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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

to think the penny hasn't dropped yet, for many people, that the trade in new petrol and diesel cars is really ending in 6 years

823 replies

JadeClade · 25/07/2023 21:17

I think the price of second hand cars will go through the roof, at first, when new cars are no longer available, and people buying new homes now really do need to be factoring in where they are going to charge an electric car, and all sorts of preparations and plans are simply not being made

YANBU - we need to be planning and preparing, as individuals and society.
YABU- we don't need to think about it.

OP posts:
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18
Spendonsend · 26/07/2023 10:15

Apparently about 1.5 million new cars on the road each year out of about 33 million or so cars.

LameBorzoi · 26/07/2023 10:17

Superpinkflowerpower · 26/07/2023 10:10

Sorry to burst your bubble, this is bollocks.

I own a Toyota Hybrid self-charging, for a 1.8l petrol I get on average 65mpg and my ev time is around 35-50% of journeys, depending on where or how I drive.

Toyota offers me 10 years warranty and 15 on the battery.

How is that worst of both worlds?

Your car is heavier than an ICE, and has a smaller engine.

It requires servicing, which an ev does not.

It's way more complex than either, so more parts to fail.

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 10:18

WimbledonHasselhoff · 26/07/2023 09:17

Absolutely fine with me, as long as you're not suggesting, like the PP, that I should have to give up my car simply because most journeys can be done by public transport or walked. And if there's any financial burden/disincentives to drive, they should apply to you, as you have chosen to live where you need a car more, and not apply to people like me who already minimise car use. Then it's fair - you can revel in your big house and fresh air and I can revel in being charged less money. I'll even join the campaign for better public transport for you, which I know is appalling as I used to live more rurally myself, and is one of the main reasons I chose to move.

I agree with you completely.

Badbadbunny · 26/07/2023 10:19

TheCountessofFitzdotterel · 26/07/2023 10:03

Re planning, I know many people who tried to plan for their old age and the risk of being unable to drive by moving to a village or suburb with services and public transport only to find a few years later that the services had been shut down and the public transport withdrawn.

I am still lolling at the idea people in the countryside drive to the ‘corner shop’ because they don’t like ‘moving’. You might drive to a village shop, in another village, because your own and the one in the couple of villages nearest to you have closed down.

But then it is always clear on Mumsnet that there are many people in cities and particularly the south east who have absolutely no idea what it is like to live in other parts of the country and the people making policy are drawn from that clueless crowd.

Same with village schools. Around here, every village had it's own primary school. They've all closed so the one remaining village primary school has pupils from miles around. Narrow/winding country roads which don't even have pavements, so walking/cycling is out.

Same with village libraries, shops, GP surgeries, pubs etc. All shut down. No buses between our nearby villages.

So car it is then!

Superpinkflowerpower · 26/07/2023 10:21

LameBorzoi · 26/07/2023 10:17

Your car is heavier than an ICE, and has a smaller engine.

It requires servicing, which an ev does not.

It's way more complex than either, so more parts to fail.

Toyotas are the most reliable cars on the road and how is my 1.8 small, my partners is a 2.0l. That's a fact.

Saying Ev`s need no servicing is total bollocks.

Toyota makes the worlds no 1 most sold car which is a hybrid for a reason.

So how is it worse? please give some detail instead of hyperbole bullet points.

Badbadbunny · 26/07/2023 10:22

Spendonsend · 26/07/2023 10:15

Apparently about 1.5 million new cars on the road each year out of about 33 million or so cars.

Yes, indeed, and the average life of a car is 13 years, which includes "early" write offs in accidents and those scrapped "early" due to bad driving or excess mileage. A new car registered today could well last 20+ years if looked after, driven no more than average mileage, and not written off in an accident.

Newname211 · 26/07/2023 10:23

If they stopped manufacturing and selling petrol/diesel by 2030, do you think that more people will import new cars?

Chatillon · 26/07/2023 10:25

Price will determine how soon EV's are compulsory, the price of both vehicles and recharging. It always comes back to price and the investment in a more comprehensive network will have to be paid for by the consumer. Society is not able to get fully electric (including hydrogen for that matter) before 2030. Realistically it is a decade or two beyond that.

<span class="italic">A Giant Oak stood near a brook in which grew some slender Reeds. When the wind blew, the great Oak stood proudly upright with its hundred arms uplifted to the sky. But the Reeds bowed low in the wind and sang a sad and mournful song.</span>

"You have reason to complain," said the Oak. "The slightest breeze that ruffles the surface of the water makes you bow your heads, while I, the mighty Oak, stand upright and firm before the howling tempest."

"Do not worry about us," replied the Reeds. "The winds do not harm us. We bow before them and so we do not break. You, in all your pride and strength, have so far resisted their blows. But the end is coming."

As the Reeds spoke a great hurricane rushed out of the north. The Oak stood proudly and fought against the storm, while the yielding Reeds bowed low. The wind redoubled in fury, and all at once the great tree fell, torn up by the roots, and lay among the pitying Reeds.

Better to yield when it is folly to resist, than to resist stubbornly and be destroyed.

onefinemess · 26/07/2023 10:32

HiHoHiHoltsOffToWorkWeGo · 26/07/2023 09:13

I'll predict this now: eventually the dwindling numbers of petrol and diesel cars on the roads will mean that no one is making a profit on the distribution and sale of it. Petrol stations will close down.

Petrol will be diverted to countries with lower environmental standards. Petrol being widely available in India isn't much use to me in the UK.

The nearest petrol station could be in impractically long way away. Good luck getting DPD to deliver 30L of highly explosive liquids.

They do it every single day. So does every single driver of a petrol car. Its called a tank of fuel 😂

So yeah, there won't be any problems getting a few gallons of petrol.

HilaryThorpe · 26/07/2023 10:34

https://www.theverge.com/23806690/eu-ev-fast-charger-60km-law-regulation-requirements
The EU is on the case.
Last year in France there were 300 chargers faster than 100kwh. Now there are over a thousand. Many of them have roofs to provide shade, with solar panels on top.
There are intiatives to support small EVs in cities.

EU passes law to blanket highways with fast EV chargers by end of 2025

The chargers must be placed every 60km (37mi) and allow ad-hoc payment by card or contactless device without subscriptions.

https://www.theverge.com/23806690/eu-ev-fast-charger-60km-law-regulation-requirements

onefinemess · 26/07/2023 10:37

Sureaseggs44 · 26/07/2023 09:48

So how do you plan for something that is just not possible because you can not charge a car up . But you need a car ?

where is all the electricity to charge to charge the cars going to come from ?

Ah, they will just buy a second hand EV instead of a second hand ICE vehicle.

🙄

Badbadbunny · 26/07/2023 10:40

Newname211 · 26/07/2023 10:23

If they stopped manufacturing and selling petrol/diesel by 2030, do you think that more people will import new cars?

Yes, of course, plenty of countries are still manufacturing them and havn't imposed a 2030 ban.

CoffeeWithCheese · 26/07/2023 10:44

JadeClade · 25/07/2023 21:37

This is exactly what I mean by people need to be making plans now. It is 6 years away, and a lot of people's lives will need adjusting, and they need to be planning now.

I came from a rural area, but moved to a town so I could get to work without needing a car.

That's nice for you Ms I'm All Right Jack - but my healthcare clients who live in isolated rural areas are still going to need healthcare and there isn't the charging infrastructure there for me to switch my vehicle to electric (unless you want me taking a massively long lunch break on the ONE charger point I pass on my rural patch) or walking 50 miles home... and I don't get paid enough to switch either.

CoffeeWithCheese · 26/07/2023 10:47

Scrowy · 25/07/2023 21:57

Can you advise how I get 600 mule gimmer lambs from high up in the Yorkshire Dales to the autumn breeding sales?

Train? Bus? Walk them down the A65?

To be fair - I'd totally pay to see a bus full of sheep. Would be amusing... and probably smelly.

DyslexicPoster · 26/07/2023 10:50

How easy is it for everyone in a family to both live by work? Honestly?

The main reason I'm not considering a EV ( apart from cost) is that I couldn't do a 170 round mile trip on the M25 without a charge. Would ok if fully charged first and there was clear roads, but add an accident and some crawling and you might get tight on charge.

However leave it another 5-20 years they will improve a lot. Still won't put a charger outsides mum victorian terrace or my rented house. 4-6 charging points at Clacket Lane.

Nice idea, no infrastructure.

Bonfire23 · 26/07/2023 10:51

@LameBorzoi EV cars still require servicing

Ultraviolet85 · 26/07/2023 10:52

Can’t see it happening myself like many things these governments jabber on about that don’t come to fruition!

HilaryThorpe · 26/07/2023 10:53

DyslexicPoster · 26/07/2023 10:50

How easy is it for everyone in a family to both live by work? Honestly?

The main reason I'm not considering a EV ( apart from cost) is that I couldn't do a 170 round mile trip on the M25 without a charge. Would ok if fully charged first and there was clear roads, but add an accident and some crawling and you might get tight on charge.

However leave it another 5-20 years they will improve a lot. Still won't put a charger outsides mum victorian terrace or my rented house. 4-6 charging points at Clacket Lane.

Nice idea, no infrastructure.

If you are stuck in traffic you use regenerative braking and you do not consume range.

GasPanic · 26/07/2023 10:54

Well people have probably already said this, but it's worth pointing out that these days cars last.

My car is 11 years old and still going strong. The bodywork doesn't rust like it used to. In cuba they kept old cars running for years.

My guess is you will still be able to buy half decent ICE cars right up to 2040 and beyond, even if they aren't new.

Probably at some point though it will become so hard to get fuel as all the petrol stations shut down that people won't actually want them.

It will be a gradual change, not a cliff edge because ICE cars aren't being banned, just new sales discontinued.

HiHoHiHoltsOffToWorkWeGo · 26/07/2023 10:54

onefinemess · 26/07/2023 10:32

They do it every single day. So does every single driver of a petrol car. Its called a tank of fuel 😂

So yeah, there won't be any problems getting a few gallons of petrol.

Don't be ridiculous. We both know that's a tank of fuel is different to ordering 30L of filled Jerry cans.

Here's their surprisingly long list of banned items, which ranges from chocolate to flammable goods to petrol tanks (full or empty)
https://www.dpdlocal-online.co.uk/prohibited-items

They're not going to risk a spillage or an accidental spark.

Goldenspearmint · 26/07/2023 10:54

@JadeClade Not going to happen.

To all the EV deadline enthusiasts, you have zero clue about what it takes to build infrastructure building new sub stations, replacing all the existing wiring infrastructure, the work force needed to build the infrastructure, the cost, the planning, the pre works surveys, the sheer scale and applications needed to install all this infrastructure and time scale.

There is a lack of construction workers in the UK, there is a lack of building materials in the UK, there is a lack of trained electricians capable of doing this work, there is no money to roll this out and the surveys alone should have started 10 years previously.

Not going to happen in my life time I assure you, EV is a niche market and will be for decades unless they develop and produce sustainable batteries with sustainable materials cheaply with 1000+ miles min, that's not going to happen for years and years (when we all died of old age).

Fightyouforthatpie · 26/07/2023 11:00

goodkidsmaadhouse · 26/07/2023 09:22

I feel like I've missed something....is it not possible/won't be possible to buy a second hand electric car?

It’s perfectly possible. Ours was second hand. I can’t remember how much it cost because it’s been a few years but around the £5k mark. But that doesn’t fit the ‘EVs are really expensive/environmentally unfriendly’ BS that people like to spout…

I have never spent £5k on a car. My latest was £1800. It has a range between 10 min (at most) refueling of 500+ miles. It is 20 years old and has done over 200,000 miles and remains legal and roadworthy. What is the range of your £5 k electric car (assume it's a Leaf or Zoe or similar)?

LameBorzoi · 26/07/2023 11:05

Bonfire23 · 26/07/2023 10:51

@LameBorzoi EV cars still require servicing

Not really. I own an EV. Tyres need rotating and changing, similar to an ICE. Windscreen wiper fluid. Cabin air filter every few years, most of which I can do myself. That's about it.

LameBorzoi · 26/07/2023 11:06

Goldenspearmint · 26/07/2023 10:54

@JadeClade Not going to happen.

To all the EV deadline enthusiasts, you have zero clue about what it takes to build infrastructure building new sub stations, replacing all the existing wiring infrastructure, the work force needed to build the infrastructure, the cost, the planning, the pre works surveys, the sheer scale and applications needed to install all this infrastructure and time scale.

There is a lack of construction workers in the UK, there is a lack of building materials in the UK, there is a lack of trained electricians capable of doing this work, there is no money to roll this out and the surveys alone should have started 10 years previously.

Not going to happen in my life time I assure you, EV is a niche market and will be for decades unless they develop and produce sustainable batteries with sustainable materials cheaply with 1000+ miles min, that's not going to happen for years and years (when we all died of old age).

You sound like those people in 2005 who kept talking about how this smart phone thing wasn't going to take off.

Alexandra2001 · 26/07/2023 11:07

Newname211 · 26/07/2023 10:23

If they stopped manufacturing and selling petrol/diesel by 2030, do you think that more people will import new cars?

The problem will be fuel...... why import and have the facilities to sell as we do now, for a product with diminishing sales?

Either got to up the price (& will make more switch to EVs) or reduce the number of outlets.

The issue is how to charge millions of EVs when so many people do not have off street parking....

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