Wow. I'm so glad I found this thread and people who I might be able to discuss this stuff with.
I am a doctor. I am also a regular on here and have namechanged just for this post. I don't feel able to discuss these topics professionally or on professional forums, or even places I might be identifiable as a doctor because I am afraid of what effect it may have on my career.
I work with a really difficult population, I specialise in the psychiatry of people who are mentally disordered offenders. A large part of my job is psychiatric assessments of serious offenders. Most of these people are not unwell, but in cases of murder it's a statutory requirement and in serious cases such as rape/serious assault the judge or crown prosecution service often requests a report simply to exclude mental illness.
I have been told by not one but multiple sex offenders that they can't wait until the laws change. This is because where I work there are multiple old, horrible men's prisons. There is one quite new, pleasant women's prison where they have things like carpets and single-person cells. I have been asked on multiple occasions about "can I be a woman while I'm inside and go to xxxx prison?"
At present, I am able to refer to the current medical guidance around presenting as a woman for x period of time etc. I can offer referral to a specialist clinic. This puts a lot of them off. It's too much work.
If/when things change, this will not be the case. I have been told by prisoners like the ones above that they'll be "Ladying it up". There is implicit, and sometimes explicit, statement that in doing this they will have access to a female population which is their preferred population to offend against.
Why do they tell me this?
Because I am a woman, and they wish to frighten me. That's the reality of many of our incarcerated sex offenders.
While I don't doubt that there are many dysphoric people who wish to transition and live as the opposite sex, they're not who I'm anxious about. As someone more eloquently said, this isn't about transsexual people it's about this idea of gender neutrality and the effect it has on other protected groups.