ItsAllGoingToBeFine
Scotland could phase out all fossil fuel and nuclear power by 2030, maintain a secure electricity supply and generate significant revenue from renewable exports, according to new research by one of the world's leading energy consultants, Garrad Hassan.
It's now widely recognised that renewables could grow to comfortably exceed our electricity demand by 2020. But The Power of Scotland Secured shows that, contrary to popular myth, the variability of renewable power need not threaten the security of supply in Scotland, even in the context of a full phase out of conventional thermal power.
You still need conventional power plants to provide backup. You can't phase it out unless you want to live in the dark.
The FoE report makes several basic errors.
It assumes that there will be a demand for Scottish wind-electricity both at the price that Scotland wants and at the times when that power is generated.
It also considers - bizarrely - a fall in demand for electricity as a possible option.
It assumes a trebling of onshore wind production.
It assumes a fifteen-fold growth in offshore wind production.
It assumes that wave and tidal will produce the equivalent of an entire nuclear power station's worth of power by 2023 - just 11 years away - even though there isn't a single large-scale wave or tidal facility in Scotland at present.
And that's the 'Low Renewables' case.
It assumes that Carbon Capture and Storage is both technically feasible and economically feasible, when it is an unproven technology.
The whole report is ecomentalist BS. It's a fantasy. There's not a single achievable element of it, from cutting power usage to exporting wind electricity to Germany to making a profit out of wind.