Clavinova:
it is scaremongering to knowingly quote out of date, inflated stats.
In your opinion the BMJ authors are biased and deliberately scaremongering? Perhaps they are anti-Brexit because they can see the problems that it will cause. Anyway - knowing that the reduction in trade will only be 40% - 60% instead of 80% is hardly comforting. Whether it is drugs, food or the parts for factories that keep people in jobs, nothing about Brexit has been shown to be anywhere near as good as remaining in the EU.
Statistical modelling doesn't automatically turn into fact and no-deal contingency plans are being implemented at a much faster pace now
Why have contingency plans if you don't accept the statistical models? What else forms the basis of the plans?
21 AUG "More than 88,000 VAT registered companies across the UK will be allocated an Economic Operator Registration and Identification (EORI) number in the next two weeks in order to keep trading with customers and suppliers in the EU after the UK has left.
In the event of a No Deal Brexit, all UK-issued EORI numbers become invalid, because a non-member country cannot issue them. Instead the individual firms will need to obtain an EORI number from an EU country. Which costs time, money and causes delays.
Wouldn't that be 2,000 trucks in each direction though?
Yes, but that still requires 40 additional sailings a day across the Channel. They won't be able to use Dover as that is already full, so longer crossings e.g. to Harwich or Tilbury, will require more ships.
The head of the French channel ports said a few weeks ago;
“There are certain individuals in the UK who are whipping up this catastrophism for their own purposes,”
The head of the French ports also makes statements 'for his own purposes.' A reduction in sailings from his ports means less income, and at the same time, if Rotterdam, Hook of Holland and Zeebrugge are better prepared, he risks losing more sailings and more income. The advantage of the short crossing from Calais or Dunkirk is negated if the trucks have to queue for hours or days to embark.
Portsmouth City Council have already built infrastructure (new roads, 'triage points and lorry parks
Good news and at least someone is taking action, but think what else this money could have been spent on. The UK is supposed to be seeing a Brexit dividend, not spending billions to replace a fully-functioning arrangement with something nowhere near as good.
The EU will continue to allow UK trucks and drivers into the EU on a temporary basis...But this temporary permission can be unilaterally ended...
A reciprocal arrangement though so unlikely
You missed off the rest of my comment. If Johnson refuses to pay the £39bn, the EU could withdraw this and other temporary arrangements.
What about isotopes for cancer screening
Revised plan - air freight and 'door-to-door' service with tracking
Isotopes presently come into the UK on commercial planes and are delivered by courier and tracked door-to-door. The government's plan was to charter their own plane to bring the isotopes in and then to hire couriers to distribute them. The 'revised plan' is exactly the same as the current situation - DHL, UPS or whoever will fly the isotopes in and use their own or subcontracted specialist couriers to distribute them.