Of course there will be a rise; there will be in many disabilities as less babies die at or before birth, and children and adults survive illnesses and injuries later in life.
Well the exception statistically seems to be Downs Syndrome. I am sure most people know why that is.
I have huge issues with Katie Hopkins as she gives fuel to the arguments of idiots like my BIL who argue that ASD and ADHD diagnoses and statements are obtained with a simple form from the council; why those same people won't listen to me when I have studied ASD at post grad level for five years now (part time) I am not sure.
ASD is largely an illness of physiological or genetic origin; we have a chromosome with a snapped and reattached short arm. Many children who have ADHD have visible brain differences after a high res MRI is performed, to the corpus callosum. ADHD and ASD seem to share a potential genetic origin in some people with allergies, immune deficiencies and SPLDs.
To obtain three diagnoses in our family, it took 2 years with eldest age 6; 3 years with next child aged 6 (both ages at diagnosis). DS4 has been watched and monitored for 3 years so far with a statement already in place and pretty obvious ASD yet still no diagnoses as they don't like to rush it in siblings.
I meet many, many children who need a diagnoses but do not have one. I have as yet only ever met one child whose diagnosis I doubt, and neither her education nor diagnosis was obtained within the state system. I meet even more children who need educational support but have been refused- and none within the state system given support that didn't need it.
I meet as many well behaved children with ASD as children with behavioural issues. Amongst my diagnosed duo I have one of each- a child who exists in his words to be kind, and one who describes himself as training to be evil (he's failing badly but certainly trying!).
And I completely abhor the idea of Ms Hopkins trying to tell me about ASD and diagnosis. As a mother, professional, researcher and someone in the diagnostic system herself. if she considers herself a specialist she can jolly well cough up ££££££££ and years studying like the rest of us mere mortals. The other route to truly understanding the system is to foster or adopt a child with SN, but I would hope Social Services would never permit that.