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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

to think the penny hasn't dropped yet, for many people, that the trade in new petrol and diesel cars is really ending in 6 years

823 replies

JadeClade · 25/07/2023 21:17

I think the price of second hand cars will go through the roof, at first, when new cars are no longer available, and people buying new homes now really do need to be factoring in where they are going to charge an electric car, and all sorts of preparations and plans are simply not being made

YANBU - we need to be planning and preparing, as individuals and society.
YABU- we don't need to think about it.

OP posts:
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18
onefinemess · 26/07/2023 08:39

HiHoHiHoltsOffToWorkWeGo · 26/07/2023 08:34

My concern is not so much how long you'll be able to buy petrol vehicles for, but how long you'll be able to buy petrol for.

I have a classic car, 50 years old and still going strong. Will we still be able to buy petrol 50 years from now?

Of course you will. Might not be from a regular pump like you do now, but it will still be available, remember petrol is actually a waste product of oil refining. Most oil is used to make plastics, not power cars. There will be oodles of cheap petrol around for your classic car.

Ourladycheesusedatum · 26/07/2023 08:40

noglow · 25/07/2023 21:40

They haven't thought about people who live in flats

They haven't thought about people in back to backs, no off road parking, flats, and more.
Near me are row upon row of back to backs with a tiny yard. Not big enough for a car. How will they charge vehicles? Run cables across the pavement, not ideal for literally anyone using the pavement. Use lamppost installed charge points? I'm assuming one charge point per lamp post, and 30 cars needing to use it, so we are back to cables across the pavement. What will stop scrotes and drunks unplugging every vehicle they come across? Same in blocks of flats, cables trailing down from each flat?
Not thought through at all, not going to happen. The date will keep getting moved.
My plan is to buy two of the last petrol engine cars, that should last me until I cant drive.

haggisandcoos · 26/07/2023 08:40

Pickledpigeon · 25/07/2023 21:41

Reckon there’ll be some good deals on petrol and diesel cars in 2029, if dealers aren’t allowed to sell them after that date.

Or the opposite could happen with prices rising. A motor writer recently said that he planned on buying a brand new petrol car in the year before the ban. Makes sense to me and I'll probably be doing the same, as there are no buses where I live.

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 08:43

WimbledonHasselhoff · 26/07/2023 08:21

I live in a city. Walk and public transport almost everywhere. Car is used for days out of the city and holidays where it's simply not possible to carry everything (especially when camping and carrying tents etc.)
Not sure why I should go without whilst those who damage the environment far more, using a car all the time, should carry on as they please. I've notice it's people who live rurally who over rely on cars too, people in cities are much more used to walking longer distances, not driving to the corner shop.

@WimbledonHasselhoff what planet are you on? 😂😂 You do know there are no fucking corner shops to walk or drive to in many places of the world? Want to walk in Australia in the heat or in the north of Scandi in the cold with no suitabke roads? Used to walking my arse..your post is so ignorant it’s funny (but it’s not really).

LimeCheesecake · 26/07/2023 08:44

@HiHoHiHoltsOffToWorkWeGo - I think that will be the bigger issue that eventually moves isolated people to EV- you can put solar panels on your house and control your access to fuel. If the petrol pumps become “speciality” at a few and far between garages for classic cars, it’s going to be a) expensive and b) logistically difficult to drive petrol cars long distances.

I suppose there used to be coaching houses at inns/hotels so if you were travelling the country with your own coach and horses, you could just turn up and there was somewhere to rest and feed your horses. The network of support has disappeared for horse travel that takes you away from home overnight. Petrol might go a similar “hobby only” way.

Moonmelodies · 26/07/2023 08:45

I lot of people I know drive perfectly reliable 10-15 year old sub-£5K cars, It's unlikely they would be persuaded to throw them away to get a disposable Chinese electric car shipped over to replace them.

Karmatime · 26/07/2023 08:48

I have a 10 year old small car. It’s been serviced every year and should run for a few years more. After that I plan to be car free. We already went down to one car last year. However this is only possible because we live in the centre of a small city with a great bus network and easy train connections. There’s no way electric could work in a densely populated area with most places converted to flats and not enough parking, nearly all of which is on street.

IMustDoMoreExercise · 26/07/2023 08:48

Ghastisflabbered · 25/07/2023 22:14

It’s not really going to be up to Rishi in the end is it?

The EU is committed to decarbonising cars on the same timescale as the U.K. is currently - if the U.K. diverges from that timeline the vehicle manufacturers will design for the largest market (hint, this isn’t the U.K.) so regardless of what legislation the U.K. has in place you won’t be able to buy a petrol or diesel car simply because the manufacturers aren’t making them because the EU has banned the sale of them.

If you google Germany's opposition to the ban you will see that it is unlikely that the EU will be able to ban them:
A survey released Friday by German broadcaster ARD showed that the majority of Germans oppose banning combustion engines in new cars across the European Union. Germany has recently blocked an EU vote to ban the sale of new vehicles with combustion engines across the bloc from 2035

WimbledonHasselhoff · 26/07/2023 08:50

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 08:43

@WimbledonHasselhoff what planet are you on? 😂😂 You do know there are no fucking corner shops to walk or drive to in many places of the world? Want to walk in Australia in the heat or in the north of Scandi in the cold with no suitabke roads? Used to walking my arse..your post is so ignorant it’s funny (but it’s not really).

We're not talking about Australia though, are we? I was replying directly to a post suggesting that people in the UK who live rurally should carry on as they are, whilst those of us who chose to live where we can usually walk or use public transport should be denied a car entirely.

Perhaps you should learn to read. And if you think you need a car just to get to a shop, how about moving?

LimeCheesecake · 26/07/2023 08:50

@Ourladycheesusedatum - are there street lights outside your houses /on your road? They they have an easy fix of street light chargers (they are on the side of street lights, not a massive thing for councils to install).

cables wouldn’t need to go across the path, just from street light to car. Most people don’t drive so much that they would need to charge every night. Some people would charge at work /supermarket etc.

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 08:50

I don’t live in a city. We have 2 cars. A newish small one and a big 15-year old Volvo who has basically never had a fault. Guess which is more reliable.

Chatillon · 26/07/2023 08:53

onefinemess · 26/07/2023 08:39

Of course you will. Might not be from a regular pump like you do now, but it will still be available, remember petrol is actually a waste product of oil refining. Most oil is used to make plastics, not power cars. There will be oodles of cheap petrol around for your classic car.

I agree.

Also, many commercial vehicles will still be around using diesel for decades. Commercial vehicles are not limited to just sleek low wedge-shaped delivery vehicles around Milton Keynes. We have forestry machines, farm machinery, telecoms and power grid vehicles, landscaping machinery. All used by small businesses.

What about domestic caravans and horse trailers. Are horses and caravans going to be banned in 6 years?

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 08:53

@WimbledonHasselhoff Why would I move when I have a huge house with a huge garden by the sea, with fresh air and water you could drink straight from the stream if you wanted to. I have lived in London, and I got sick of black snot. I’ll keep my car and my house, and you can stay in the city if you like.

Lunar270 · 26/07/2023 08:54

Spendonsend · 26/07/2023 08:28

There are people looking at hydrogen ' particularly commercial vehicles but it takes a lot of energy to make it. So i think the emissions are very clean but the process can vary in its greenness. Most hydrogen is grey which isnt that great for the environment ' it uses a lot of energy and doesnt capture the by product which is co2.

Spot on.

The other side of that is engine efficiency and that is still terrible once put in a car. I think the Toyota Mirai is the best out there but the combustion engine is still only 40% so about the same as a diesel engine. That's still a huge amount of waste in addition to the energy required to produce hydrogen in the first place.

Lionoso · 26/07/2023 08:54

Synthetic fuels will be an option by 2030 too hopefully allowing ICE cars to still be a viable option.

ntmdino · 26/07/2023 08:54

Spendonsend · 26/07/2023 08:28

There are people looking at hydrogen ' particularly commercial vehicles but it takes a lot of energy to make it. So i think the emissions are very clean but the process can vary in its greenness. Most hydrogen is grey which isnt that great for the environment ' it uses a lot of energy and doesnt capture the by product which is co2.

The most obvious solution is the one Porsche are looking at - making an environmentally-safe petrol replacement which works with all the ICE engines out there. They're even developing the tech to manufacture it with solar energy as the input.

If that scales well (it's a reasonably large "if", I'll admit), the whole problem is solved and there's no need for global-scale infrastructure changes.

Redlocks30 · 26/07/2023 08:55

JadeClade · 25/07/2023 21:30

I think it is a great thing that the number of cars on the road will be reduced.

I think you are naive if you think this will happen!

WideFootWelly · 26/07/2023 08:55

I feel like I've missed something....is it not possible/won't be possible to buy a second hand electric car?

All those new electric cars now will be 7 years old in 2030, and cheaper than buying a new one.

We have a non electric car that we bought last year, and I reckon we'll be looking to trade in 5-7 years. I'd assumed at that point that we'd go electric, assuming the infrastructure has improved.

But what about those people that live in flats, or houses with no drive/parking outside...it's OK if you can charge your car when you're home, but it's not reasonable to expect people to have to go out for an hour or two just to charge the car. They're not going to want electric unless something changes.

Also 200 mile range isn't great for people that do longer distances, hopefully they find a way to increase this by 2030.

Chatillon · 26/07/2023 08:55

DarkModes · 26/07/2023 08:53

@WimbledonHasselhoff Why would I move when I have a huge house with a huge garden by the sea, with fresh air and water you could drink straight from the stream if you wanted to. I have lived in London, and I got sick of black snot. I’ll keep my car and my house, and you can stay in the city if you like.

Yes and people are moving out of London to very rural places. A lot.

LadinLee · 26/07/2023 08:56

If you are used to having a car, but won't have one in the future, then now is the time for long term plans, isn't it - schools, homes, jobs, etc all need to be reachable without a car.

Someone needs to tell the planners this. We've had masses of new housing built a couple of miles from us with an inadequate bus service. Every time planning for another phase is applied for I object on the grounds that everyone will have to commute to work. There should be business or industrial parks also being built in the same area. Major house building should have opportunities for employment within 5 miles, not just massively enlarging places which are already commuter towns

TheNoonBell · 26/07/2023 08:58

There will be an election sometime around 2029. My guess is any party that says it will remove the ban will get a significant majority.

backtogrey · 26/07/2023 09:00

JadeClade · 25/07/2023 21:38

I don't think there is any option for it not to happen, really

Err, not enough resources makes it impossible to happen. Electric vehicles are also now being researched as not sustainable and there is a move to explore hydrogen instead.

LameBorzoi · 26/07/2023 09:00

Lunar270 · 26/07/2023 07:00

No, but it's astonishing just how clueless most people are and I think it's worth trying to educate or provide a more factual view.

Are you not invested in facts over fake news?

I, like you have both ICE and EV. I'm likely to buy another ICE car as I'm a petrol head. But for day to day stuff the EV is perfect. But I also take the time to actually find out what's correct. There's so much EV bingo on here it's quite funny but hey ho.

Ultimately I don't really care. I run a business so have taken full advantage of the incentives. The longer it takes the more likely the incentives will last, so in some ways all the fake news is doing me a favour.

Exactly. The misinformation and nonsense that people spread around about EVs is just insane.

watersprites · 26/07/2023 09:03

And if you think you need a car just to get to a shop, how about moving?

Lots of people need a car to go to a shop! Even if you're not that far there may be no pavement.

Spendonsend · 26/07/2023 09:07

TheNoonBell · 26/07/2023 08:58

There will be an election sometime around 2029. My guess is any party that says it will remove the ban will get a significant majority.

I think part of the issue is whilst it might look like noone is doing anything to prepare for this, car manufacturers have. If you were told you couldnt sell your main product in 6 years time, youd be investing heavily running up to it to change your product line ready. I think they will either be applying pressure to get it dropped by the uk and eu now before they make too many changes or they will be putting huge pressure on to keep it in place if its 2029.
Would they even be looking at improving ICE vehicles at this stage