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AIBU?

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Original poster

To think this will largely be over in two months?!

366 replies

ChristmasIvy · 12/01/2021 18:23

I’m home schooling at the moment and surprised by how many other parents seem to think that this lockdown could continue for the rest of the academic year. I’m expecting the worst of the lockdown to be over by Feb half term - I.e. when millions of the most vulnerable will have received the vaccine, winter is almost over, and the seasonal drain on the NHS is alleviated. What am I missing?! I also believe we will be able to go on “normal” holidays again by Easter...

OP posts:
Newmooon · 13/01/2021 20:20

@marthastew

No 10 are planning for end of April. I have a friend who works there. I know everyone says this but I really do.
What exactly will be changing at the end of April? Schools will be opening before then, surely...?
Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum · 13/01/2021 20:29

At my son's secondary the teachers are now actually telling the kids they expect to be back in February.

It does seem a little optimistic to me. I would have thought sometime in March. Being in London before Christmas lockdown I was saying London schools wouldn't be back until Easter. However looking at everything now I think it will be sooner.

Both gloomy Whitty and Fergusson saying it will be months not years until we return to near normal. If they are hopeful you know things are going well.

The figures in first hit areas are going down now. Hospital admissions are my main one to watch as deaths will follow suit.

The information about transmission after vaccination is still in early days but is looking like it does reduce. Everyone now watching Israel closely.

The vaccination program is speeding up. My husband went from first jab July to April on the calculator. I am expecting that to change to every sooner in the next few weeks.

New variants we need to watch but aren't necessarily worse. A virus will always be mutating. This one hopefully will get milder in time.

Anyway over all I think by April a lot will have reopened. Potentially schools before this in March. Travel will be more restricted but happening. Then by June we will have very little restrictions at allGrin

amispeakingenglish · 13/01/2021 20:41

as per Israel's highly successful approach.

Yes, but they aren't helping the Palestinians though

Parker231 · 13/01/2021 21:09

No one knows , even government at this stage, so not helpful to spread rumours.

Greenshed · 13/01/2021 21:15

I think we've a long way to go yet. I'd be surprised if children are back before Easter, at the earliest. As for holidays? I don't see those happening any time soon, sadly. Normality as we knew it before the pandemic, i.e. no masks, no restrictions, no social distancing, being able to travel freely, etc, etc, will not be with us for a considerable time yet, I'm afraid. The whole world is upside down, not just the UK, it will take a while before confidence fully returns.

FourTeaFallOut · 13/01/2021 21:17

Yes, but they aren't helping the Palestinians though

Have the Palestinians asked for help?

Dee1975 · 13/01/2021 21:28

I think it will be when they have had the second vaccine. Then they know the hospital numbers will be low.
So maybe 3plus months (vaccines 12 weeks apart).

Oblomov20 · 13/01/2021 21:29

Nope. Easter at least.

tobee · 13/01/2021 21:41

There's a lot of pessimistic nonsense on this thread. Hmm

tobee · 13/01/2021 21:43

You can tell by the use of the phrase "sorry" and "I'm afraid".

tobee · 13/01/2021 21:46

@Lavanderrose

*expect that most of the people who would have needed to go to hospital with covid before vaccination will still need to go to hospital. They might need less intervention, and have a better survival rate. They may be ill for longer. And that in itself will kill some people*

This is very insightful.

I think nothing will change for a few good months and home schooling will continue in some aspect for the rest of the year. Research is ongoing about the new variant, and the world is watching us with keen interest to see if our strategy of rolling out the vaccination will be effective because the second dose of the vaccination should be given 3-4 weeks after the first. We’re doing the second dose at 12 weeks. Surely we will have to start opening up toward April so that the effectiveness of the vaccine can be assessed to some degree.

It's not insightful. It's not based on science. Is not based on the trial results of vaccines. It's just some guess.

tobee · 13/01/2021 21:53

Plus we've got several new variants now. And vaccine developers are optimistic about coverage. The world is not particularly looking to us. Israel is vaccinating at a great rate. The world should be looking there for vaccine data.

Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum · 13/01/2021 22:07

@amispeakingenglish

as per Israel's highly successful approach.

Yes, but they aren't helping the Palestinians though

It is kind of a different discussion. So probably best to start a new thread for that. Interesting point though.
Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum · 13/01/2021 22:14

I agree that was probably the least insightful post so far.

Poster has taken some stupid gutter press article with basic information by the sounds of it. Then constructed a doom and gloom prediction.

Probably an anti vaxer at a guessHmm

MadameBlobby · 13/01/2021 22:15

@tobee

You can tell by the use of the phrase "sorry" and "I'm afraid".
Yes the “believe me/mark my words there will never be a vaccine” crew have had to change tack
AlternativePerspective · 13/01/2021 22:36

Well tbh I think that things like masks should become a permanent fixture during e.g.the flu season.

There is now ample evidence that hand hygiene and masks have led to a reduced flu season so that needs encouraging.

Masks should become as normal here as they are in the Far East....

oknowimscared · 13/01/2021 23:15

What are you missing?
The numbers involved.
Yet another pie in the sky Johnson “promise”.
Look at the numbers, remember everyone needs 2 doses eventually*
The vaccines being rolled out is amazing - and the number being done each day will improve. But it’s still going to take a hell of a long time to do this. I’m not booking anything. Certainly not as early as Easter.

*whenever the govt rather than scientists say

Crazycrazylady · 13/01/2021 23:17

I've just booked Florida for end of October.. I'm assuming ( praying) that we should mostly be out the other side by then ..

oknowimscared · 13/01/2021 23:24

Well, I hope you’re right @Crazy, but I also hope you’ve got good travel insurance in place.

giggly · 14/01/2021 00:10

A normal holiday at Easter, best laugh I’ve had all day as just being told I’m being redeployed from NHS community to a ward as my trust is in a critical state.
Carry on with your naivety or stupidly OP

Localocal · 14/01/2021 00:11

I think kids will go back to school in late Feb or early March, but we will otherwise stay locked down until some time in April. Travel ok again from the summer.

PrincessNutNuts · 14/01/2021 00:45

@tobee

You can tell by the use of the phrase "sorry" and "I'm afraid".
I'm neither sorry nor afraid.

Just well-informed.

tobee · 14/01/2021 00:58

Lol

tobee · 14/01/2021 01:00

You're speculating!

PrincessNutNuts · 14/01/2021 01:11

@tobee

You're speculating!
Well-informed speculation Wink

Based on what the vaccines actually do rather than treating them as a silver bullet that magically fixes everything.

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