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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Is war likely?

190 replies

user1492538376 · 04/03/2025 16:28

In the UK in the next few years given world events?

What do people think will happen?

My personal view is that it is likely though of course not inevitable - but there is a path now for Europe to step up - but with the mad orange man who knows what will happen.

OP posts:
Differentstarts · 05/03/2025 07:58

War is like an asteroid hitting the earth. There is absolutely nothing you can do about it so no point in worrying over it

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 08:06

TooManyRabbitsAndNotEnoughChickens · 05/03/2025 07:52

Everyone is talking about war with Russia, but the US is threatening to annex foreign territory (Greenland & Canada). I guess it's only a war if anyone stands up to them

Edited

Right – it seems because it’s Donald Trump and he’s regarded as an idiot (and the suggestions absurd) it’s not being taken too seriously.

He has literally stated his intention to invade these countries.

Greenland for one has valuable resources.

I think he’s entirely serious.

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 08:07

Differentstarts · 05/03/2025 07:58

War is like an asteroid hitting the earth. There is absolutely nothing you can do about it so no point in worrying over it

I am actively considering moving. So there’s that!

Greyexpectations · 05/03/2025 08:16

Livelovebehappy · 04/03/2025 23:28

Absolutely agree with this. This country is full of angry, disenchanted people. COL, collapse of infrastructure. We’re teetering on a precipice, and it won’t take much to set things off.

Oh please. We can’t even be fucked protesting against our failing infrastructure, let alone taking up arms. Only the left reliably communes in huge numbers and we believe in democracy.

The far right might be dreaming of a race war (that they wouldn’t win) but it’s not going to happen.

InWalksBarberalla · 05/03/2025 08:18

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 08:07

I am actively considering moving. So there’s that!

Where to ?

Greyexpectations · 05/03/2025 08:31

Newfoundzestforlife · 05/03/2025 07:10

Maybe you shouldn't call him the "mad orange man".
You wouldn't make fun of another race for their skin colour, you wouldn't dare....so don't be a hypocrite.

I don’t think fake tan is a race, mate.

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 08:33

InWalksBarberalla · 05/03/2025 08:18

Where to ?

I’ve been looking at options outside of Europe. No imminent plans to go, but I’m exploring what would be possible if I didn’t like the direction things were heading.

I’ve got Syrian friends I met when we were students in Europe over a decade ago (doctors, other professionals). One of them was always inviting me to visit Aleppo with them, it was just a normal place with a very nice standard of living. You don’t know what’s round the corner.

motorcycle100 · 05/03/2025 09:04

ShutUpForTheLoveOfGod · 04/03/2025 21:33

The US are trying to stop the bloody war fgs.

Er no, the US are trying to stop THEMSELVES spending aid money to stop Putin waging war in Europe, they actually don't give a shit about war in Europe as long as they aren't directly involved , but will happily sell arms to Europe.

motorcycle100 · 05/03/2025 09:06

Newfoundzestforlife · 05/03/2025 07:10

Maybe you shouldn't call him the "mad orange man".
You wouldn't make fun of another race for their skin colour, you wouldn't dare....so don't be a hypocrite.

Fake tans are a race now? For fucks sake.....

Differentstarts · 05/03/2025 09:20

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 08:07

I am actively considering moving. So there’s that!

Moving where? If ww3 starts or an asteroid hits the earth no where will be safe

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 09:29

Differentstarts · 05/03/2025 09:20

Moving where? If ww3 starts or an asteroid hits the earth no where will be safe

Possibly, but if there is trouble in Europe then other places will be safer.

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 09:30

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 09:29

Possibly, but if there is trouble in Europe then other places will be safer.

There are plenty of wars going on in the world right now that don’t involve nuclear weapons.

Differentstarts · 05/03/2025 09:39

kungfoofighting · 05/03/2025 09:29

Possibly, but if there is trouble in Europe then other places will be safer.

World War means world war nowhere would be safe. I think your worrying unnecessarily. To quit your job and leave your friends and family over something that will most likely not happen is extreme. Maybe a chat with your gp would be a good idea

chaosmaker · 05/03/2025 09:45

China has also been pushing misinformation and meddling in our elections from bot farms. Not just Russia.

Clearinguptheclutter · 05/03/2025 10:00

not necessarily likely but getting likelier.

A big part of the reason we've avoided it thus far is Russia knew America had Europe's back. Not any more.

If Putin gets what he wants in Ukraine and thinks we I dont believe for a second he will just stop there.And when he invades Lithuania or Poland all bets are off.

BookGoblin · 05/03/2025 10:11

sparrowflewdown · 04/03/2025 22:09

A civil war - without a doubt. I predicted this 10 years ago.
WW3 - yes in some form, possibly small missiles but most likely cyber strikes affecting, air, health, banking, utilities etc.

Edited

Out of interest, are you male or female?

sparrowflewdown · 05/03/2025 10:22

BookGoblin · 05/03/2025 10:11

Out of interest, are you male or female?

Why?

ThatMerryReader · 05/03/2025 11:11

War has always been likely at any stage of human history. Just pick up a random number between -4000 and 2025 and I can almost guarantee that there were a few wars taking place somewhere in the world.

The nature of the next war is what is really a mystery. The threat of nuclear annihilation is there so war will come in very bizarre and not traditional form. It will be not so much by employing weaponry but economic and social aggression with a good dose of cyber attacks and terrorism galore.

TooManyRabbitsAndNotEnoughChickens · 05/03/2025 11:40

InWalksBarberalla · 05/03/2025 08:18

Where to ?

Try Russia. It's up and coming.

Nodddy · 05/03/2025 11:43

Yes. At some point Europe will need to stop Russia. The sooner we do this in Ukraine where the Russian army is bogged down, the better. If Ukraine falls, we lose a massive army, and open the door to Moldova and Romania being invaded too.

Turkey should be brought into the alliance too. No time like the present.

MistressoftheDarkSide · 05/03/2025 12:02

ThatMerryReader · 05/03/2025 11:11

War has always been likely at any stage of human history. Just pick up a random number between -4000 and 2025 and I can almost guarantee that there were a few wars taking place somewhere in the world.

The nature of the next war is what is really a mystery. The threat of nuclear annihilation is there so war will come in very bizarre and not traditional form. It will be not so much by employing weaponry but economic and social aggression with a good dose of cyber attacks and terrorism galore.

Edited

This.

No point worrying too much about "traditional" boots on the ground warfare or invasion, because the concept of war has changed.

The film "Leave the World Behind", and the series "Zero Day" are of course heavily fictionalised, but do give glimpses into what might constitute war in countries where all out destruction is economically undesirable, but where infrastructure is vulnerable due to dependence on technology. Another series that is eye opening is "The Capture".

Economic warfare is happening all the time, and cyber attack is going on in the background all the time.

Whenever there's a significant outage that affects a service, eg. When Three went down fir over 12 hours, we're told it's just a technical glitch, yet it could be something more sinister, but we'll never know because we have to be kept calm and carry on.

Not alot we plebs can do about it except keep half an eye on things, and do some now deemed sensible mild prepping. And having three days of supplies etc has been deemed officially sensible in recent times by several European governments, and our own.

My mantra is very much hope for the best, but be somewhat prepared for the worst.

BookGoblin · 05/03/2025 12:10

@sparrowflewdown

I was wondering, given the confidence of your assertion

MaggieMistletoe · 05/03/2025 12:27

I'm not sure there's much point prepping beyond just a fairly tame 'water & power off for several days' situation. If anything more extreme than that happened then armed gangs would very quickly take control of the cities, with raiding parties going out in vehicles to loot systematically from houses after all the shops and public buildings had been looted. There would also be individuals in every locality who are desperate and very comfortable with violence and weapons. So people who were well prepped would quickly be robbed/killed. Most Brits are naturally peaceful and unused to violence and wouldn't be able to withstand the sheer level of brutality of the gangs. Its possible the police and army could suppress gangs and riots in the cities but I have my doubts, they'd certainly be outnumbered in London where many hundreds of thousands are from countries and backgrounds where survival via violence is normalised.

TemporaryPosition · 05/03/2025 14:01

IcyPenguin101 · 05/03/2025 07:24

Isn’t he talking about civil war rather than ww3?

Yes he is. But the OP just said war for the UK

TemporaryPosition · 05/03/2025 14:01

MaggieMistletoe · 05/03/2025 12:27

I'm not sure there's much point prepping beyond just a fairly tame 'water & power off for several days' situation. If anything more extreme than that happened then armed gangs would very quickly take control of the cities, with raiding parties going out in vehicles to loot systematically from houses after all the shops and public buildings had been looted. There would also be individuals in every locality who are desperate and very comfortable with violence and weapons. So people who were well prepped would quickly be robbed/killed. Most Brits are naturally peaceful and unused to violence and wouldn't be able to withstand the sheer level of brutality of the gangs. Its possible the police and army could suppress gangs and riots in the cities but I have my doubts, they'd certainly be outnumbered in London where many hundreds of thousands are from countries and backgrounds where survival via violence is normalised.

Maybe they should have thought of that

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