@gogohm
Has a whiff of 1914 about it to me, almost like nations are gagging for it. I hope it's actually reverse diplomacy, trying to keep putin from acting by calling him out, whether it works is unlikely.
My dd is is in armed forces, she's had briefings and whilst she isn't, many people she knows are on standby or been recalled from U.K. based training and deployed - I should add this is precautionary, it's meant to be a show of strength to say don't you dare Russia!
Its got whiffs of 1914 and 1938 about it.
I feel very very uneasy about it.
Theres been talk that we've been at war with Russia for a while now - the conflict in Syria has put us directly up against Russia at times via proxy. Its been managed diplomatically. We have also had a disinformation war going on, and there has been significant attempts to influence high profile politicians throughout the West in an underhanded way - either through compromising them or buying them.
I don't like what is happening with China either. They are developing weapons and theres talk of them invading taiwan within 2 years. And Russia and China are very much becoming closer.
Putin also has a sizeable amount of disharmony at home. Patronism and a good old fashioned war is a good way to crush concerns about covid and liberal thought. He is technically only supposed to serve so many terms under law. So there needs to be a way to keep him long term.
Stuff like making russias internet completely separate to the rest of the world, is about stopping western influence and keeping control but its also useful in a war scenario. Russia has also worked hard on food self sufficiency over a number of years - in part because sanctions and border controls have forced it, but also because its strategically sensible.
Its been said for a number of years, even prior to the annexing of crimea that P1utin wanted 'to return Russia to the glory of what it was'.
None of this happened over night. Theres been a movement to this point over years - dictators can have 20 year plans in ways that democracies dont.
Im extremely worried. My sense is one of panic and running around like headless chickens by the west who simply don't know what to do.
Thats probably exactly what Putin is sensing.