The problem with a lot of points made about welfare is they are based on fundamental misconceptions which few politicians are prepared to dispel.
From a recent YouGov survey-
Most voters vastly overstate the amount spent on benefits for the unemployed,the level of fraud and the level of welfare by immigrants.
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fraud- the poll said voters put it at 22% which would equate to more than 40bn a year received by people fiddling the system. Only 1.2bn is the actual figure. Nowhere near the publics's estimate.
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'Welfare Tourism' - there is no official figure for the amount of job seekers, housing benefit,child benefit and child tax credits being claimed by people who have come to Britain in the past 10years. The total cost of these benefits is 76bn / 37% of the total. Recent immigrants comprise of no more than 5 per cent of the population and academic studies indicate they are less likely to receive benefits than British-born people. This implies the figure is 2% of the £205bn total. Public perception averages a vastly inflated 23%.
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'Lifestyle Choice' - only a fraction of 1% can be attributed to long term/life choice 'scroungers'. Unemployment benefits comprise of just 2% of all welfare spending.
The media and political focus on stories of welfare abuse and tackling it has shaped the perceptions of the vast majority of voters. The talk of 'culture of dependency' comes from overstating the amount of money going to fraudsters,immigrants and the jobless and taking the focus away from the actual, rather difficult economic truth of the benefits system.
The talk about means testing winter fuel allowance would only save 200m at most /0.1 % of the total welfare bill.
None of the 'popular' welfare reform measures (capping benefits, banning immigrants from claiming until they have lived here for two years, winterfuel allowance being means tested etc) make much of a dent in the £205 bn welfare total.
Of course every political party will duck the main issue that in order to truly tackle the welfare bill a radical overall is needed of benefits going to pensioners today and in future.