hi jj - I thought you might be here.
How would you feel if you were told from now on you can only use the men's toilets? Is that comparable to occasionally having to share a space with a trans women in the women's toilets? Who is more likely to get assaulted, the teenage trans girl who always has to use the men's toilets or a non-trans girl who might come across a trans woman about once a year? Spoiler - there is only one reported case in UK legal history of a trans woman assaulting a woman in a woman's toilet. The chance of it happening are hundreds of million to one.
As you well know, the media are rather focused on reporting crimes as committed by the criminals chosen gender identity these days, as are the police who have been recording crimes in the criminals chosen gender identity. So there are rather a lot of crimes committed by males that are listed as being committed by females which makes them harder to research. It has also been enough that it seems to have skewed the figures on sexual assaults by women - the recent and steep increase in this type of crime by 'women' corresponds with the timescale of misreporting by the police.
As you may also remember, you have been provided with rather a lot of evidence of transwomen committing rapes and sexual assaults in all sorts of women's (and public) spaces. You pick on one exact scenario, in an area the is deliberately being obscured by the media and police knowing that there are many other examples available.
R00T you may find the website transcrime uk an interesting resource which rather challenges jj's statement.
Anyway, I'm glad you're here as I've been thinking about this for a little while. Us women have oodles of evidence of attacks by males on females (regardless of how either party identifies). What I have not seen is any evidence of the 'vast numbers' of attacks on transwomen in the men's toilets.
I saw a man on twitter yesterday point out that women who are not bothered about sharing often use the men's toilets and therefore men are quite used to female and female presenting people wandering in while they are having a wee on a regular basis. Add to that the fact that young men seem generally quite keen on dressing up in outlandish outfits on stag do's etc and quite a few transwomen I've seen have chosen 'not to transition their appearance' so appear fully male to any bystander (and therefore have absolutely no reason not to use the men's toilets).
So, jj please could you provide us with evidence that the number of attacks on transwomen in the men's toilets exceeds that of any other vulnerable male group (teenagers, small camp men etc). I would be grateful for some data on this. It may help provide good evidence for the campaign for neutral third spaces.