@veevee04
This is bigger than Ukraine and Russia. China will be watching the west's response to this if it is weak this will be the green light to invade Taiwan. If I was Japan I would start rearming again, the Japanese are a formidable force at full strength
Exactly. Everyone is watching this.
The Chinese and the Russians see the West as decadent (in the true sense of this word - meaning decaying). They think we're fading into oblivion and they can basically rule the roost.
Many people do not realise how serious a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be. Taiwan is a major produced of cutting edge semi-conductor chips. They produce the best in the world and the Chinese have nothing like it. Additionally, US trade embargoes have cut Chinese companies off from a lot of western technology so they're even more desperate. Their own processors are terrible compared with anything produced by western tech. Same with the Russians.
The point of looking at a bigger picture is to be able to see that 'doing nothing' might actually be our worst option in the longer term. I do not think the current situation is the same as that in mid 1930's Europe, but I do think there are some useful parallels to be drawn. Appeasement seldom works with people like Putin. At best it delays the inevitable.
Again, and again I see people saying "we want a diplomatic solution". Well, yes, of course. Everyone does. The difficulty is that it's looking increasingly unlikely there is an acceptable diplomatic solution to be had.
Let's say, for a moment, we agree that Ukraine is not a candidate member of NATO and, so, not going to have NATO weapons put there. Do you think, for one moment, that is going to get the deal done ? Because the answer is 'no'. What it's going to do is embolden Putin - he's going to look, almost certainly, at the Baltic states and then the situation is much worse. They are all members of NATO and we are treaty bound to defend them. Should we ignore our treaty obligations because we want a so-called 'diplomatic solution' ? Where, exactly, are we going to draw this line ?
Should we let China take Taiwan ? Does it matter ? It's a long way away after all.
I simply do not think the West can respond without being strong any longer. I think this is a pivotal point (I suspect most people agree with this statement, even if no others I've made) and our reactions to this crisis are going to have repercussions for decades to come.