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Ukraine Invasion: Part 61

784 replies

MagicFox · 28/04/2026 15:57

Welcome to thread 61 with many thanks to all So many thanks to all contributors and a special salute to those providing daily updates. For the 61st time, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

**
Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content
C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful
D. Please keep on topic

OP posts:
Thread gallery
369
Llttledrummergirl · 20/05/2026 22:03

The United States wants to secure the right to use Ukrainian military technologies as part of the Drone Deal program, Bloomberg reports citing sources.
The relevant document is currently awaiting approval. Washington is interested because it could allow the U.S. to reproduce Ukrainian defense technologies domestically.

I hope Ukraine tells them to fuck right off. America doesn't have the cards.

DuncinToffee · 20/05/2026 22:29

Zelenskyy

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
blueshoes · 21/05/2026 00:04

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-19-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russia is using unannounced strategic nuclear exercises to posture strength against Ukraine’s allies and distract from mounting battlefield weaknesses.
  2. Russian forces are likely conducting the surprise May 19 to 21 nuclear exercises and amplifying longstanding narratives aimed at influencing NATO decision-making and masking Russia’s own weaknesses.
  3. Russia is escalating its efforts to set informational conditions for possible future aggression against the Baltic states.
  4. Russian contract recruitment continues to decline as battlefield casualties rise, despite recent increases to one-time signing bonuses.
  5. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) reportedly trained Russian military personnel in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in 2025, underscoring how Russia and its allies are using the war in Ukraine for military learning and testing.
  6. Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in China on May 19 for an official visit through May 20.
  7. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast and in the Kupyansk and Hulyaipole directions.
  8. Russian forces launched 209 drones toward Ukraine overnight.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 09:49

That's interesting that Russia's heading home without (known) substantive deals, because they sent a lot of very powerful people. I can't remotely imagine China sending the equivalents to Russia.

I read a BBC article saying that there's a more powerful partner and a less powerful partner in the relationship but China handles Russia with kid gloves. That may be true, but inequality in who visits which country is telling in itself.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 10:23

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Russia arming missile warheads with depleted uranium, Ukraine's SBU says.
The SBU findings indicated that the warhead of the R-60 missile contained depleted uranium projectiles, specifically Uranium-235 and Uranium-238.

⚡️NATO chief warns Russia of 'devastating' consequences if nuclear weapons are used against Ukraine.
"Well, they (Russians) know if that happens, the reaction is devastating... Of course, we follow that (exercises), we monitor what is happening," NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said.

⚡️Zelensky warns Russia may launch northern Ukraine offensive.
Russia may be preparing a new offensive toward Ukraine's Chernihiv-Kyiv direction, potentially with involvement from Belarus, President Volodymyr Zelensky said May 20.

⚡️EU ties billions in Ukraine aid to unpopular tax reforms.
Kyiv will have to improve its revenue collection and how efficiently it spends money, the European Commission said in a press release on May 20, if it wants to access more than $8 billion of the loan.

⚡️Lithuania sounds air alarm for first time due to suspected drone threat from Belarus.
Drone activity was recorded near the Belarusian border in eastern Lithuania, but the warning was later extended to the capital, Vilnius.

⚡️ Germany’s Merz proposes radical shakeup of EU membership to give hope to Ukraine, Moldova, Balkans.
“The enlargement process takes much too long and “understandably, this creates frustration,” said the German chancellor.

⚡️Baltic lawmakers press EU for 'firm' support amid Moscow threats of strikes.
The 15 members of the European Parliament signed the letter after Russia falsely accused Latvia of allowing its airspace to be used by Ukraine to attack targets in Russia. "It must be made clear that none of the EU Member States can be threatened," the letter reads.

⚡️Central Russia's major oil refineries halt production following Ukrainian drone attacks, Reuters reports.
All of central Russia's major oil refineries have completely halted or rolled back production following recent Ukrainian drone strikes, Reuters reported May 20.

⚡️Russian oil refinery in Syzran reportedly struck amid Ukrainian attack.
A Russian oil refinery in Syzran, Samara Oblast, was struck in a Ukrainian attack overnight on May 21, social media channels reported.

⚡️Syrskyi reveals how many Russian soldiers have been killed in Ukraine since beginning of 2026.
Since the beginning of 2026, Russia's total losses have exceeded 141,500 military personnel, of whom more than 83,000 were killed, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said on May 20. The figures were revealed in Syrskyi's report on participation in a Ukraine – NATO Council meeting at NATO Headquarters in Brussels.

⚡️Alleged ringleader in major corruption probe sues Zelensky over sanctions.
Businessman Timur Mindich, an Israeli citizen, fled to Israel shortly before he was charged and sanctioned last fall.

⚡️Starmer reaffirms support in call with Zelensky, after easing of Russian sanctions prompts backlash.
From landslide election victory to wartime leadership: 7 Years of Zelensky's presidency in photos

⚡️Ukraine repatriates OUN leader Melnyk’s remains from Luxembourg, for reburial near Kyiv.
On May 19, the ashes of Andrii Melnyk, a key leader of the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists, and his wife Sofia were exhumed in Luxembourg during an official ceremony attended by Ukrainian state representatives

The Kyiv Independent’s Francis Farrell spoke with a British volunteer and drone operator serving in the Azov Corps’ international battalion about Russia’s war against Ukraine and how drone warfare has transformed modern combat.
After losing part of his leg in a mine explosion in Donbas, “Henri” underwent rehabilitation and returned to service. He explains why foreign volunteers continue to join Ukraine’s war effort, how drone operators fight on today’s front lines, and what NATO countries should learn from Ukraine to adapt to the realities of modern warfare.

⚡️ Russian attacks kill 5, injure 41 across Ukraine as farm workers targeted in Chernihiv Oblast.
A Russian Geran long-range drone struck the Semenivka community on May 20, hitting a farm bus and killing one man while injuring two others.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬
‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAY 21, 2026
■ Engagements below average and casualties well below average again; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Land-based equipment losses well below average; drone losses also below average
■ Overnight attacks: excellent drone interception rate; one Iskander-M used
■ 6 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 MLRS and air strikes above average

Baltic lawmakers turn to EU for support in face of Russian strike threats

"It must be made clear that none of the EU Member States can be threatened," the letter reads.

https://kyivindependent.com/baltic-lawmakers-press-eu-for-firm-support-amid-moscow-threats-of-strikes/

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 10:35

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

🇪🇺🇺🇦 EU Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis has signed a memorandum on a €90 billion loan package for Ukraine.
The memorandum concerns €8.35 billion in macro-financial assistance to Ukraine as part of the broader €90 billion EU loan package. The first tranche of €3.2 billion is expected in June following the adoption of a number of reforms.
[...]
The document sets fiscal policy conditions focused on revenue mobilization, expenditure efficiency, and financial management.
Among the requirements are the abolition of VAT exemptions for imported parcels worth up to €150, taxation of digital platforms, the extension of military levies, updates to the Customs Code, and the adoption of a public finance management strategy.
At the same time, the European Commission stressed that these reforms are intended to strengthen Ukraine’s economy and support its path toward EU integration.

Hungary’s new prime minister has announced plans to meet with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
“We plan to meet with the Ukrainian president in early June in Berehove, a city in Transcarpathia with a Hungarian majority,” Péter Magyar said.

Ukrainian military tested the launch of an American Hornet suicide drone using a balloon.
The balloon carried the drone 42 km before releasing it from an altitude of 8 km.
This concept increases the UAV’s range by 1.5 to 2 times.

China commented on the Reuters report about alleged training of Russian military personnel in preparation for war against Ukraine.
In response to a request from Ukrinform, China’s Foreign Ministry reiterated Beijing’s stated neutral position and peace efforts, while saying that parties should “not incite confrontation and not shift the blame to others.”
The Reuters report was described by the Chinese side as “untrue.”
“China consistently adheres to an objective and impartial position and makes efforts to promote peace negotiations.
The position of the People’s Republic of China is consistent and clear, and has been recognized and supported by the international community.
The parties to the conflict should not deliberately incite confrontation or shift the blame to others,” the statement said.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz wants to propose a new special status for Ukraine as an “associate member” of the European Union, Der Spiegel reports.
In a letter to EU leaders, Merz reportedly said that under such a status, Ukraine would not initially receive full membership or voting rights, but would be more closely integrated into EU institutions.
He justified the initiative by pointing to Ukraine’s unique situation as a country at war and the significant progress it has made in accession talks.
According to the report, Merz also believes the proposal could facilitate peace negotiations initiated by US President Donald Trump, including through a political commitment by member states to extend the EU’s mutual assistance clause to Ukraine.
In the letter, Merz described EU enlargement as a “geopolitical necessity,” while acknowledging that accession processes take time.
“Accordingly, I am convinced that we need a new impetus for Ukraine, as well as for the countries of the Western Balkans and Moldova,” he said.

💪 Ukraine has significantly increased the number of strikes deep inside Russian territory thanks to the rapid deployment of Middle Strike UAVs, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi said.
“We have also achieved some success in suppressing Russian air defense at shorter distances, which allows us to strike logistics hubs, oil refineries, and facilities of the Russian defense-industrial complex more effectively,” he noted.

Ukraine is counting on the resumption of negotiations on a free trade zone with Serbia, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said after a conversation with Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić.

Polish Defense Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz called on Ukraine to avoid actions that could threaten NATO territory.
“Of course, Ukraine must — and this is also being said by the military and NATO — define its drone targets much more precisely so as not to create a threat to the security of Alliance countries.

Sweden has handed over to Ukraine a unique replica of the battle banner of Hetman Bohdan Khmelnytsky, Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said.
The artifact, handmade by Swedish craftsmen, was presented to Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha during his visit to Sweden.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 10:40

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Ukraine has launched major security operations along its northern border amid fears Russia is dragging Belarus deeper into the war.
Zelensky previously warned of threats from Belarus and Russia’s Bryansk region, ordering Ukraine’s forces to prepare response plans. Days later, Belarus began joint nuclear drills with Moscow.
The SBU said the large-scale operation is aimed at stopping enemy infiltrators, sabotage groups, spies, and other hostile activity near the border.

Zelensky said Ukraine is ready for new peace talks in the coming weeks and hopes European powers will join the diplomatic push alongside the US.
Kyiv is seeking to revive the E3 format with Britain, France, and Germany amid growing doubts over Washington’s ability to pressure Moscow.

Zelensky warned of five possible Russian scenarios for expanding the war through northern Ukraine.
According to the president, Ukraine is reinforcing the Chernihiv-Kyiv direction, while the Foreign Ministry is preparing diplomatic measures to prevent Belarus from being used to open a new front.
Zelensky also said the Kremlin is preparing to mobilize more than 100,000 troops, though Russia currently lacks the capacity for another hidden mobilization and may resort to other political moves, including scenarios involving Transnistria.

Ukraine struck a key Russian drone hub in occupied Donetsk packed with armored vehicles, ammunition, and military equipment, killing Russian personnel.
Officials said the strike severely disrupted Russia’s ability to train UAV operators and supply attack drones to frontline units.

Ukrainian forces struck multiple high-value Russian targets on Wednesday, including the Lukoil refinery in Kstovo and key oil infrastructure, causing fires and confirmed damage.
According to Ukrainian officials, a broader drone campaign hit 10 major refineries in May, with six forced to halt operations. The strikes also targeted command posts, ammunition depots, and drone control centers.

EBRD President Odile Renaud-Basso told Kyiv Post that both Naftogaz and Ukrzaliznytsia are repaying their loans to the bank, despite the latter’s ongoing Eurobond restructuring talks.
Having deployed a record €2.9 billion ($3.39 billion) in Ukraine in 2025, EBRD’s reps are edified by the resilience of Ukraine’s private sector.

Russia hit Dnipro with a jet-powered kamikaze drone overnight, triggering a huge explosion and injuring civilians.
The attack came a day after another Russian strike killed two people and wounded six in Dnipro.

Today, Ukraine celebrates Vyshyvanka Day.
A vyshyvanka is a traditional embroidered Ukrainian shirt symbolizing identity, freedom, and heritage.
On this day, Ukrainians across the world wear vyshyvankas with pride — as a symbol of love for Ukraine and a reminder that Ukrainian identity cannot be erased.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 10:45

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇭🇺🇪🇺 Hungary is reportedly ready to approve EU sanctions against Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch Kirill, which had previously been blocked by former prime minister Viktor Orbán, Euronews reports.

🇭🇺 Hungarian Prime Minister Magyar said that granting the Hungarian minority in Ukraine the same rights as minorities in other EU countries is a necessary condition for Budapest’s approval to open the first cluster in Ukraine’s EU accession negotiations.

🇺🇸🇧🇾 The United States has asked Ukraine to discuss with the EU a possible easing of sanctions on Belarusian potash exports, Bloomberg reports citing sources.
According to the report, Washington believes that partially softening the restrictions could improve Minsk’s relations with the West and reduce Belarus’s dependence on Moscow.
Before 2022, potash fertilizers were one of Belarus’s main sources of revenue. After the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the EU and the U.S. imposed sanctions on Belarusian exports.
▪️Earlier this year, in March, the United States lifted sanctions on the company Belaruskali in exchange for the release of 250 Belarusian political prisoners. However, Belarus still cannot use export routes through Baltic Sea ports.

In April alone, around 35,000 Russian troops were killed or severely wounded in the war against Ukraine, according to statements attributed to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov during a briefing with journalists.
He said the strategic goal is to inflict losses of up to 200 Russian soldiers per square kilometer of advance.
According to his data, Russia’s losses were 35,351 in March and 34,544 in December. He also outlined changing loss ratios per square kilometer of advance: 67 in October 2025, 165 in January, 244 in February, 254 in March, and 179 in April.
Other key points from Fedorov:
🔴Air defense. The interception rate of Shahed drones using interceptor UAVs has doubled over the past four months, despite a 35% increase in the number of Shaheds launched by Russia. Ukraine has also received 2.6 times more interceptor drones during this period.
🔴Low-cost anti-Shahed missiles. Solutions are already close to completion and are being tested. The priority now is scaling production dozens of times to build up stockpiles for autumn and winter.
🔴Private air defense. 27 enterprises across Ukraine have joined an experimental program. They are at different stages of readiness, including training air defense units, purchasing equipment (interceptor drones, electronic warfare systems, radar, automated turrets), and receiving weapons from military stockpiles. Two enterprise-based units in Kharkiv and Odesa regions are already operational and have reportedly shot down nearly 20 enemy Shaheds and reconnaissance drones, as well as a jet-powered Shahed.
🔴Recruitment reform. The Ministry of Defence is preparing new projects, including a fair payment model, a new contract system with clear service terms and rotation logic, new approaches to personnel allocation, and reducing the rate of desertions.

Russia and China have agreed to build a new cross-border railway line, Bloomberg reports.
The project concerns a second railway connection between Russia’s Zabaykalsk and Manzhouli in China’s Inner Mongolia region.
The plan includes the construction of a separate railway track built to the Chinese standard gauge. Currently, cargo there has to be reloaded because Russia and China use different track widths. [note that the Chinese standard wins over the Russian]
The two countries also signed around 20 cooperation agreements in various sectors. In addition, they agreed to extend the visa-free regime between the countries until the end of 2027.
▪️Putin began his visit to China on May 19 and concluded it on May 20. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump paid an official visit to China from May 13 to May 15 — his first such trip in nine years.

Putin failed to persuade Chinese President Xi Jinping to support the construction of the new “Power of Siberia 2” gas pipeline to China, the Washington Post reports.
Through the roughly 6,700-kilometer pipeline, Russia planned to supply China with 50 billion cubic meters of gas annually. However, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said there is currently no timeline for launching the project.
According to him, the two sides already have a “general understanding” of the project’s parameters, route, and construction method, though some details remain unresolved.
At the same time, the Washington Post reports that China is currently more interested in increasing gas purchases through the existing Power of Siberia 1 pipeline. As a result, Moscow is losing the opportunity to quickly find an alternative market for its gas exports.

[more info]
Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces reportedly destroyed a training center for enemy UAV pilots and killed 65 special forces cadets from the 78th “Sever-Akhmat” Special Purpose Regiment in occupied Donetsk region.
According to the military, fighters from the 1st Separate Center of the Unmanned Systems Forces carried out 11 planned medium-range strike attacks during the night of May 20.
The exact number of casualties is still being clarified.

Russia has reportedly moved nuclear warheads to Belarus as part of joint military exercises.
The Russian Ministry of Defence said that troops will practice loading the Iskander-M missile system with nuclear-capable warheads, as well as transporting and preparing them for launches.

Russia attacked Ukraine with 116 drones and a missile overnight, while Ukrainian air defenses neutralized 109 UAVs. Here is what is known about the consequences:
🔴Chernihiv region. One person was killed and two others injured in a Russian drone strike on the Novhorod-Siverskyi district. A vehicle and a company building caught fire.
🔴Dnipropetrovsk region. Four people were injured in overnight Russian attacks: two women in Dnipro and two men in the Nikopol district and Kryvyi Rih.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 21/05/2026 16:59

Old but good, on Vyshyvanka day

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DdraigGoch · 21/05/2026 17:48

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/05/2026 13:52

Agreed. Surely the US wouldn’t agree to working against the ICC.

The same US who has a federal law on its books which is nicknamed "Hague Invasion Act"?

DdraigGoch · 21/05/2026 21:35

An interesting detail emerged from all of the discussions surrounding cost inflation of HS2. The steel contract had been awarded to the Azovstal steelworks in Mariupol. Once the Russians invaded the contracts had to be awarded elsewhere at higher cost. So the cost of steelwork for HS2 is yet another reason to add to the very long list of "reasons to hate Vlad".

It's also a riposte to those who claim it's "not our war".

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 21/05/2026 22:38

Op Ed in The Times:
Emptying Putin's war chest is more important than cheap holidays Ministers are wrong to dilute sanctions against Russia to protect supplies of aviation fuel

Every day since February 24, 2022, the people of Ukraine have shed their blood in the defence of freedom. European freedom, to be precise. They have seen their country violated, their homes destroyed and those they love killed, on the ­battlefield, in the streets, or in their beds. Their valiant resistance against a pitiless invader ­protects all Europeans. Mired in a war he initiated, President Putin cannot spare the men or materiel to cause serious trouble elsewhere. Ukraine is Europe's shield, one that allows life in the rest of the continent to carry on as normal.
Given the sacrifices being made on their behalf, Britons should not begrudge paying extra for their summer holiday flights this year. The cause of possible price increases lies 4,000 miles away in the Gulf, where Iran's blockade is choking supplies not only of crude oil and liquefied natural gas but also refined products such as jet fuel. Normally, Europe sources half of its aviation fuel from the Gulf and there are fears that shortages could affect the cost of summer holiday flights. In response, ministers have taken the extraordinary decision to delay sanctions on jet fuel derived from Russian crude but refined in India and Turkey. This weakening of planned sanctions to appease domestic demand is a shameful slap in the face for Ukraine.
Despite the domestic political turmoil of the past four years, British policy on Ukraine has been robust and consistent. This country has taken the lead in keeping Ukraine in the fight and has championed sanctions on Russia's oil and gas exports. Revenues from oil and gas are thought to make up between 30 and 50 per cent of Russia's federal budget revenues, and about 20 per cent of gross domestic product. Yet despite sanctions, Russia is pulling in more than £630 million per day due to price rises caused by the stand-off between Iran and the United States. To soften the blow of higher petrol prices for American motorists President Trump has eased sanctions on countries buying Russian oil products. Now Britain is following suit, albeit in a limited way, by delaying some additional sanctions — including those on jet fuel — agreed in October.
This is unconscionable. The United Kingdom, supposedly one of the most hawkish nations in regard to supporting Ukraine and defanging Russia, is backsliding on sanctions even as the European Union tightens them. The British decision, slipped out this week at the end of the working day, has caused dismay in Kyiv and Brussels, and provided comfort for Mr Putin, whose domestic authority is at risk from deteriorating living standards across his empire. Dame Emily Thornberry, chair of the Commons foreign affairs committee, says Ukraine has been “very let down”. She is right. For a major ally such as Britain to soften sanctions to avoid domestic political blowback on package holiday prices is an insult to the ­Ukrainian people. For them, the “cost of living” is measured in blood, toil, tears and sweat, not a modest rise in the cost of a ticket to Majorca.
In any case, airlines have generally discounted the risk of a full-blown fuel shortage in the holiday season — though ticket prices could increase. While doing little to improve this less than ideal but hardly disastrous situation, the watering down of British sanctions will do a lot to improve morale in the Kremlin. Russia's state media is already crowing about Britain's climbdown. The political message this action sends, to Moscow and to Kyiv, is one of British weakness and selfishness.
Announcing last October's sanctions package, Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, said: “We are ­sending a clear signal: Russian oil is off the market.” Not quite. Sir Chris Bryant, the trade minister, was more accurate when he apologised to MPs on Wednesday, saying the matter had been ­handled “clumsily”. He promised to impose the sanctions as soon as possible. It's possible now.

Kemi Badenoch accuses Keir Starmer of buying ‘dirty Russian oil’

The government’s decision to soften sanctions on jet fuel and diesel derived from Russian oil has blindsided ‘livid’ ministers

https://www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/article/badenoch-starmer-russia-oil-sanctions-ukraine-iran-lf73zpzt3

Natsku · 22/05/2026 04:04

Agree with that, delaying sanctions is directly helping Putin

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 22/05/2026 12:39

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Trump announces additional US troop deployment to Poland.
U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States will send more troops to Poland, saying the decision was based on his relationship with Polish President Karol Nawrocki.

⚡️ US approves $108 million HAWK missile system equipment sale to Ukraine.
The package includes maintenance and modification support, spare parts, repair services, logistics assistance, and technical support for FrankenSAM HAWK systems, the U.S. State Department said.

⚡️Hungary doubles down on Orban-era ban of Ukrainian agriculture.
"We will not allow Ukrainian or any other imported product to endanger the livelihood of Hungarian farmers and the supply of healthy food to the Hungarian people," said the country’s agriculture minister.

⚡️ Ukraine’s top diplomat meets Hungary’s new foreign minister for the first time to discuss minority rights.
The ministers agreed to hold a second round of consultations on the Hungarian minority next week.

⚡️Ukraine strikes Russian FSB headquarters in occupied Kherson Oblast, killing and injuring nearly 100 troops.
The strike also destroyed a Pantsir-S1 air defense system valued at up to $20 million, Zelensky said.

⚡️Zelensky warns Belarus of 'consequences' over possible deeper involvement in war.

⚡️Ukraine developing low-cost interceptor missiles for Russian Shahed-type drones, Fedorov says.
"We have already identified solutions that are nearly ready and have begun testing them," Fedorov said at a closed-door press briefing.

⚡️ Trump official to attend Russia’s flagship economic forum in 1st US appearance in years.
The visit would mark the first known attendance by a representative of a U.S. president’s administration at the forum in several years.

⚡️ Russia’s Yaroslavl Oil Refinery hit for 4th time in a month, Zelensky confirms.

⚡️ NATO jets scramble as drone breaches Latvian airspace for 3rd day in a row.
Residents in affected areas were urged to remain indoors and seek shelter.

⚡️Ukraine has struck Russian oil refineries over 150 times since start of war, media reports.

'I'm not counting on the US' — In Estonia, faith in Trump's defense of Baltics fades
As a 1.3-million-strong NATO member sharing a border with Russia, Estonia would likely be at the forefront of a potential conflict between the alliance and Moscow.
Among Estonians, there is little confidence that U.S. President Donald Trump would rush to defend their country in the event of a Russian invasion.

⚡️Ukraine aims to inflict 200 Russian casualties per square kilometer of advance, Fedorov says.
While Russia lost 67 soldiers per square kilometer of advance in October, that figure rose to 165 in January, 244 in February, 254 in March, and 179 in April, according to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov.

⚡️Russian drones hits apartment buildings in Dnipro injuring 15, including 13-year-old boy.
Dnipro Mayor Borys Filatov reported that most of the injured were taken to hospitals. People have suffered shrapnel wounds, burns, and lacerations.

Kyiv Independent Editor-in-Chief Olga Rudenko receives 2026 Georgiy Gongadze Prize.
The Kyiv Independent is proud to announce that Editor-in-Chief Olga Rudenko has received the 2026 Georgiy Gongadze Prize, a national Ukrainian award honoring journalists who demonstrate innovation, impact, and commitment to the principles of independent journalism.

The anniversary of Russia's long-forgotten genocide
"European history is littered with tales of one nation's brutality towards another, but very few nations have experienced what can truly be called a genocide — the annihilation of one nation from its own homeland," writes Jack Gill, a co-founder and director of the European Nations and Regions Organization, in this op-ed.
"One such nation is the Circassians, who are today commemorating the 162nd anniversary of their final subjugation and genocide by the Russian Empire in 1864, where it is estimated that between 95 and 97% of all Circassians were either killed, directly by Russian soldiers or indirectly through a deliberate policy of ethnic cleansing and starvation, or deported under inhuman conditions to the Ottoman Empire."

⚡️ Russian attacks kill 5, injure 52 across Ukraine as Dnipro drone strike leaves dozens wounded.
Moscow launched 124 drones across Ukraine, 115 of which were intercepted by Ukrainian air defenses, according to the Air Force.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAY 22, 2026
■ Engagements above average but casualties well below average; 🇷🇺 gains of 138 km² from recent fighting confirmed
■ Land-based equipment losses well below average; drone losses slightly below average
■ Overnight attacks: all drones; good interception rate
■ 15 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 drone launches and shelling above average
New: 🇺🇦 drone attacks on May 21 well above the 7-day average according to Russian sources

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 22/05/2026 12:54

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

🛢 Russia’s oil and gas revenues could rise by nearly 40% in May amid tensions surrounding Iran, Reuters reports.
According to the agency’s forecast, the Kremlin’s oil and gas revenues may reach about 700 billion rubles ($9.8 billion) this month — up 39% compared with the same period last year.
The increase is linked to a surge in global oil prices following the escalation around Iran.
At the same time, compared with April, Russia’s revenues could decline by around 17% due to tax payments and increased subsidies to oil refineries.
Despite the projected rise in May, Russia’s budget revenues from oil and gas are still down by about one-third over the first five months of the year.

Ukraine was discussed at the Beijing summit, but China’s peace plan was not, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.

😡 A closed digital space controlled by the special services is being formed in Russia, Vadym Skibitsky said.
Speaking at the Kyiv StratCom Forum 2026, the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense said that Russia had been systematically closing its information space even before the full-scale invasion.
According to him, current restrictions on access to global platforms are part of a long-term policy aimed at isolating society and shifting users to services controlled by the security services.
He noted that after Facebook and Instagram were blocked in 2022, restrictions later extended to YouTube, and now affect Telegram, WhatsApp, and TikTok.
“The stronger state censorship becomes and the more the special services control media resources, the more people are simply afraid to publish certain narratives and content, because they can be punished for it,” Skibitsky said.

📉 Russia’s Central Bank is selling off its gold reserves at the fastest pace in 25 years, Bloomberg reports.
Since the beginning of the year, the Central Bank of Russia has sold nearly 28 tons of gold worth about $4.3 billion. This is the largest reduction in the country’s gold reserves since 2002.
As of May 1, Russia’s reserves had declined to 2,298 tons — the lowest level since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Bloomberg notes that the Central Bank began reducing its gold reserves last year to help cover the budget deficit amid falling oil and gas revenues and to support the ruble.
Russia had previously been one of the world’s largest buyers of gold, purchasing nearly all domestic production.

Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez refinery in Russia has halted operations following a Ukrainian strike on May 20, Reuters reports.
The plant is Russia’s fourth-largest refinery and the country’s second-largest gasoline producer, with a processing capacity of up to 16 million tons of oil per year, or about 320,000 barrels per day.
According to Reuters, the shutdown is expected to significantly reduce production and add uncertainty to the fuel sector.
During the overnight attack on May 20, Ukrainian drones reportedly damaged the refinery’s main CDU-6 primary processing unit.

Russian schoolchildren are being offered drone piloting training in exchange for extra points toward university admission, The Moscow Times reports.

The US Navy has deployed laser-equipped destroyers in the Arabian Sea southeast of Iran, The War Zone reports.
According to the publication, laser systems are installed both on ships carrying out combat missions in key regions and on vessels undergoing scheduled maintenance. In total, nine such destroyers are equipped with these systems.
Particular attention is being paid to areas with high drone activity. For example, USS Spruance and USS John Finn are currently operating near Iran. During the US-Israeli operation “Epic Fury” on February 28, 2026, USS Spruance reportedly used its ODIN system while launching Tomahawk cruise missiles. USS Gridley, operating in the Caribbean, is also equipped with a laser system, while the remaining ships are either in home ports or undergoing maintenance.
Most of the nine ships carry the ODIN system — a laser “blinder” designed to disrupt optical reconnaissance sensors and infrared guidance systems on strike drones.
So far, only USS Preble, based in Japan, is equipped with the more powerful HELIOS system (Mk 5 Mod 0), a 60-kW laser integrated into the Aegis combat system. It is capable not only of blinding sensors, but also of physically damaging small boats and shooting down drones. During tests, USS Preble reportedly neutralized four targets. The system’s power could eventually be increased to 150 kW.
The Pentagon has allocated significant funding for the development of such technologies in its 2027 defense budget. Priority projects include:
▫️ 150-kW containerized lasers for defense against cruise missiles
▫️ Development of high-power 300–500 kW systems under the JBCS program
▫️ Specialized lasers for intercepting anti-ship missiles under the HELCAP project
At the same time, The War Zone notes that laser weapons still face major limitations.
One of the main drawbacks is short range — lasers are effective only at distances of several miles, making them more of a last line of defense.
Their effectiveness is also highly dependent on weather conditions, as fog, rain, and cloud cover can significantly weaken the beam.
In addition, unlike missiles, lasers must maintain contact with a target for several seconds to inflict damage, which complicates their use against large-scale attacks.

The self-proclaimed President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, said he is open to talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and is ready to meet “at any point” for this.
Lukashenko also claimed that Belarus could allegedly be drawn into the war “only in one case” — if “aggression is committed” against its territory.
“We are not going to get involved in a war in Ukraine. There is no need for this — neither civilian nor military,” he said.

Ukrainian forces were able to retake about 400 square kilometers of territory during an offensive operation earlier this year after thousands of Starlink terminals used by Russian forces were deactivated.

$100 oil could become the new normal over the next year due to the US-Iran war, Bloomberg reports.
Most analysts and market participants surveyed by the agency expect Brent crude to average between $81 and $100 per barrel over the next 12 months.
The main risk for the market remains potential disruptions to supplies through the Strait of Hormuz amid the conflict between the US and Iran. However, market participants do not currently expect a complete breakdown in supplies.
Experts also believe that a geopolitical “risk premium” could add another $5–15 per barrel to oil prices for years to come.
At the same time, rising prices could be partially offset by weaker demand, supply rerouting, and increased oil production.

Friedrich Merz’s proposal for Ukraine’s “associate membership” in the European Union has received mixed reactions, Euronews reports.

Ukraine’s Kung Fu team won the World Championship, claiming 178 medals.

Budanov received a vyshyvanka embroidered for him by children.
Alla Hordiienko, Director General of the National Library of Ukraine for Children, who personally presented the embroidered shirt to the head of the President's Office, said that the children had “coded the embroidery for victory and triumph.”

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 22/05/2026 13:03

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

A court in Kazakhstan has approved the forced recovery of $1.4 billion from Russia’s Gazprom in favor of Ukraine’s Naftogaz.
It is the first publicly known foreign court ruling allowing the enforcement of this arbitration award against Gazprom in another country.

The US will deploy an additional 5,000 American troops to Poland, Trump announced.

Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service says the Kremlin plans to flood Europe and Ukraine with disinformation targeting mobilization, Zelensky, and former Presidential Office chief Yermak.

Hungary’s ruling Tisza Party has submitted constitutional amendments that would block former pro-Russian Prime Minister Viktor Orban from ever returning to power.

Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar says Ukraine deserves far stronger security guarantees than the failed 1994 Budapest Memorandum.
Magyar backed Kyiv’s right to defend its territory and signaled support for Ukraine’s EU path.

Putin has not visited ANY Russian regions in 196 days — his longest domestic travel pause in years, surpassing even the Covid era.
Since November 2025, he has only appeared in Moscow and St. Petersburg amid growing Kremlin security fears following alleged Ukrainian strike attempts.

France has urged China to pressure Putin into ending the war in Ukraine.
French officials warned Russia has become increasingly dependent on China since the full-scale invasion, leaving the Kremlin in an “unbalanced” relationship with Beijing.

Kremlin Orders New Campaign Against Zelensky, Ukraine Intel Says

Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service said Russia is preparing a large-scale disinformation campaign targeting mobilization, President Zelensky and Kyiv’s Western support.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/76567

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 22/05/2026 13:07

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

In April alone, around 35,000 Russian troops were killed or severely wounded in the war against Ukraine, according to statements attributed to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov during a briefing with journalists.
He said the strategic goal is to inflict losses of up to 200 Russian soldiers per square kilometer of advance.
According to his data, Russia’s losses were 35,351 in March and 34,544 in December. He also outlined changing loss ratios per square kilometer of advance: 67 in October 2025, 165 in January, 244 in February, 254 in March, and 179 in April.
Other key points from Fedorov:
🔴Air defense. The interception rate of Shahed drones using interceptor UAVs has doubled over the past four months, despite a 35% increase in the number of Shaheds launched by Russia. Ukraine has also received 2.6 times more interceptor drones during this period.
🔴Low-cost anti-Shahed missiles. Solutions are already close to completion and are being tested. The priority now is scaling production dozens of times to build up stockpiles for autumn and winter.
🔴Private air defense. 27 enterprises across Ukraine have joined an experimental program. They are at different stages of readiness, including training air defense units, purchasing equipment (interceptor drones, electronic warfare systems, radar, automated turrets), and receiving weapons from military stockpiles. Two enterprise-based units in Kharkiv and Odesa regions are already operational and have reportedly shot down nearly 20 enemy Shaheds and reconnaissance drones, as well as a jet-powered Shahed.
🔴Recruitment reform. The Ministry of Defence is preparing new projects, including a fair payment model, a new contract system with clear service terms and rotation logic, new approaches to personnel allocation, and reducing the rate of desertions.

In Austria, a former intelligence officer has been found guilty in a Russian espionage case.
An 63-year-old Egisto Ott was convicted by a jury court in Vienna of passing information to Russian intelligence services, as well as to Jan Marsalek — the former top executive of the collapsed German payments company Wirecard, who is currently believed to be in Russia.

🇬🇷 Greece has demanded an apology from Ukraine over an incident involving a sea drone believed to be Ukrainian.
Defense Minister Nikos Dendias said the drone posed a threat to civilian shipping and could have led to casualties.

🇮🇹 Italy will provide an additional €10 million for energy sector recovery and repair work in Ukraine.
▪️Previously, Italy had already contributed €13 million to Ukraine’s Energy Support Fund.

Head of the Presidential Office Kyrylo Budanov said that because Russia has failed to achieve its original war goals, the Kremlin is lowering its ambitions by focusing on Ukraine’s non-aligned and non-nuclear status.
According to Budanov, the Russian authorities are preparing their society to perceive Ukraine’s neutrality as part of a “victory” in the war.

The number of people injured in today’s Russian attack on Dnipro has risen to 19. Among them are three children — boys aged 6 and 13, and a 9-month-old girl.
One child and seven adults remain hospitalized. Residential high-rise buildings in the city were damaged.

🇭🇺 An explosion occurred this morning at a plant belonging to Hungary’s largest oil and gas company, MOL.
Prime Minister Péter Magyar said one person was killed and seven others injured.
Hungary’s Energy Minister уточнив that a compressor exploded at the Olefin-1 petrochemical plant in Tiszaújváros while the unit was being restarted after maintenance work. A fire broke out at the facility but has since been contained.

Ukrainian serviceman and Azov medical chief Oleksandr Krohmaliuk was tortured to death in Russian captivity, according to Sviatoslav “Kalyna” Palamar, deputy commander of the 1st Azov Corps of Ukraine’s National Guard.
Oleksandr joined the Azov Regiment in 2016 as a combat medic. He was captured after leaving the Azovstal plant in May 2022, by which time he had become the head of Azov’s medical service.
He was later held in the Olenivka prison colony and the detention facility in Taganrog. His last known place of detention was SIZO-2 in Kamyshin, Volgograd region, Russia.
His body was returned to Ukraine in September 2025. According to a forensic medical examination, the cause of death was broken ribs and blunt chest trauma.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
blueshoes · 22/05/2026 20:34

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-20-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian President Vladimir Putin and the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) President Xi Jinping failed to reach an agreement on the Power of Siberia-2 pipeline and signed only comparatively minor bilateral agreements during Putin’s official visit to the PRC.
  2. Ukrainian forces appear to be regaining the tactical initiative in different sectors of the frontline in Ukraine.
  3. Ukrainian forces advanced in the Kupyansk direction, the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces advanced in the Sumy and Pokrovsk directions.
  4. Russian forces launched one ballistic missile and 154 drones toward Ukraine overnight and an additional 84 drones during the day.
blueshoes · 22/05/2026 20:37

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-21-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russia and Belarus completed their combined nuclear exercises on May 21, highlighting Russia’s ability to leverage Belarus for future Russian military operations and Russia’s deepening de facto control over Belarus.
  2. Ukrainian strikes continue to constrain Russian oil refining and energy revenues, even as the war in the Middle East has provided a budget windfall in the short term.
  3. Russia continues to tap into its gold reserves to cover its budget deficit.
  4. The Kremlin is attempting to manipulate Russian media coverage to downplay the Kremlin’s censorship campaign, likely to improve the public perception of the United Russia Party ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections.
  5. Ukrainian forces advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
  6. Russian forces launched one ballistic missile and 116 drones toward Ukraine overnight.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/05/2026 12:26

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Zelensky invited to NATO summit in Ankara.
The upcoming summit, scheduled for July 7 and 8, is expected to test NATO's unity after major ruptures between the U.S. and other allies.

⚡️US admits Ukraine peace talks at standstill.

⚡️Trump's intelligence chief Tulsi Gabbard resigns.
Tulsi Gabbard said she is resigning to support her husband, who is battling "an extremely rare form of bone cancer."

⚡️Denmark denies 'put on ice' claims made by Fire Point majority owner.
Denmark says work on a Fire Point rocket fuel factory is ongoing, contradicting claims by the Ukrainian company’s co-owner that the project had been put “on ice” amid scrutiny over the Mindich corruption scandal.

⚡️Ukraine liberated 590 square kilometers of territory this year, 'forcing Russia toward diplomacy,' Zelensky says.
Ukraine has liberated 590 square kilometers of territory from Russian occupation since the beginning of the year, President Volodymyr Zelensky said May 22.


Ukraine’s recent counterattacks in the south were officially presented as a major success, with Kyiv claiming hundreds of square kilometers recaptured from Russian forces. But most battlefield maps barely changed. So what is really happening on the front line?

⚡️Fire at Novorossiysk fuel terminal amid Ukrainian drone attack, Russian authorities say.
A fire broke out at a fuel terminal in the southern Russian city of Novorossiysk overnight on May 23 amid a Ukrainian drone attack, local authorities and media channels reported.

⚡️Update: Ukraine hits major chemical plant in Perm Krai, fuel terminal in Novorossiysk, authorities say.
President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) had struck the Metafrax Chemicals plant in Perm Krai, located around 1,700 kilometers (1,050 miles) from the Ukrainian border. According to Zelensky, production at the facility has been halted following the strike.

⚡️Rutte hopes to achieve 'more evenly spread' military support for Ukraine among Europe's NATO members.
"(I)t would be fairer if within NATO, and particularly the European part of NATO, we could see other Allies also stepping up," NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said.

⚡️ Tsikhanouskaya to soon visit Ukraine, Kyiv says after snubbing Lukashenko.
The news comes after Kyiv dismissed a proposal by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to meet President Volodymyr Zelensky amid surging tensions between Kyiv and the Belarusian regime.

Ukraine war latest: Russia claims deadly Ukrainian drone strike hit dormitory in occupied Luhansk Oblast, Kyiv calls it 'misleading information'
Ukraine's General Staff on May 22 rejected Russian claims that an overnight Ukrainian drone strike killed six people and injured dozens of children in occupied Luhansk Oblast, saying it had struck Russian military targets in the area.
At the same time, President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed on May 22 that Ukraine had carried out long-range drone strikes against Russian oil infrastructure, including an oil refinery in Yaroslavl.
In addition, at least five people were killed and 52 others injured in Russian attacks across Ukraine over the past day, local authorities said on May 22.

Field report: With NATO forces training at Russia's doorstep
In southeast Estonia lies a lake-studded, woodland region locals call Missomaa, which makes up the country's three-way borderland with Latvia and Russia. Its innocuous-looking woods are overlaid by cameras and sensors feeding data to a British unit stationed nearby, informing their first-person-view (FPV) drone operators about an "enemy" vehicle closing in.
This exercise is only a small part of Spring Storm 2026, Estonia's flagship military drills meant to prepare the country's forces and its allies for a possible Russian invasion — a prospect seen as increasingly realistic since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

At a time when much of the world is moving on from Russia’s war against Ukraine, our community continues to choose to support Ukraine and independent journalism from the ground.
The Kyiv Independent is now running its biggest membership campaign yet, with a goal of welcoming 4,000 new members to help us continue and expand our reporting from Ukraine.
Join our community.

Killing Ukrainian artists is Russia's century-old tradition

⚡️Russian drones kill 5, injure 62 across Ukraine, hitting homes, church and cyclist in Kherson.
A 69-year-old cyclist was injured by an FPV drone in Kostyrka — another victim of what Kherson Oblast residents call a "human safari," as Russian drones hunt down civilians on the streets.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 2h
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAY 23, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average; no territorial changes reported
■ Losses of armored vehicles and artillery above average; four air defense systems hit
■ KIU officer death batch: +58, including six senior officers
■ Overnight attacks: all drones; interception rate could be better
■ 11 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇺🇦 drone attacks slightly below average; 🇷🇺 drone launches above average

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/05/2026 13:01

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha held his first personal meeting with his Hungarian counterpart, Anita Orbán.
The talks took place on the sidelines of the NATO meeting in Helsingborg.
The ministers reviewed the results of the first round of bilateral expert-level consultations on national minorities held this week and agreed to conduct a second round next week. [...]
He also briefed his Hungarian counterpart on the situation on the battlefield, the peace process, and Europe’s potential new role.
The diplomats also coordinated further bilateral contacts at all levels.

🇪🇺 President Zelenskyy rejected Friedrich Merz’s proposal for Ukraine’s “associate membership” in the European Union, Reuters reports.
In a letter to EU leaders, President Zelenskyy described the idea of granting Ukraine “associate” status without voting rights as unfair.
“It would be unfair if Ukraine were present in the European Union but remained without voting rights. It is time to move forward on Ukraine’s membership in a full and meaningful way,” the letter states.
President Zelenskyy also stressed that Ukraine “defends Europe in full, not in part” and should therefore receive equal rights within the EU.

Estonia’s Foreign Ministry has summoned Russia’s chargé d’affaires over what it described as an ongoing disinformation campaign against Estonia and other Baltic states.
The ministry said it handed the Russian diplomat an official note of protest, condemning Russian disinformation, public threats, and provocations, and calling on Moscow to immediately stop such actions.
Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna also stressed that Estonia has not granted permission for its territory or airspace to be used for attacks against Russia.

🇭🇺 The Hungarian government has banned imports of a significant range of agricultural products from Ukraine.
According to the decree, the ban applies in particular to beef, pork, sheep and goat meat, poultry, eggs, honey, vegetables, wheat, rye, barley, corn, buckwheat, flour, sunflower seeds, cooking oil, and wine originating from Ukraine.
The restrictions do not apply to goods transiting through Hungary, although such shipments are subject to strict conditions.

France wants to join a joint German-British program to develop long-range missiles, the Financial Times reports.
The project envisions the development of land-based missiles with a range of more than 2,000 km, capable of striking targets deep inside Russian territory.
According to the Financial Times, the initiative gained particular relevance after President Donald Trump canceled plans to deploy US Tomahawk missiles in Germany.
European countries fear they may eventually have to deter Russia without direct reliance on the United States and are therefore accelerating the development of their own long-range strike systems.
The FT also notes that France sees such missiles as a complement to its nuclear deterrent.

❗️Criticism of Putin inside Russia is reportedly growing as Ukrainian drone strikes inflict losses on Russian forces at the front and increasingly reach targets deep inside Russian territory, Bloomberg reports.
According to the agency, war fatigue is rising among ordinary Russians amid economic difficulties and internet restrictions.

Closing the Strait of Hormuz through August raises the risk of an economic downturn that could approach the scale of the 2008 financial crisis.
The baseline scenario assumes that the waterway reopens in July. Under that scenario, average oil demand would fall by 2.6 million barrels per day, while benchmark Brent crude could peak at around $130 per barrel during the summer.
A longer disruption, however, would require an even sharper drop in demand to offset the supply shock in August and September.
Analysts warn that this could be enough to trigger a full-year decline in global oil consumption in 2026. Several major forecasters are already expecting a rare drop in global demand this year.

🤝 All partners acknowledge that Ukraine’s position is significantly stronger both on the battlefield and in its long-range capabilities, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said after a conversation with Keir Starmer, Emmanuel Macron, and Friedrich Merz.

Putin once again sought to reassure Russians by claiming that the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is “catastrophic” and that Russia’s losses “are not in vain,” even as criticism from Russian military bloggers continues to grow.
Commenting on a Ukrainian strike on Starobilsk in occupied Luhansk region, Putin claimed that Ukraine’s army was “on the brink of disaster,” despite Western aid and mobilization.
“The reasons for such behavior by the Kyiv regime are clear — constant failures at the front, the loss of positions, settlements, and territories. The situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is gradually turning from difficult and critical to catastrophic,” Putin said.

💪🇺🇦 “Things are going in the wrong direction for Putin,” NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said, commenting on the successes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in battles against Russian forces.

Türkiye did not allow the Panormitis vessel, which was carrying grain allegedly stolen from temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, to unload, Israel Hayom reports.
Earlier, on April 30, Israel also denied the vessel permission to unload at the port of Haifa after the issue drew public attention.
According to the publication, the Israeli buyer canceled the contract after information emerged about the grain’s alleged illegal origin.
The Panormitis then left Haifa and headed to the Turkish port of İskenderun, where it docked.
Israel Hayom reports that the activities of Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet” were discussed during bilateral Ukrainian-Turkish political consultations last week. It was reportedly after these talks that the vessel was denied permission to unload. As a result, it later left Turkish territorial waters.
Consultations with Israeli businesses are also ongoing on further steps to prevent trade in grain originating from temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories.
The Ukrainian side expressed support for the position of Israeli and Turkish companies that refused to participate in such deals.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/05/2026 13:07

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

The United States is no longer participating in negotiations with Russia and Ukraine, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said.
According to Rubio, Washington will return to the talks only if “the dynamics change.”

US diplomats in Kyiv were left relying on Ukraine’s air defenses to survive Russian missile attacks after Trump froze military aid and intelligence sharing in 2025.
Former ambassador Bridget Brink says the decision endangered embassy staff as Russia escalated drone and missile strikes on the Ukrainian capital.

Taiwan and Poland are strengthening parliamentary, economic, and technology ties, with officials highlighting shared democratic values and growing cooperation in trade and drones.
On Wednesday, a Polish delegation recently visited Taiwan’s UAV center, while commentators frame the partnership as part of broader geopolitical alignment among democracies facing authoritarian pressure.

Ukraine struck multiple Russian military targets on May 21-22, including air defense systems, command posts, drone control centers and ammunition depots, according to the General Staff.
It said it also targeted Russian troop concentrations and river crossings in occupied territories and inside Russia’s Bryansk and Kursk regions.

Ukraine is preparing new sanctions measures, including “long-range” and legal steps, Zelensky says.
The Ukrainian president did not disclose details but signaled Kyiv is ramping up pressure on Russia through new punitive mechanisms.

Ukraine Aid by the Numbers: What Taxpayers Actually Fund
How much does supporting Ukraine actually cost individual taxpayers? While global headlines focus on massive, multi-billion-euro aid packages, the real financial burden varies dramatically from country to country when calculated per worker.
https://www.kyivpost.com/videos/76677

Russian drone strikes funeral procession on outskirts of Sumy.
Several people were injured in the attack, with at least one person reported in serious condition.
Authorities are currently assessing the full consequences of the strike as the threat of repeated attacks remains.

Ex-US Envoy Says Trump’s Ukraine Aid Freeze Endangered Americans in Kyiv

Former US Ambassador Bridget Brink said a temporary suspension of military aid to Ukraine in March 2025 put US embassy staff in Kyiv at risk.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/76650

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/05/2026 13:11

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

[more info]
⚡️ The General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces has denied Russian claims that Ukrainian forces struck civilian infrastructure in occupied territories.
Russian authorities had earlier alleged a Ukrainian attack on a dormitory in Starobilsk, Luhansk region, claiming casualties. Vladimir Putin also threatened retaliation in response.
In turn, Ukraine’s General Staff stated that on the night of May 22, Ukrainian forces targeted several Russian military assets, including a headquarters of the Russian special unit “Rubikon” near Starobilsk. According to Ukrainian officials, this unit is regularly involved in strikes against civilians in Ukraine.
The General Staff emphasized that the Armed Forces of Ukraine only strike military infrastructure and facilities used for military purposes, in strict compliance with international humanitarian law and the rules of armed conflict.

💥 Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) struck the Metafrax Chemicals plant in Russia’s Perm region with drones — around 1,700 km from the border.
The enterprise supplies dozens of Russian military manufacturers producing aircraft equipment, drones, rocket engines, and explosives. President Volodymyr Zelensky said the plant’s production process has been halted.

🇲🇱 A Russian Shahed drone with Chinese-made components has reportedly been shot down in Mali for the first time.
This was announced by Vladyslav Vlasiuk, Ukraine’s presidential commissioner for sanctions policy, in a comment to Ukrinform.
The drone was reportedly a new KK-series modification equipped with an airburst warhead. It was shot down on May 18 by rebels in northern Mali. According to the report, the UAV was being used by Russian-linked mercenaries.
Investigators found Chinese components from the open civilian electronics market inside the drone, including microchips, transistors, diodes, and relays — similar to those found in drones Russia uses to attack Ukraine.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/05/2026 13:12

Significant: US no longer involved in negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, unless something changes.