Trans people, particularly trans women, are overwhelmingly more at risk of harassment or violence from males, not females.
UK Home Office data (2018–2022) on hate crimes shows that most transphobic hate crimes are perpetrated by men.
In the 2021/22 dataset, 84% of hate crime suspects across all categories were male, and there’s no evidence to suggest trans-related hate crimes differ significantly in that pattern.
Galop’s 2020 report on trans people in the UK:
- 4 in 5 trans people experienced a hate crime in the previous 12 months.
- The majority of those crimes involved verbal abuse, threats, or physical attacks, most often from men in public or domestic settings.
International studies (e.g. U.S. Transgender Survey, 2015) also consistently show:
- The perpetrators of harassment, assault, and sexual violence against trans people are overwhelmingly cisgender men.
- In intimate partner violence, trans people are disproportionately victimised, again, most often by male partners.
Women are far more at risk of harassment or violence from males than from trans people.
Violence against women is overwhelmingly male-pattern:
- In the UK, 97% of sexual offences and 78% of violent crimes are committed by men.
- The vast majority of domestic abuse, sexual assault, and harassment is perpetrated by cisgender men.
Trans people, particularly trans women, make up a very small share of the population:
- Fewer than 0.5% of adults in the UK identify as transgender (ONS, 2021 Census).
- Statistically, this means very few offences overall are committed by trans people, and where they are, it’s still overwhelmingly by those assigned male at birth (i.e. trans women), not as a unique category of risk.
There is no evidence that trans women, as a group, pose a heightened threat to women:
- No peer-reviewed UK studies have shown trans women to be a significant source of risk to cisgender women in public or private settings.
- Where risk exists (e.g. in custodial settings), it is based on individual risk profiles, not group identity.
In short, transwomen are more at risk from men than women, and despite the law should in my opinion make their own call which loo to use based on that risk. The chance of encountering a trans person in a bathroom is infinitesimally small, the chance of them doing anything violent even smaller.