I'm saying that identifying as a woman means they're a woman. So why would they pose a threat as a man?
Male pattern violence is a feature of males as a class. Males identifying as women are still part of the male reproductive class. There is no evidence that identifying as female reduces the likelihood of male pattern violence.
There is an alarming correlation between committing sex offences and identifying as a woman, as I have already explained. Further, impartial research in this area would be of great benefit, I think.
I'm saying that any transwoman who identifies as female is a lot lower risk than a cismale.
There is no evidence for this assertion.
There is a wealth of evidence that high-risk males are more likely than the general male population to cross-dress for sexual gratification and subsequently identify as women.
Transmen do not get male privilege, by the way.
Male privilege is incurred over the course of a lifetime spent in a biologically, 'medically' male body and a sexist, male-dominant society that imposes masculinity on males and femininity on females. It attaches to male bodies, not to gender identities.
It cannot attach to gender identities, because gender identities are not visible (unless a person wishes to express them outwardly). Male privilege is not an innate feature of male bodies. It is bestowed from without, not generated from within.