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Is Anyone preparing/hunkering down for 'after the budget'

573 replies

IsUnemploymentRising · 14/10/2025 10:02

The news is today seems to be full of headlines such as unemployment is going up, housing markets are softening, budget is make or break.

Lots of people such as Andrew Bailey quoting things like markets could crash due to debt and AI bubble etc

I just don't see how RR or anyone else for that matter can get us out of our current situation without considerable cutbacks and pain.

Raise Taxes - lots of people think this is maxed out now with rich leaving and businesses already hit (thus rising unemployment)

Cut Benefits - will they try this again. If so what will all the people on benefits actually do to live. Will they all get jobs. Is there jobs?

So are you hunkering down?

Me personally I wish they would just get on with it. I hope to move house in next few years and whilst I'm still committed to it I can see another frozen housing market coming where only forced sellers sell and everyone else sits tight.

I'm retired (although not getting any pensions yet as too young) and definately worried about pension values (ie stock markets, bonds etc). It's very difficult to plan when your pensions are dependant on things outwith your control. (not applicable to those with final salary/defined benefit schemes of course)

State pension is a good 14 years away for me (I'm fully paid up) but I worry it will be eroded when I have built it into my calculations for retirement not to mention the freezing of tax brackets which means we are all getting taxed more each year by stealth.

I'm probably in a better position that many to weather the storm as no mortgage or debts and holding cash etc but even then I worry about our currency being worth nothing soon if they go down the route of printing money again.

Am I being overly pesimestic. I mean how are they actually going to get us out of this. For those on benefits (apart from worrying, being scared etc) how will you actually cope if your benefits are cut.

OP posts:
beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 15:37

I would prefer income tax to rise to 1980s levels. It’s been far too low for far too long.

lol

Papyrophile · 14/10/2025 15:38

That would be bracing @stargirl1701 ! Why do you think the government would spend the money more sensibly than you?

beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 15:42

A major difference today is house prices vs salaries. In the 80s it was 3/4 your salary, higher housing costs today mean it's very difficult for government to lower the basic rate of tax.

Interested in this thread?

Then you might like threads about this subject:

HalfASandwich · 14/10/2025 15:47

QforCucumber · 14/10/2025 15:31

@HalfASandwich I'm intrigued to know why you think cashless is a good idea?

I can't think of any reason to be honest so would love to hear some balanced points as to why?

I've actually in the last month gone back to withdrawing cash for day to day purchases, after seeing an interview with Starmer who said the Digital ID cards will also have the facility to be linked to bank accounts and so spending of benefit claimants could be 'tracked if deemed necessary' I am wholly against a cashless state (disclaimer - I don't claim a single benefit but wholly disagree with this tactic!)

Edited

OK, I believe it will stop cash in hand, and tax evasion, whether that is dodgy tradesmen or backstreet barbers.
The benefits tracking will be to stop benefit fraud, something we all want surely. I am a big supporter of people getting the benefits they need, and also stopping those who are committing fraud.
Hopefully it would make it more difficult for a lot of criminals too but I haven't really thought about that side of it.
I don't believe it means the government will dictate how you spend money, or turn the future dystopian, that is just scaremongering.
Im sure it will happen soon anyway, I can't remember the last time I used cash, and even my elderly parents use online banking now.
We have a drop in hub near us that operates as a different bank on different days of the week, eg Barclays on a Monday, so people can still speak in person to someone if needed.

softstone · 14/10/2025 15:48

Badbadbunny · 14/10/2025 11:51

There used to be council/NHS run OAP homes, convalescent homes, care homes, homes for the disabled etc. These were generally large "hospital style" places with large wards, etc. Unfortunately, a lot were Victorian so were "end of life" in the 80s/90s, and needed replacement, which was too expensive, so we ended up with "care in the community" instead where the plan was to "care" for people in their own homes/family homes, with visiting support from healthcare workers. Of course, there were inadequate resources/staffing put into place as they didn't fully understand/admit the scale of staffing needing to traverse the countryside visiting multiple residences! At the same time, there was an explosion in privately owned care homes for those for whom "own home" wasn't possible. At the stroke of a politician's pen, we lost the "economies of scale" of large hospital style care homes where large numbers of people could be looked after by relatively small numbers of staff and now we have NHS and private "carers" spending large amounts of their days travelling between patients!

I agree with this. Our social care budget is ridiculous. Thousands spent on taxis per year just for one person eg. We need a massive rethink about how we care for the vulnerable.

Harriet9955 · 14/10/2025 15:52

I'd like to see them get benefits under control but they just seem intent on putting them up currently. I don't mind paying a bit more tax if it's going to the right people or the NHS.

EasternStandard · 14/10/2025 15:55

HalfASandwich · 14/10/2025 15:47

OK, I believe it will stop cash in hand, and tax evasion, whether that is dodgy tradesmen or backstreet barbers.
The benefits tracking will be to stop benefit fraud, something we all want surely. I am a big supporter of people getting the benefits they need, and also stopping those who are committing fraud.
Hopefully it would make it more difficult for a lot of criminals too but I haven't really thought about that side of it.
I don't believe it means the government will dictate how you spend money, or turn the future dystopian, that is just scaremongering.
Im sure it will happen soon anyway, I can't remember the last time I used cash, and even my elderly parents use online banking now.
We have a drop in hub near us that operates as a different bank on different days of the week, eg Barclays on a Monday, so people can still speak in person to someone if needed.

Hopefully it won’t happen soon anyway. I’m fine with having both ways to pay.

taxguru · 14/10/2025 15:55

nearlylovemyusername · 14/10/2025 15:04

And whilst here we're arguing who should be taxed more and by how much:

Germany to allow retirees to earn €2,000 a month tax-free

Germans who choose to work beyond the retirement age will be able to earn up to €2,000 a month tax-free, as part of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s push to tackle labour shortages and revive Europe’s largest economy.

We have 25% of working age population economically inactive, people retire earlier than planned because of punitive tax system.
It's not just a direct economic benefit, but people stay active and relevant for longer.
Germans see sense, why can't we?

Some other countries also give tax relief for workers' commuting costs, tax relief for workers' childcare costs and private healthcare costs. We're so far behind the curve in the UK, it's an embarrassment.

Harriet9955 · 14/10/2025 15:57

IsUnemploymentRising · 14/10/2025 11:53

and the trouble is the more people feel like this the more they will retire early and not work as soon as they can. I know I did it.

Working seems to be becoming a mugs game which is just so wrong.

This is how I feel. My fixed term contract is coming to an end soon. I feel like I'd rather just stop work early and live a frugal life on my small savings until I can take my private pension at 60 than continue getting out of bed everyday to do a job I don't particularly enjoy which ironically involves helping others to claim benefits for doing nothing. No- one else seems to have an issue with milking the system for every penny and whilst I wouldn't actually qualify for anything due to savings it would mean I wouldn't be paying towards others choices to just give up work or work very few hours. I am not talking here about people who have no choice but to claim due to disability or caring responsibilities. I've worked constantly for 40 years and have had enough.

Bigpinksweater · 14/10/2025 15:57

softstone · 14/10/2025 15:48

I agree with this. Our social care budget is ridiculous. Thousands spent on taxis per year just for one person eg. We need a massive rethink about how we care for the vulnerable.

Like other aspects of society people have desperately tried to smear anyone who queries as bigoted, and batted off any debate as ableist.

A little while ago I worked at a local council and it wasn’t unusual for individual children to be costing hundreds of thousands a year. Many hundreds of thousands. These weren’t children who needed round the clock nursing care and complex equipment management for which this cost would be understandable. They were children with ‘SEMH needs’ - basically totally unruly, living chaotic lifestyles, running away and having a police helicopter out every 5 minutes while their hapless parents moaned about how ‘the government weren’t sorting it out’. Said child would inevitably end up running riot at a ‘specialist unit’ and require a taxi to ferry them to and from it every day. This is far from an unusual scenario - I would guess there are hundreds of them in every county. That’s just the local authority spending btw, not the inevitable benefits on top.

It’s painful to watch.

Abhannmor · 14/10/2025 15:58

Ever since the 80s governments - not just the British - have been telling people they can have lower taxes and better services. Partly by flogging off public assets. And outsourcing aka doing things on the cheap. But it was a cruel lie.

Time for Reeves to tell the truth and shame the devil. If Labour lose next time so be it. At least do something. Look what Attlee achieved in a short time - 1945- 51. And the mess he inherited was next level. Don't waste time and energy whoring after the racist vote , you'll just lose everyone else. Tax wealth. Build houses.

taxguru · 14/10/2025 15:59

YorkshireGoldDrinker · 14/10/2025 15:27

Okay. I agree to disagree. Banking systems will go down and payment providers will go offline again and again. Russian hackers will be blamed as per the norm and I'll have enough hard cash to pay for a week's worth of shopping and a full tank of fuel while everyone else with their cards, phones and smartwatches get declined.

If Russian hackers get into the National Grid, cash will be useless as you won't be able to buy your weekly shop nor fill your car with petrol if there's no electric!

We had that exact scenario during Storm Desmond a few years ago when flooding knocked out our city's electrical sub station. It was very frightening to see literally everything closed due to having no electric. Even the train station was closed and trains didn't stop, buses weren't running, etc., because the railway/bus station couldn't open without heating, lighting and security systems working!

beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 16:03

Ever since the 80s governments - not just the British - have been telling people they can have lower taxes and better services. Partly by flogging off public assets. And outsourcing aka doing things on the cheap. But it was a cruel lie.

And the 70s but @Abhannmor people don't want to hear the reality.

Bruisername · 14/10/2025 16:14

the UK government has never kept hold of windfalls and invested - just spunk it away on election promises

logplant · 14/10/2025 16:24

Badbadbunny · 14/10/2025 11:03

They can't penalise workers any more - workers are already bearing the brunt with fiscal drag, student loan repayments, workplace pensions, etc.

I'd say the only sensible way of raising a lot of tax is to scrap nic and raise income tax by a rate set so that ordinary workers don't pay any more, i.e. a tax rise on non workers living on investment income, buy to let profits, dividends, interest, occupational pensions, etc. - that's where the money lies - those with assets or pensions. Those groups have been shielded from tax rises as they've avoided the increases in NIC over the past few decades, and they benefitted massively from the scrapping of the higher tax rates of the 70s and 80s on "unearned" income.

We need more people working, and more workers working more hours, so scrap the cliff edges and stupid thresholds causing stupidly high marginal tax rates, i.e. the crazy 62% on earnings over £100k, the illogical removal of free childcare on those earning over £100k, the child benefit claw back for those earning over £60k. Likewise with benefits at lower levels - stop the high percentage clawback and cliff edges for lower earners i.e. Universal credit, free prescriptions, rent support, etc. We need to remove ALL disincentives for work.

I agree - the tax system is just not fair. Working people should not be paying disproportionately more than those living off investments. Business has had to withstand increased corporation tax, ni contributions, but the proposed changes to employment rights are more concerning and off putting for our small business.

YorkshireGoldDrinker · 14/10/2025 16:25

taxguru · 14/10/2025 15:59

If Russian hackers get into the National Grid, cash will be useless as you won't be able to buy your weekly shop nor fill your car with petrol if there's no electric!

We had that exact scenario during Storm Desmond a few years ago when flooding knocked out our city's electrical sub station. It was very frightening to see literally everything closed due to having no electric. Even the train station was closed and trains didn't stop, buses weren't running, etc., because the railway/bus station couldn't open without heating, lighting and security systems working!

That is a problem where resilience/fail-safes aren't a standard built-in feature of most modern infrastructure. It's failure to prepare. But then the lack of preparedness stems from these sorts of storms not being particularly common. It's like the idea of installing AC into every home despite only having 2 weeks of heatwave per year, but it keeps those who really struggle with heat comfortable, at great cost I might add. Our energy prices are ridiculous.

This is probably where the British stiff upper lip comes from. When the going gets tough, the tough get going.

I digress.

Cash is king. Remove it if you want, but I personally don't like the idea of the government controlling how I spend my money.

logplant · 14/10/2025 16:25

beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 16:03

Ever since the 80s governments - not just the British - have been telling people they can have lower taxes and better services. Partly by flogging off public assets. And outsourcing aka doing things on the cheap. But it was a cruel lie.

And the 70s but @Abhannmor people don't want to hear the reality.

Oh yes and efficiency savings that never happen.

Abhannmor · 14/10/2025 16:33

logplant · 14/10/2025 16:24

I agree - the tax system is just not fair. Working people should not be paying disproportionately more than those living off investments. Business has had to withstand increased corporation tax, ni contributions, but the proposed changes to employment rights are more concerning and off putting for our small business.

Agreed 💯. Richard Murphy has the right idea. Stop penalising work and production. Investment income , dividends, rents should be taxed like any wage. Empty properties, land left idle by property companies - many based abroad - should be taxed as well.

ozarina · 14/10/2025 16:36

How are working people paying disproportionately more than those living off investments?

OSTMusTisNT · 14/10/2025 16:41

If all you're worrying about is where to put your savings you don't have much to be concerned about.

The people who are struggling to eat and heat their homes should be our concern.

I will absorb any increase in tax etc, my savings won't increase as quickly but in the grand scheme of things I'm so much better off than many.

(A few interest rate rises would soften the blow for me but anyone with a mortgage will want to crucify me for saying that).

beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 16:46

They can't penalise workers any more - workers are already bearing the brunt with fiscal drag, student loan repayments, workplace pensions, etc.

Not to mention wage stagnation

Boomer55 · 14/10/2025 16:49

I’ve been through many hopeless governments and a few recessions, and I no longer worry.

I protect as much as I can from the taxman and just get on with it.

It all passes.

EasternStandard · 14/10/2025 17:01

Boomer55 · 14/10/2025 16:49

I’ve been through many hopeless governments and a few recessions, and I no longer worry.

I protect as much as I can from the taxman and just get on with it.

It all passes.

I hope we don’t, some will be ok but many do get stung in a recession.

beanbaggirs · 14/10/2025 17:18

It all passes.

Does it? The 08 financial crash didn't pass, we never recovered from it.

Chewbecca · 14/10/2025 17:29

I really want the budget to bloody well raise the rate of income tax, it's the only way to fund the improvements needed. And raise the thresholds at the same time to massively lessen the effect on lower income people.

Then a) massively improve public services, b) reduce / limit benefits to a much more sustainable level c) financially motivate both working and saving, make both of those really worthwhile for everyone.