It also isn’t as if they don’t pay any VAT. One of our clients is a private school group who had a capital spend projection of £100m over 5 years. They were going to expand their schools, renovating existing buildings, building more accommodation etc. This was an investment in the future of their business. As their projected roll has declined, and their ability to make inflationary increase on fees has reduced, coupled with the NI increase, they have pulled their capital spend programme. Along with the loss of construction work, meaning a loss of tax revenues from that, that’s £20m of VAT on the construction projects.
Incidentally, we’ve also seen universities putting construction projects on hold because of the dire state of government funding, coupled with the absolute shitshow that is the student visa system meaning they are struggling to accept the overseas students who usually boost their income so they can afford to educate UK students. All this along with the same pressures the rest of us are facing, means they are also pulling back on capital spend. More tax income lost.
Unfortunately Labour are too swept up in the politics of populism, and any move they make to try and kick start the economy is met with a collective throwing up of hands because “oh increasing the national debt”
I have no idea how we get out of it, but one thing is for certain, targeting education in a way that will damage the future prospects for our young people is a sure fire way to a weaker economy in the long term. This policy might have gained them a small amount of kudos for those who envy people being able to afford private school, but it will hurt the economy in the long term.