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Reform UK neck and neck with Labour?

1000 replies

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:09

Absolutely shocked to read that in a poll Reform UK are neck and neck with Labour...

About 25% polling share for Reform and Labour.

I thought Blair was the worst PM ever, but Starmer seems to be giving him a run for his money.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
28
Goldenyears2024 · 10/01/2025 13:17

Re poll on previous page.

These are the not the current figures. These are the current guesses.

Who commissioned the "poll", how was it paid for and by whom, how was it delivered, how did they avoid confounding bias such as self selection or only certain demographics?

username299 · 10/01/2025 13:17

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 12:55

Tbh, I agree with you. Big Business loves mass immigration because it reduces wages.

What I don't understand is, Labour was traditionally on the side of the Working Classes, why are they cheering on mass immigration which reduces wages for the Working person?

Labour are no longer on the side of the Working classes.

Starmer recently talked about mass immigration, criticised the Tories and said they'd endeavour to bring it down.

They've deported thousands of people. They've only been in a few months but you want them to magic everything away.

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 10/01/2025 13:17

ComtesseDeSpair · 10/01/2025 11:17

People vote for a new political party because they want positive change in their lives. Labour haven’t delivered any positive change yet - which isn’t unexpected in their first year of term, obviously, but many voters who were disgruntled enough about their lives and what they saw around them to vote for Labour and change in the first place want more immediate results: being told things might get better in a few years once X and Y have happened when your life feels crap now sounds like a very empty promise. So people begin looking around for other avenues for how that change could be delivered - and Reform might sound convincing and are an option which isn’t had the opportunity to fail at being a government yet.

Edited

@ComtesseDeSpair , while that’s true Labour has in a ridiculously short time, managed to push us towards a very unfavourable financial situation. Their ideas don’t seem to be all that helpful when put into practice. In fairness the Conservatives were quite rubbish too although the economy was at least on an even keel. I think people are beginning to see that both main parties aren’t offering any real prospect of sunnier uplands and while if they came to power Reform may also fail, they might not and they do seem to have some sensible ideas.

PandoraSox · 10/01/2025 13:17

Buzyizzy21 · 10/01/2025 13:10

Ask the citizens of Clacton where the surgeries are. Clue, he hasn’t held any since being elected 6.5 months ago. 🤣

But poor Nigel has been told not to, due to safety concerns. You are mean.

news.sky.com/story/reforms-nigel-farage-backtracks-on-claim-parliaments-security-team-told-him-not-to-hold-in-person-surgeries-in-clacton-13229883

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 13:18

oatmilkchocolate · 10/01/2025 13:08

And there we have it - your contempt for people you consider beneath you and your contempt for democracy.

There are plenty of highly educated people, including academics, I think have absolutely fucking stupid, incoherent and frankly harmful opinions, and whats more they are often in better positions to promote those ideas than the people you are disparaging. I still think they absolutely should have the right to vote and to have the free speech to argue for their thick opinions.

Because that is what democracy means. Its for everyone. Even people you really, really don't like.

I don’t have contempt for anybody at all, I just think people should be able to hit an educational threshold to be eligible to vote on serious matters like national governance.

It would solve most of our problems instantly.

noblegiraffe · 10/01/2025 13:19

Goldenyears2024 · 10/01/2025 13:13

Oh look, another one who didn't click on any of the links that proved every word I said, or spend even a second verifying anything, but would rather imply anyone who speaks words you don't like is a fascist. Yes, that was your implication. However, as fascists hate facts you are far closer to your intended slur than I am.

You're simply not intelligent enough to have any sort of discussion with, and neither is anybody else who replies in this infantile fashion, so I won't be.

Labour is gone. They are a rotting corpse. And thanks to people like you and your unwavering contempt for anyone who speaks words you don't like, the UK is going to swing far, far right.

It's already happening. God help us all.

I noted that you didn't provide a link for your claim "When the decisions were made not to prosecute Pakistani Muslim rape gangs he was serving as the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) in the UK from 2008 to 2013, overseeing the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). The police need permission from this service to prosecute crimes." so I went to investigate and found

https://fullfact.org/online/starmer-muslim-grooming-prosecution-crime/

"Mr Starmer was the head of the CPS in 2009, when a key decision not to prosecute a case in Rochdale was taken. However, we can find no evidence he had any personal involvement in the decision, or that it was due to concern about Islamophobia.
According to evidence given to the Home Affairs Committee, the decision was based on CPS guidelines of the time which suggested a jury might see victims as unreliable if they had come forward some time after the offence, if they had deviated or changed their accounts, made use of drink or drugs or had subsequently gone back to the perpetrator. As a result, such cases were thought not to have a realistic prospect of achieving a conviction.
In 2011, Nazir Afzal, who at the time was director of prosecutions in London, was made chief prosecutor for the north west. He subsequently overturned the 2009 decision and a total of nine men were later convicted.
In a recent interview Mr Afzal recalled: “The only way we could bring that case was to admit that we had failed these victims when they had first made a complaint in 2008. Keir was 100% behind the decision to publicly admit that we had got it wrong in the past.”
Following these convictions, Mr Starmer appointed Mr Afzal as the head of a newly formed national network of specialist prosecutors for child abuse and sexual exploitation. Mr Afzal went on to oversee numerous convictions against other grooming gangs. "

So I hope that you will, in the interest of truth, now update your claim based on this new information.

No evidence Keir Starmer tried to block the prosecution of Muslim grooming gangs - Full Fact

Widely-shared posts on Facebook make an unsubstantiated claim about Mr Starmer’s work for the Crown Prosecution Service.

https://fullfact.org/online/starmer-muslim-grooming-prosecution-crime

SlapTheMelon · 10/01/2025 13:20

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 13:18

I don’t have contempt for anybody at all, I just think people should be able to hit an educational threshold to be eligible to vote on serious matters like national governance.

It would solve most of our problems instantly.

LIke you, you mean? You have shown your level of intelligence on many threads, and it's a pretty low bar!

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 13:20

username299 · 10/01/2025 13:17

Starmer recently talked about mass immigration, criticised the Tories and said they'd endeavour to bring it down.

They've deported thousands of people. They've only been in a few months but you want them to magic everything away.

So far they’re magicking a stalling economy and anti growth policies

EuclidianGeometryFan · 10/01/2025 13:21

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 12:55

Tbh, I agree with you. Big Business loves mass immigration because it reduces wages.

What I don't understand is, Labour was traditionally on the side of the Working Classes, why are they cheering on mass immigration which reduces wages for the Working person?

Labour are no longer on the side of the Working classes.

Labour are no longer on the side of the Working classes.

Yes, but they are slightly more on the side of the working class than any of the mainstream alternatives.
In a globalised system, no party can be wholly on the side of the working class in a single country. As soon as they put up taxes to pay for a genuinely functional social state (NHS, housing, social care, education, etc.), the global financial markets get spooked, interest rates go up on government borrowing, and the economy collapses. If such a government persisted, multi-national companies would quickly re-locate abroad to avoid taxes and regulation, and the country would go into a downward spiral.
The only option is taxing the wealth of individuals, not companies, hence inheritance tax as a start - but even then the wealthiest just move abroad.

National socialism does not work. (The National Socialist German Workers Party is the spectacular example)

The alternative is international socialism - but that would require the masses in the UK accepting that our standard of living is extremely high compared to the majority of other countries in the world - international socialism would require that our standard of living decrease hugely so that other countries could get wealthier.
International socialism as an ideology doesn't have a great track record either.

So we carry on muddling through.

Goldenyears2024 · 10/01/2025 13:21

@HappyPanda613
Indeed, as you are uneducated in the extreme about human rights and democractic voting and show extreme bias against those who may not have had equal opportunities to engage in formal education, your own lack of education and general ignorance on these matters would mean that under your own system, you would not be allowed to vote.

https://www.libertyhumanrights.org.uk/right/article-3-of-the-first-protocol-right-to-free-elections/

https://www.ohchr.org/en/elections

Right to free elections - Liberty

The right to free elections is crucial to establishing and maintaining the foundations of an effective and meaningful democracy governed by the rule of law.

https://www.libertyhumanrights.org.uk/right/article-3-of-the-first-protocol-right-to-free-elections

SherbetSweeties · 10/01/2025 13:21

What is there to be shocked about? Change is needed. People have had enough.

itsnotagameshow · 10/01/2025 13:21

oatmilkchocolate · 10/01/2025 12:49

Yes, you should be free to make yourself look as bad as you just have in this post.

Free Speech is the underpinning of a democracy. By having open debate we are able to discern the good ideas from the bad, and reach a consensus as a society.

People are free to argue for bad ideas, present stupid arguments, be offensive. And people are free to argue against them. And the rest of us are free to hear those arguments and decide for ourselves.

In a democracy, no-one else should be deciding what ideas I am exposed to, what thoughts I am allowed to have or express. No matter how good or right the person wanting limit my freedom thinks they are. Its for me to decide who I am and what I think. No-one else.

There should be limits to free speech but the bar needs to be really high and actively inciting violence should be it.

But where do you then position the actual truth? Real facts, backed up with data? Currently opinions and downright untruths are presented as facts ("free speech") which just feeds into the free for all we are currently witnessing. In my experience, it started with the Brexit campaign where real solid facts were dismissed by longstanding friends because they wanted to believe what they were being told instead. And disseminated those beliefs as facts. I think it's really worrying.

GertrudePerkinsPaperyThing · 10/01/2025 13:22

I don’t think it’s that Starmer is shite, I think it’s the massive propaganda campaign against him from abroad - and in favour of Reform.

Kemi Badenoch just seems like a stooge who’s been out there to allow Reform to rise!

Scary stuff.

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 13:23

GertrudePerkinsPaperyThing · 10/01/2025 13:22

I don’t think it’s that Starmer is shite, I think it’s the massive propaganda campaign against him from abroad - and in favour of Reform.

Kemi Badenoch just seems like a stooge who’s been out there to allow Reform to rise!

Scary stuff.

Have you been following the economic impact of their policies?

Username056 · 10/01/2025 13:23

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 13:18

I don’t have contempt for anybody at all, I just think people should be able to hit an educational threshold to be eligible to vote on serious matters like national governance.

It would solve most of our problems instantly.

And what would that educational threshold be?

ilovesooty · 10/01/2025 13:23

Goldenyears2024 · 10/01/2025 13:06

Reform got more than 4 million votes despite being new and untested. Labour limped in with 9 million out of a possible 46 million, and only managed that because the Tories were so detested.

Starmer took the knee for BLM, and paid for members of the Labour party to go and interfere in American politics to try to get Harris elected then whined about foreign interference in his own politics when Musk brought the Muslim Pakistani rape gangs to the attention of the world.

https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/uk-pm-starmer-downplays-labour-workers-backing-harris-in-us-election-124102301332_1.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/black-lives-matter-keir-starmer-labour-take-knee-george-floyd-funeral-a9557166.html

He stripped the fuel allowance from pensioners despite claiming in the past that this would kill at least 4000 pensioners.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/winter-fuel-payment-cut-labour-deaths-b2609340.html

His policies have caused outrage amongst farmers and millions of their supporters. He has now added a new tax for education.

He did not let out even a whisper about these plans before the election despite them being enormous changes affecting many UK citizens.

When the decisions were made not to prosecute Pakistani Muslim rape gangs he was serving as the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) in the UK from 2008 to 2013, overseeing the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). The police need permission from this service to prosecute crimes.

He failed to vote for an national enquiry into Pakistani Muslim rape gangs in the last week but ordered his MPs to vote against it.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/keir-starmer-grooming-gang-vote-abstain-b2676564.html

Many have become very concerned that he attended a communist training camp in Czecoslovakia in 1986, and edited a communist magazine in his early 20s.

https://x.com/JimFergusonUK/status/1829094819693572372

If an election was called today, Reform would win in a landslide. That's an opinion. The rest of this comment is simple fact, and will remain true no matter how much that upsets you, or how many names you call me.

I have an opinion on your posting but I for one am not tempted to call you names or indulge in personal attacks. I'm sure that you're fully aware that this would breach the talk guidelines.

TinkyBella · 10/01/2025 13:24

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 10/01/2025 11:30

This is how you propose to solve the issue?

By banning a political party?

What are you, Lenin in disguise?

I’m leaning more towards Stalin/ Hitler in disguise . . .

Bitrr · 10/01/2025 13:24

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:09

Absolutely shocked to read that in a poll Reform UK are neck and neck with Labour...

About 25% polling share for Reform and Labour.

I thought Blair was the worst PM ever, but Starmer seems to be giving him a run for his money.

I thought Blair was the best pm in my lifetime.

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 10/01/2025 13:24

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 11:28

Reform need to be banned immediately before they start to get political traction amongst the working class in the north of England.

This is all the fault of X, and I hope Keir Starmer and the Labour have a robust plan for sanctioning social media sites that allow disinformation free reign to be accessed by ordinary people who do not possess the ability to sift fact from fiction.

Frightening times.

@HappyPanda613 , what is scary is the amount of control you think the government should have over what influences how people think. You want to censor information because you deem people to be too thick to be trusted with it and you want to ban a political party because they might be more popular than the one you consider to have the right policies. Join the thought police and send all us dissenters off to the gulag why don’t you? 😱

oatmilkchocolate · 10/01/2025 13:25

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 13:18

I don’t have contempt for anybody at all, I just think people should be able to hit an educational threshold to be eligible to vote on serious matters like national governance.

It would solve most of our problems instantly.

It sure solved the 'problem' of universal suffrage for people in colour when they used to do this in America. Or weren't you aware of the racist history of the 'policy solution' you are suggesting, despite your educational threshold?

And ' educational threshold' doesn't mean you have sensible, evidenced positions.. In fact, its well evidenced in replicated research after research that more educated people are more likely to believe fantastical and unevidenced ideas, as they use their intelligence to convince themselves of the veracity of unevidenced claims.

Upstartled · 10/01/2025 13:26

Bitrr · 10/01/2025 13:24

I thought Blair was the best pm in my lifetime.

Yes, sadly, I think we peaked with war criminal Tony Blair.

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 13:26

GertrudePerkinsPaperyThing · 10/01/2025 13:22

I don’t think it’s that Starmer is shite, I think it’s the massive propaganda campaign against him from abroad - and in favour of Reform.

Kemi Badenoch just seems like a stooge who’s been out there to allow Reform to rise!

Scary stuff.

Starmer/ the Labour Party sent 100 activists to help the Democrats in the American elections.

The Democrats obviously lost and we now have a President Trump that hates Starmer.

Starmer has a poor sense of judgement.

OP posts:
Goldenyears2024 · 10/01/2025 13:26

@noblegiraffe

I didn't provide a link as it was and is absolutely common knowledge.

I stated only that he was in charge. As he was. Millions are horrified and outraged and disgusted that he WAS IN CHARGE when the police asked for permission to prosecute Pakistani Muslim rape gangs who are now responsible for raping tens of thousands of British girls.

The fact that nobody can prove he was responsible at this point does not in any way mitigate the fact that HE WAS IN CHARGE.

Which is precisely and clearly what I stated.

Adamante · 10/01/2025 13:27

The Tories were horrendous, Labour have proved equally so, which is no surprise given they are both almost identical politically. This is pure desperation on the part of the electorate. It’s worrying & depressing but was entirely predictable.

Upstartled · 10/01/2025 13:27

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 13:26

Starmer/ the Labour Party sent 100 activists to help the Democrats in the American elections.

The Democrats obviously lost and we now have a President Trump that hates Starmer.

Starmer has a poor sense of judgement.

Oh yes, I totally forgot about all that.

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