening diplomatic channels, you can now get a direct flight from romania to syria. The security situation is still iffy given how many jihadis there are and weapons are lying around but people are still able to go to a bar or a pub, the court system is up and running etc. they gave over a russian base to the emirates (very good thing) Sedanya is very much closed.

I was really really doubtful about Jolani but I think in the long term it may just work. Lets see if they hold those elections they say they will in a few years.

User37482 · 17/06/2025 22:18

tramtracks · 17/06/2025 22:10

Thank you. A brilliant and well reasoned, knowlegable post.

Love this, extremely sensible.