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Ukraine Invasion: Part 61

203 replies

MagicFox · 28/04/2026 15:57

Welcome to thread 61 with many thanks to all So many thanks to all contributors and a special salute to those providing daily updates. For the 61st time, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

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ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 09/05/2026 09:51

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Russian Refinery Hitlist
Latest hits:
🔴08.05.2026 Perm in Perm Krai at 1485 km
🔴08.05.2026 Yaroslavl in Yaroslavl Oblast at 700 km

A drone struck an FSB building in Chechnya.
Reports also indicate a strike on a military base in Khankala, a suburb of Grozny. The headquarters of Russia’s 42nd Guards Yevpatoria Red Banner Motor Rifle Division is stationed there.

Azov returns to Mariupol. For now, through reconnaissance-strike systems.

Pilots of First Corps Azov of the National Guard of Ukraine patrol roads up to 160 km deep behind the line of contact.

In the cameras of reconnaissance-strike drones: Mariupol and enemy military targets. Enemy forces are using Ukrainian roads in the city and its outskirts to move personnel and military hardware.

First Corps Azov continues to establish a "sanitary zone" for Russian logistics. The strike depth will increase.

Azov is already patrolling its home city of Mariupol. From the skies — for now. But more is coming.

Russia launched an overnight attack on Ukraine using an Iskander-M ballistic missile and 43 attack drones.
Ukrainian air defenses neutralized 34 UAVs. Another nine drones and the missile struck targets in six locations, while debris fell at two additional sites.
In the Dnipropetrovsk region, two people were killed and two others were injured in Russian drone and artillery attacks.

Russian FPV-drones continue to attacking random cars and parking lots in Kherson, Nikopol and Marhanets

🇬🇷 A Ukrainian Magura V5 naval drone was discovered in Greek territorial waters near the island of Lefkada, prompting an investigation by Greek authorities.
The drone was not carrying explosives, though detonators were found onboard. Greek authorities are considering several possibilities, including that the drone may have been used by smugglers or intended for operations against Russia’s shadow fleet.
▪️The Magura V5 is a multipurpose naval drone capable of reconnaissance, patrol missions, search and rescue operations, mine countermeasures, fleet protection, and combat missions.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Mb76 · 09/05/2026 10:23

FULL TEXT TRANSLATION OF THE DECREE OF THE PRESIDENT OF UKRAINE No. 374/2026
On holding a parade in Moscow
Taking into account numerous requests and for humanitarian purposes outlined in negotiations with the American side on May 8, 2026, I decree:
To allow a parade to be held in Moscow (Russian Federation) on May 9, 2026.
For the duration of the parade (from 10:00 a.m. Kyiv time on May 9, 2026), the area of Red Square shall be excluded from the plan for the use of Ukrainian weapons.
Red Square coordinates:
55.754413 37.617733
55.755205 37.619181
55.753351 37.622854
55.752504 37.621538
This decree shall enter into force on the date of its signing.
President of Ukraine V. Zelenskyy
May 8, 2026

This is an Absolute gold level of trolling bravo 👏🏻 Zelenskyy

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/05/2026 11:14

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

Magyar sworn in as Hungary's prime minister (kyivindependent.com/magyar-sworn-in-as-hungarys-pm-as-kyiv-eyes-reset-in-ties/) as Kyiv eyes reset in ties.
Magyar's Tisza party resoundingly defeated Orban's Fidesz in the parliamentary elections on April 12, pledging a pivot away from Budapest's pro-Moscow direction and a mend in ties with the EU.

⚡️Update: Magyar calls on Hungarian president to resign (kyivindependent.com/magyar-sworn-in-as-hungarys-pm-as-kyiv-eyes-reset-in-ties/) by end of month.

⚡️Putin says he believes war in Ukraine almost over. (kyivindependent.com/putin-believes-war-in-ukraine-is-almost-over/)
The Russian leader also said he would be willing to meet President Volodymyr Zelensky in a third country — a shift from his usual invitation to host the Ukrainian president in Moscow.

⚡️Fico did not pass messages from Zelensky (kyivindependent.com/fico-did-not-pass-messages-from-zelensky-to-putin-during-moscow-meeting-kremlin-claims/) to Putin during Moscow meeting, Kremlin claims.
"It turned out that Fico simply provided a fairly detailed account of what he had discussed with Zelensky," Russian Presidential Aide Yuri Ushakov told reporters on May 9.

⚡️Russian drone strikes apartment building (kyivindependent.com/russian-drone-strikes-apartment-building-in-kharkiv-less-than-24-hours-into-ceasefire/) in Kharkiv less than 24 hours into ceasefire.

⚡️ Poland finds spy drone (kyivindependent.com/drone-with-cyrillic-markings-found-near-polish-russian-border/) near Russia's Kaliningrad border.
"Preliminary findings at the scene suggest it was likely a military reconnaissance drone, with no combat capabilities," the Polish military police reported.

⚡️Trump says he may relocate (kyivindependent.com/trump-might-relocate-5-000-us-troops-to-poland-after-previous-vows-to-withdraw-from-germany/) 5,000 US troops to Poland after previously pledging withdrawal from Germany.
Trump had previously pledged to withdraw U.S. forces after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz criticized Washington's handling of the Iran war.

'Victory will be ours,' Putin tells (kyivindependent.com/victory-will-be-ours-putin-tells-victory-day-parade-without-any-tanks/) Victory Day parade without any tanks.
A greatest hits compilation of Russia's most modern military hardware was shown on a video displayed on screens at the event.

⚡️Pro-Ukrainian partisans set locomotive ablaze (kyivindependent.com/pro-ukrainian-partisans-set-locomotive-ablaze-in-russias-lipetsk-oblast-group-claims/) in Russia's Lipetsk Oblast, group claims.
The sabotage operation is alleged to have destroyed the locomotive, used for transporting military cargo towards Ukraine's Sumy Oblast.

⚡️Russian independent media publish new estimate of Russia's losses in Ukraine (kyivindependent.com/russian-independent-media-update-estimate-of-russian-losses/).
The estimate includes only officially confirmed deaths of Russian citizens. For the first time, it also includes soldiers declared dead or missing in cases where bodies were not recovered or identified.

Russia’s war comes home (kyivindependent.com/russias-war-comes-home/)
“Four times in a span of two weeks, Ukrainian drones lit up the local oil refinery and export terminal, laying bare the weakness of Russian air defenses. Clouds of smoke so vast that they were visible from space,” writes Andrew Chakhoyan, an academic director at the University of Amsterdam, in this op-ed.
“Ukraine is no longer just an aid recipient; it is emerging as a security provider for Europe,” Andrew Chakhoyan adds.

Why Putin's Victory Day cult is failing (https://kyivindependent.com/why-putins-victory-day-cult-is-failing-russias-war-veterans/) Russia's war veterans
Russia’s veterans of the war against Ukraine are being cast by the Kremlin as a new “elite.”
But many returning soldiers face a different reality. Of the roughly 137,000 soldiers who had returned home, only 57% had found employment by mid-2025, according to official data.

⚡️ Russia breaks 3-day ceasefire as (kyivindependent.com/russia-breaks-3-day-ceasefire-as-strikes-kill-1-injure-19-across-ukraine/) strikes kill 1, injure 19 across Ukraine.
Ukraine's Air Force said it intercepted all 27 drones launched by Russia from Primorsko-Akhtarsk and Millerovo overnight.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/05/2026 11:28

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Ukrainian drone operators are helping strengthen Swedish and NATO capabilities.
Several Ukrainian drone operator units have arrived in Sweden to take part in the Aurora 2026 exercises alongside Swedish and allied military personnel. Their combat experience and knowledge of the modern battlefield are now being applied in practice, the Swedish Ministry of Defense said.
Aurora 2026 is considered one of the largest security and defense exercises in the Baltic region. It brings together military personnel from 18 countries, including representatives of Ukraine’s Defense Forces.
The exercises cover key aspects of modern warfare on land, in the air, and at sea. Troops are practicing rapid deployment, protection of logistics corridors, air defense operations, armored maneuvering, drone integration, and coordination of multinational forces on the battlefield.

The parade in Moscow was held without military equipment not only for security reasons, but also because the military must focus on the final defeat of the enemy, Putin said.
Other statements from the Russian dictator:
▫️ After the Ministry of Defense warned of a possible retaliatory strike on central Kyiv in the event of an attack on Red Square, the Russian Foreign Ministry informed Western embassies that such a strike could also affect their missions;
▫️ Moscow asked Washington to ensure the security of diplomatic missions in Kyiv. After that, Trump proposed extending the ceasefire announced by Russia on May 8–9 for two more days, until May 11;
▫️ Russia discussed with China, India, the United States, and other countries the consequences of possible strikes on Kyiv on May 9 and potential Russian retaliation;
▫️ Foreign leaders who attended the May 9 events in Moscow demonstrated a certain level of courage;
▫️ The United States is genuinely seeking a settlement, but this remains primarily a matter for Russia and Ukraine;
▫️ The US does not need the Ukrainian conflict, as it has many other priorities;
▫️ The war in Ukraine is nearing its resolution;
▫️ “I have never refused to meet with Zelenskyy; let him come to Moscow. We could also meet in a third country, but only to finalize long-term agreements”;
▫️ Russia must ensure that no one threatens it and will continue to pursue this goal;
▫️ The “globalist trend of Western elites” is waging war against Russia “through the hands of Ukrainians”;
▫️ The sooner Europe recognizes the need for acceptable relations with Russia, the better it will be for all sides;
▫️ Russia is ready to replicate Iran’s experience in storing enriched uranium; initially there was agreement, but the US later toughened its position;
▫️ Cooperation between Russia and China is a key factor in stabilizing international relations;
▫️ Russia and China are preparing to take a significant step forward in cooperation in the oil and gas sectors;
▫️ The stronger Russia becomes, the faster attempts to downplay the Soviet Union’s role in World War II will fade;
▫️ “Everyone wanted to take something from Russia”;
▫️ Finland joined NATO expecting Russia to weaken, but is now strengthening its border infrastructure;
▫️ “Stupidity can lead to poverty,” — on Europe’s attempts to discourage officials from attending the May 9 events in Moscow;
▫️ Armenia’s plans to join the EU require special consideration;
▫️ Russia will support decisions that benefit the Armenian people;
▫️ Armenia could hold a referendum on EU membership, after which Russia could begin a “civilized separation” process if supported;
▫️ In Ukraine’s case, the conflict also began with the issue of European integration.

The Ministry of Defense showcased an AI-powered turret for destroying drones.
The system independently detects, tracks, and calculates the trajectory of an enemy UAV, while the operator only needs to confirm the strike by pressing a button.
Fighters of the K-2 brigade were the first to use it in combat conditions. The system is now being deployed by more than 10 units in key areas of the front. https://t.me/United24media/42189

🇮🇹 Former Italian ambassador to Uzbekistan detained in Rome on suspicion of selling visas to Russians.
He is believed to have approved at least 95 long-term visas for Russian applicants, some of whom did not appear at the consulate in person. In return, they allegedly paid between €4,000 and €16,000.
Italian prosecutors suspect that Piergabriele Papadia de Bottini di Sant’Agnese acted in collusion with a Russian-born individual holding Italian citizenship and residing in Bulgaria. Both are charged with corruption and facilitating illegal migration.

Hollywood actor Tom Hiddleston visited Ukrainian refugee children at the DyvoSvit center in Moldova.

🏒 The Ukrainian national hockey team has advanced to the elite division of the World Championship.
Ukraine defeated Japan 3–1 in the decisive round. At the same time, Poland — Ukraine’s main rival for promotion — failed to beat Lithuania in regular time.

❗️ In the Dnipropetrovsk region, Russian forces attacked rescuers in the Nikopol district.
This morning, a fire and rescue unit was heading to a settlement in the Myriv community to assist local residents when the enemy deliberately struck a service vehicle.
As a result of the UAV attack, a 23-year-old rescue driver was injured and hospitalized.

Being a Ukrainian mother means learning to live in a reality no one could ever prepare for. It’s about making split-second decisions, hiding your own fear to keep your child calm, and finding the strength for simple acts of care in even the darkest of moments.
These are stories of resilience, where every day is a quiet struggle for a normal childhood.
We thank every mother for continuing to be a pillar of strength when it seems impossible to hold on.

UNITED24Media

The Ministry of Defense showcased an AI-powered turret for destroying drones. The system independently detects, tracks, and calculates the trajectory of an enemy UAV, while the operator only needs to confirm the strike by pressing a button. Fighters...

https://t.me/United24media/42189

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/05/2026 11:34

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Not much!

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/05/2026 11:40

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

⚡️ Putin claimed that Ukraine is allegedly not ready for a prisoner exchange and that Russia “has not received any new proposals” on the matter. Ukraine’s Presidential Office denied the claim.
“Since the agreements were reached with U.S. mediation, the actual implementation of the exchange depends on the American side’s ability to act as a guarantor.
Active contacts on this issue are currently ongoing,” a source in the Presidential Office told Suspilne.

⚡️ Russia lost an estimated 352,000 troops from the start of the full-scale war through the end of 2025, according to calculations by Russian media outlets.
Journalists confirmed the deaths of 261,000 servicemen, while another estimated 90,000 were listed as missing. The report does not include data on foreign nationals or those who went missing between July and December 2025.
▪️According to Ukraine’s General Staff, Russia has lost 1.3 million troops killed and wounded in the war against Ukraine

blueshoes · 10/05/2026 15:32

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-9-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian and Ukrainian forces continued limited offensive operations across the theater throughout the first day of the May 9 – 11 ceasefire.
  2. Russian forces used the ceasefire to conduct rotations, reinforcements, redeployments, and logistics throughout the theater, likely to support imminent future offensive operations.
  3. Russia and Ukraine have not yet conducted the reportedly agreed to prisoner-of-war (POW) swap of 1,000 prisoners each as of May 9.
  4. Ukrainian defense successes on the battlefield have prevented Russian forces from making significant advances across the theater, depriving Russian President Vladimir Putin of any significant operational successes to celebrate on Victory Day.
  5. Russia’s war in Ukraine forced Putin to hold his Victory Day parade on a much smaller scale than in previous years, as Putin cannot reliably defend deep rear areas, including the capital, from Ukrainian drones.
  6. Putin’s insistence on holding the Victory Day parade despite the threat of Ukrainian strikes reflects Putin’s refusal to accept the realities of the current battlespace.
  7. Putin used Victory Day to position the war in Ukraine as this generation of Russians’ equivalent to the Soviet Union’s role in World War II.
  8. Russian forces continue to suffer increasing casualty rates.
  9. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast and in the Borova direction.
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 10/05/2026 16:32

What???
If this is true it’s an abrupt and massive pivot isn’t it?
Obviously we can’t believe I thing he says unfortunately, but isn’t this the first statement of its kind to come out of the Kremlin?

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 16:43

It's noteworthy.

Putin doesn't seem to be 'acting as usual' recently (including alleged coup fears). He might want to stop. The drone war is wearing down Russian troops. But then he is not fighting.

So I put this in the noted column. It does not take much to just freeze the fighting.

MissConductUS · 10/05/2026 22:43

MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 16:43

It's noteworthy.

Putin doesn't seem to be 'acting as usual' recently (including alleged coup fears). He might want to stop. The drone war is wearing down Russian troops. But then he is not fighting.

So I put this in the noted column. It does not take much to just freeze the fighting.

I agree that it would be easy to just stop where he is. Because of the drone coverage, there's a 20-30 KM no man's land between the two sides that neither combatant has the strength to push through. It's possible that Putin has decided to just hold onto his gains in the Donbas. But this would require both sides to cease long-range strikes against each other's territory. That would have to be agreed to by Ukraine.

DrBlackbird · 10/05/2026 23:00

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 10/05/2026 16:32

What???
If this is true it’s an abrupt and massive pivot isn’t it?
Obviously we can’t believe I thing he says unfortunately, but isn’t this the first statement of its kind to come out of the Kremlin?

For the love of god, Zelenskyy better not actually meet Putin. He’ll be dead from some rare poison before he could take two steps.

But didn’t someone post about an impeding labour shortage in Russia? Even Putin must see that constant losses of young Russian men for no or little gains is not a good strategy.

MissConductUS · 10/05/2026 23:13

Things aren't going well for Putin.

Is Ukraine Turning the Russian Tide? - Putin’s shrinking victory parade signals Ukraine’s military advances.

But despite those reverses and the high rate of Russian casualties, the Russians still have the advantage in manpower and military industrial output. I think his political support and grip on power are starting to weaken due to the vast costs of his war. The three day SMO has now gone on longer than the Great Patriotic War, and he has very little to show for it.

MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 23:17

It's possible that Putin has decided to just hold onto his gains in the Donbas. But this would require both sides to cease long-range strikes against each other's territory. That would have to be agreed to by Ukraine.

My musing, and it is nothing more than that, is that the long range strikes are unnerving across Russia and show Ukrainian reach, while battle-front drone warfare is highly draining, and that moving to an 'OK let's stop for now' might be more on the cards than it used to be. Once you say 'we will stop and talk', and outside pressure is applied to stop and talk, you drift into a frozen conflict where resuming fighting becomes difficult. Putin might take the provisional territorial win. Not that he has indicated this is acceptable in the past.

MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 23:30

And that said, a Putin aide had underlined the Donbas pullback as a prerequisite once again today (Sunday 10th).

The Ukrainian military needs to pull back from Donbass for the peace process to move forward, Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov has said. Talks between Moscow and Kiev will remain stalled until then, he told journalist Pavel Zarubin, adding that the Ukrainian government knows this.

Image is snap of Pravda piece on this.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
blueshoes · 10/05/2026 23:33

Will Ukraine be prepared to give up territory to Russia? Even a frozen frontline rewards Putin. This war is nonetheless relentless and exhausting to Ukrainian military and civilians and I long for them to have a ceasefire.

MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 23:53

For context, frozen conflicts where there is a Russian angle, with number 2 it is more as an attempted peace-broker and being more aligned with Armenia proper:

  1. The Transnistrian war was frozen on 21 July 1992. Internationally the sliver statelet is viewed as part of Moldova. De facto it is not. So we are coming up to 34 years?
  2. Nagorno-Karabakh / Azerbaijan unfroze in September 2023 leading to a swift Azerbaijan victory and the Armenian area collapsing. [Note drone war aspect too.]
  3. The Russia-Ukraine conflict, including the faux Girkin etc. 'separatists', lasted about a year from Crimean Annexation to Minsk 2 (from March 2014). Then they more or less froze, at least in situ though there were clashes. Then after those clashes built up, February 2022 saw the current phase begin with the attempts to take Kyiv.
MMBaranova · 10/05/2026 23:56

Then 4. would be Chechnya I suppose, which can't really be adequately summarised in a sentence or two. I'll go with 'OK Kadyrov you are in charge and part of our team now'.

MissConductUS · 11/05/2026 02:03

No list of frozen conflicts would be complete without Korea, in many ways the least stable and most dangerous one of all. China is the only stabilizing force restraining NK, and it’s iffy even on a good day.

The North Koreans love trains. In the 1960s, they commandeered a Chinese freight train that was delivering goods to North Korea, and sent the crew back to China. When the Chinese demanded the return of the train, the North Koreans refused, saying that they really needed the train. The Chinese shut down the pipeline delivering petroleum products to North Korea, citing “technical difficulties”. The North Koreans eventually returned the train.

It would be a mistake to assume that China has any real control over North Korea.

blueshoes · 11/05/2026 02:55

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-10-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian and Ukrainian forces continued limited offensive operations across the theater throughout the second day of the May 9–11 ceasefire.
  2. Russian President Vladimir Putin vaguely suggested that the war in Ukraine could end soon, despite offering no indication that Russia intends to end the war.
  3. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky refuted Russian claims that Ukraine is sabotaging the planned prisoner of war (POW) exchange as part of the three-day Victory Day ceasefire.
  4. Russia appears to be increasing the sophistication of its cognitive warfare effort that uses flag raisings to achieve informational impacts.
  5. The Kremlin and the Russian military command continue to coerce and punish pro-war information space figures critical of Russian political and military leadership as part of a wider effort to consolidate control over the information space.
  6. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Borova and Slovyansk directions, the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 11/05/2026 09:34

Kyiv Independent:

⚡️ Zelensky should call Putin if he wants a meeting, Fico says after Moscow trip.

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said that “if the president of Ukraine is interested in a meeting, he should contact his Russian counterpart by phone.”

⚡️ Kremlin says it expects US envoys Witkoff, Kushner, ‘quite soon.’

Peace talks will not move forward until Ukraine pulls its forces from Donbas, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said.

⚡️ Kremlin lashes out at Armenia over Zelensky’s ‘anti-Russian statements’ in Yerevan.

Platforming “anti-Russian” positions is “inconsistent with the spirit of relations” between Moscow and Yerevan, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.

⚡️Estonia tells Kyiv to tighten drone control after Ukraine offers experts over aerial incidents.

Ukraine has offered to send experts to the Baltic states to help strengthen air security following several drone-related incidents, Estonian public broadcaster ERR reported on May 9.

⚡️ Germany skeptical of Putin’s proposal to make Schroeder mediator in Ukraine peace talks, media reports.

A German official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Reuters that the proposal was not credible because Russia had not changed its conditions for ending the war.

Analysis: Is Ukraine really turning the tide of this war?

Russian territorial gains have flatlined, giving Moscow next to nothing to show for its consistently high losses.

But in a long war that has seen many ebbs and flows, perceptions can be deceiving, and making quick judgements can be a dangerous game.

As of 2026, around 80% of all casualties on both sides are caused by drones. Massing forces of any kind — whether armored vehicles or dismounted infantry — near the front line has become suicidal.

⚡️Latvian defense minister resigns after drones violate country's airspace.

Prime Minister Evika Silina requested the resignation of Defense Minister Andris Spruds, saying he had lost her trust and "that of the public."

⚡️Ukraine to 'respond in kind' if Russia avoids mass aerial attacks, Zelensky says.

Ukraine will hold back "long-range sanctions," strikes on Russian military targets if Moscow continues to avoid launching mass attacks, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

⚡️Wanted former Polish minister flees Hungary as Magyar takes power.

Wanted former Polish Justice Minister Zbigniew Ziobro fled Hungary after newly sworn-in Prime Minister Peter Magyar said he would extradite him to Poland, Ziobro told Polish outlet TV Republika on May 10.

German defense minister visits Kyiv to discuss joint arms production.

“The focus is on the joint development of state-of-the-art unmanned systems across all ranges, particularly in the area of deep strike,” German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius told DPA.

⚡️ As Victory Day ceasefire draws to a close, Russian attacks kill 3 civilians, injure 16.

During the ceasefire, there were no large-scale airstrikes, though the Ukrainian Air Force reported Russian drone launches and the firing of one Iskander-M ballistic missile from occupied Crimea.

⚡️ These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of May 11, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DrBlackbird · 11/05/2026 09:40

Platforming “anti-Russian” positions is “inconsistent with the spirit of relations” between Moscow and Yerevan, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.

They really are world beating at hypocrisy.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 11/05/2026 09:40

Live:Ukraine

🇪🇪🇺🇦Ukraine has proposed sending its experts to the Baltic states to help strengthen air security, Estonian media outlet ERR reported. Ukraine has already contacted the Estonian embassy regarding the initiative.

Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur said he still needs to clarify what exactly the Ukrainian proposal entails. He added that the easiest way for Ukrainians to keep drones away from Estonian territory is to “control them better.”

▪️The latest drone-related incident in the Baltic states took place on May 7, when two UAVs crashed into an oil refinery in the Latvian city of Rēzekne. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said Ukraine would apologize if it is confirmed that the drones were Ukrainian and had gone off course due to Russian electronic warfare systems.

⚡️ Russian forces continued attacking Ukraine throughout the day despite the declared “ceasefire.” Here is what is known about the consequences so far:

🔴 Dnipropetrovsk region. Russian forces attacked emergency workers assisting residents of the Myrivska community. A 23-year-old rescuer was injured in the drone strike.

🔴 Kherson region. In Kherson’s Korabelnyi district, drone attacks injured three men aged 49, 53, and 18. In the village of Komyshany, a 62-year-old woman was wounded in another drone strike. She is in serious condition.

🔴 Zaporizhzhia region. The Russian army struck a 52-year-old man in Kushuhum with an FPV drone, leaving him injured.

⚡️ A man detonated a grenade in Okhtyrka in Ukraine’s Sumy region, injuring three police officers and one civilian, according to the National Police.

Police received reports about a man carrying a grenade on one of the city’s streets. During negotiations with officers, he detonated the explosive device, injuring himself as well.

The suspect was identified as a 41-year-old Okhtyrka resident and former serviceman. All injured people were hospitalized.

⚡️ Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Vladimir Putin is “finally ready for real meetings,” and that a format for such a meeting must now be found in order to end the war.

The president also said that there were no large-scale Russian attacks on May 10. However, according to him, Russian forces are not observing the ceasefire on the frontline, and Ukraine is responding symmetrically.

🇱🇻Latvian Defense Minister Andris Sprūds has resigned following the crash of drones on Latvian territory.

He said he made the decision in order to protect the Latvian military from being “drawn into a political campaign.”

The prime minister had called for his resignation, saying that drone countermeasure systems had not been deployed quickly enough. Colonel Raivis Melniš of the Latvian army was appointed as the new defense minister.

▪️On the night of May 7, several drones entered Latvia from Russian territory. Two of them crashed at an oil storage facility in Rēzekne, damaging fuel tanks. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha confirmed that the drones were Ukrainian, but said Russian electronic warfare systems had deliberately diverted them from their intended targets inside Russia.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 11/05/2026 09:54

United 24 Media:

🔹 The total effect of sanctions on Russia and other forms of pressure is producing the necessary results, said President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

The president reported on a conversation with Alexander Stubb. The sides coordinated positions ahead of upcoming international meetings and negotiations.

According to President Zelenskyy, they also discussed cooperation with the United States and European partners. He emphasized that sanctions and other pressure tools against Russia are already yielding tangible results.

🔸 Ukraine has suffered more than 3,000 attacks on its healthcare system since the start of the full-scale invasion, according to the surveillance system of the World Health Organization.

About 80% of confirmed attacks have targeted clinics, hospitals, and other healthcare facilities.

Beyond direct casualties, such strikes disrupt medical services, damage critical infrastructure, and gradually undermine the capacity of the healthcare system.

“Each of these attacks is a violation of international humanitarian law. Each one means a patient who cannot be reached, a health worker in danger, a community left without help.

This cannot be normalized. Under international humanitarian law, healthcare is protected.

This is not a guideline or a recommendation. It is a binding obligation for all parties to any conflict.

WHO will continue to document every attack on the health system and advocate for the protection of health workers in Ukraine,” said Hans-Henry P. Kluge.

Around 20% of recorded attacks targeted ambulances and other medical transport. Nearly one in three of these incidents resulted in casualties or injuries, making medical transport one of the most dangerous sectors in terms of risk.

“Since the beginning of this year alone, 186 WHO-confirmed attacks on the health system have resulted in 15 deaths and at least 81 injuries, and these figures continue to rise.

Compared to the same period in 2025, the number of deaths has nearly quadrupled, while injuries have almost doubled,” said Jarno Habicht.

According to the United Nations, 12.7 million people in Ukraine require humanitarian assistance, including 9.2 million in need of health support.

Civilian casualties are estimated to have increased by 31% compared to 2025.

“According to the latest estimates, the cost of rebuilding the health sector over the next 10 years has already reached $23.6 billion. At the same time, we are doing everything possible to ensure patients have access to necessary medical care,” said Ukraine’s Minister of Health Viktor Liashko.

WHO operations in Ukraine continue to adapt to the evolving situation, supporting healthcare facilities, protecting medical workers, and strengthening the resilience of the system.

🔹 The Kremlin has effectively signaled that negotiations will not change the course of the war against Ukraine.

Presidential aide Yuri Ushakov said that even after multiple rounds of talks, there will be no progress unless Ukraine agrees to withdraw its troops from Donbas.

He reiterated this demand, stressing that without it “there will be no result.”

Ushakov also said that American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are planning to visit Moscow in the near future to continue the dialogue.

🔸 The war in the Middle East is beginning to affect global production of copper, nickel, and fertilizers due to a shortage of sulfuric acid, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Sulfuric acid is one of the world’s most in-demand industrial chemicals. It is used in fertilizer production, metal processing, semiconductor manufacturing, and water treatment.

It is typically produced during the processing of non-ferrous metals and oil. A significant share comes from refineries in the Persian Gulf, but shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are now increasingly disrupted.

China, the world’s largest producer of sulfuric acid, restricted exports in May over concerns about rising fertilizer prices and risks to food security.

According to Argus Media, sulfuric acid prices in Indonesia have risen by more than 80% since the end of February, while prices in Chile — the world’s largest copper producer — have more than doubled. Chile is also the largest importer of sulfuric acid, which it uses in copper mining.

The report notes that the shortage is already affecting nickel and copper output. In Indonesia, some nickel producers that rely on supplies from the Middle East are reducing production.

🔹 The May 9 parade on Red Square looked more like evidence of Russia’s decline than a true celebration of victory, according to The Telegraph.

The limited number of aging aircraft in the sky did little to conceal the strain on Russia’s military resources, which continue to be heavily consumed by the war. In several regions, particularly in the Far East, local parades featured tanks dating back to the Second World War.

There is speculation that some of this outdated equipment is being returned to service due to significant losses of modern armored vehicles in Ukraine, which could point to serious depletion of the Kremlin’s capabilities.

A shortage of personnel has also become evident. During the parade, Russian units were reinforced with military personnel from North Korea. According to The Telegraph, this appears unusual for a state that has long promoted an image of military self-sufficiency.

❗️ “Putin himself says he is finally ready for real meetings — we have been ready for them for a long time,” President Zelenskyy said.

“We pushed him a little, and we have long been preparing for such meetings — now we need to find the right format. We must end this war and reliably guarantee security,” the president added.

🔸 Russia has unveiled the Geran-5 cruise missile during a so-called “virtual parade” in Moscow, according to Defense Express.

Analysts say the launcher footage was shown as part of a video presentation of military equipment that was not displayed on Red Square this year. The recording was likely made in the Oryol region.

The missile is already being compared with other systems, though it reportedly has a smaller warhead and a range of about 1,000 km. At the same time, its jet engine allows it to reach speeds of up to 600 km/h, which could complicate air defense efforts.

Experts note that the Geran-5 is assembled from standardized components, including parts of Chinese and Western origin, and may represent a new line of low-cost Russian cruise missiles.

🔹 Russians have begun shipping drone components and other goods to Iran via the Caspian Sea to bypass a potential US blockade, — The New York Times.

In recent months, the Caspian Sea has gained importance as a key trade route between Russia and Iran, sources told the newspaper.

The United States cannot intercept ships in the Caspian Sea — unlike in the Persian Gulf — because access is limited to the five countries bordering it. As a result, the region remains a “blind spot” for the US.

Russian port data reviewed by journalists also shows a sharp increase in shipments along this route in recent months.

Around two million tons of wheat, previously delivered annually to Iran via the Black Sea, have been redirected through the Caspian. Goods that were typically shipped through the Strait of Hormuz are also increasingly using this route.

According to sources, Russian components are unlikely to be decisive for Iran’s ability to confront the United States and Israel, but continued supplies could help Tehran quickly replenish its drone arsenal.

Iran has also announced efforts to expand alternative trade routes. Four Iranian ports on the Caspian Sea are operating around the clock, receiving wheat, corn, animal feed, sunflower oil, and other goods from Russia.

🇩🇪🇺🇦 German Defense Minister arrives in Kyiv for talks on expanding defense industry cooperation with Ukraine, — DPA.

Earlier, Boris Pistorius said that under new projects, the main focus will be on the joint development of advanced unmanned weapons systems across all ranges.

🇪🇺 After the inauguration of the new Prime Minister Péter Magyar, the European Union flag was raised above the Hungarian Parliament for the first time since 2014.

🇪🇺 EU to discuss potential talks with Russia at a Cyprus summit, — Kaja Kallas said.

“We need to discuss among ourselves what we want to talk about with them [the Russians]. That is why we have an upcoming informal meeting of EU foreign ministers, where we will consider the proposals I have put forward to address the issues we face,” the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy stated.

Kaja Kallas also emphasized that Europe “needs concessions from the Russian side.”

“There are Russian troops, for example, in Moldova. Their withdrawal could be one of the conditions for ensuring stability and security in the region,” she added.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 11/05/2026 10:01

Kyiv Post:

⚡️ Putin used Moscow’s Victory Day parade to insist Russia would “win” the war in Ukraine despite recent Ukrainian strikes deep inside Russian territory.

The scaled-back 45-minute event featured no military hardware for the first time in nearly two decades, while North Korean troops marched through Red Square.

⚡️ Putin claims the war in Ukraine is “moving toward its end” and says he is ready to meet Zelensky in Moscow or a neutral country — but only to sign what he calls a “final agreement.”

⚡️ The Kremlin is demanding Ukraine withdraw its troops from the Donbas, warning peace talks will remain deadlocked until Kyiv backs down. Putin aide Yury Ushakov claimed any settlement would “stand still even after 10 rounds of negotiations” without Ukrainian concessions.

⚡️ A 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange is being prepared, with Ukraine already handing over the lists, President Zelensky said.

“Contacts with the American side are ongoing regarding guarantees for implementing the agreements recently reached and announced by the US president. The 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange is being prepared and must take place. These guarantees were undertaken by the Americans,” Zelensky said.

⚡️ Despite a high-profile humanitarian ceasefire brokered for May 9–11, the Ukrainian General Staff reported 147 combat engagements on the truce’s opening day.

Russian forces launched over 7,000 kamikaze drones and conducted 2,000 shelling attacks, resulting in civilian deaths in the Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

⚡️ The Caspian Sea has become a primary strategic corridor enabling Russia and Iran to bypass sanctions and naval blockades.

Moscow is using the waterway to transfer drone components and food supplies to Tehran, helping Iran sustain its military posture despite the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

⚡️ Zelensky said Putin is now “ready for real negotiations” after Ukraine “pushed him a little” toward talks.

At the same time, Kyiv warned that if Moscow resumes large-scale strikes, Ukraine will respond immediately, stressing that any negotiations must deliver lasting security guarantees.

⚡️ Global investors are still betting on Ukraine’s future despite the war, with reconstruction costs now estimated at a staggering $600 billion, according to PrivatBank CEO Mikael Björknert.

⚡️ Putin is openly threatening Armenia with the “Ukrainian scenario” for moving closer to the EU.

The Kremlin leader claimed Ukraine was plunged into war because of its European ambitions, while warning Yerevan of “consequences” if it turns away from Moscow’s sphere of control.

⚡️ Latvia’s defense minister has resigned after two Ukrainian drones, diverted by Russian electronic warfare, crashed into oil infrastructure in eastern Latvia.

The incident exposed serious gaps in Baltic air defenses, sparked political outrage, and intensified calls for stronger NATO protection along the alliance’s eastern flank.

⚡️ German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius arrived in Kyiv on a surprise visit for high-level talks on joint weapons production and expanded military cooperation.

The discussions are expected to focus on drone projects and new German-Ukrainian defense ventures aimed at strengthening Ukraine’s battlefield capabilities against Russia.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/05/2026 11:24

DrBlackbird · 10/05/2026 23:00

For the love of god, Zelenskyy better not actually meet Putin. He’ll be dead from some rare poison before he could take two steps.

But didn’t someone post about an impeding labour shortage in Russia? Even Putin must see that constant losses of young Russian men for no or little gains is not a good strategy.

Elvira Nabiullina, the head of Russian banking, no less.

It's been said for about three years now that personnel shortages are a problem but she is the highest profile one to come out with it openly. So far like Gerasimov Putin has treated her as a solid mainstay. It's not the first time she come out with an unpopular truth, either.

There was a recent report of whispers within Russia of a potential coup. How serious this is, is not openly known. On the basis of this 'feeling' Putin is rumoured to basically be living underground in bunkers and being very careful.

It has to be said though that the oligarchs might support him because they are becoming massively richer.