I’m wondering about our long term strategy for this if a vaccine is a way off.
So our goal/aim is not to overwhelm the NHS? It’s far too late for a virus elimination strategy.
Haven’t we just pushed what would have happened in June (had we opened up more to autumn now?). Therefore prolonging the process and causing more economic harm? I’m really just thinking this over rather than arguing this is the case. If we are in a second wave (and I’m not sure we are) wouldn’t that have been better in July/August than autumn and the flu season?
I remember when we were talking about school closures. Back then it seemed ridiculous to me to keep them closed through June and July then open them all at once in September as that would surely cause a surge in cases when we don’t want them- autumn and winter? But that is what we did and that is what is happening.
This is based to the premise that the virus will come in ‘waves’ though and naturally rise and fall. We don’t know that is the case.
Should our aim be to keep a low level ‘bubbling away’ of the virus whilst protecting the care homes and the elderly? We can’t eliminate it and locking down and opening up is going to cause huge economic problems. Just thinking long term now..
I don’t think the hospitality industry can cope with any more closures, the airline industry is decimated. So many jobs lost.
For how long can this go on?
The death rate will rise but we have better treatments now. Supposedly better testing! People are still wfh. I think we have to carry on with minimal closures now. We know so much more about the virus now maybe we can avoid a huge death rate.