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Ukraine Invasion: Part 51

1000 replies

MagicFox · 15/08/2024 20:29

Welcome to 51. Thanks as usual to all and Slava Ukraini πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
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289
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 11/09/2024 14:45

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ The heads of the US and UK diplomatic missions, Antony Blinken and David Lammy, have arrived in Kyiv

πŸ‡±πŸ‡»Latvia will donate hundreds of computers, specialized clothing, binoculars to Ukraine
Previously, the country supplied 3,000 combat drones to Kyiv as part of the Drone Coalition, which it leads.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China is helping Russia's military machine in exchange for secret submarine and missile technology, US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell said https://www.politico.eu/article/united-states-accuse-china-help-russia-war-kurt-campbell/
Earlier, the US said that China was supplying Russia with dual-use technologies. However, Washington now says unequivocally that Beijing is helping the Russian military - and is trying to hide this cooperation at the highest level.
Campbell emphasizes that this is a threat not only to the United States, but also to India, Australia, Japan, and South Korea.

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΏRussia proposed setting up https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/09/10/russia-plans-to-set-up-drone-production-in-uzbekistan/ drone production in Uzbekistan, aiming to localize manufacturing of UAVs and their components
Russian PM Mikhail Mishustin revealed that Moscow and Tashkent are exploring ways for the production.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine got back six more children from the occupied territories of Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk oblasts, and Crimea. In total, Save Ukraine has managed to return 487 children

πŸ”₯At night, two schoolchildren burned a Russian Mi-8 helicopter at the Noyabrsk airport in the Tyumen oblast of Russia, local telegram channels report
The arsonists are 13 and 14 years old and were promised 5 million rubles ($54,700) for the arson. They received this task in Telegram. The boys doused the helicopter with a flammable substance, lit a cigarette, and threw it at the helicopter, after which it exploded and eventually burned down completely. Only the tail section remained intact.
After that, the arsonists fled the scene but suffered severe burns and sought medical attention. In a conversation with law enforcement officers, the guys admitted that shortly before that they had also set fire to a cell tower, for which they received 30 thousand rubles ($328).

US accuses China of giving β€˜very substantial’ help to Russia’s war machine

In exchange, China is getting top secret Russian military technology.

https://www.politico.eu/article/united-states-accuse-china-help-russia-war-kurt-campbell

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 11/09/2024 15:03

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

With Ukraine's 2024 first quarter GDP growth at 6.5% and inflation now at 5.4%, the IMF opens the door to another $1.1 billion in aid.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38793

Zelensky opened a memorial in Kyiv to honor the victims of the genocide of the Crimean Tatar people.
"And one day, a similar memorial will undoubtedly appear in our free Crimea. We are confident that Crimea will be free," the president declared.

Hollywood star Michael Douglas has arrived in KyivπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
He will participate in the Summit of First Ladies and Gentlemen on Thursday, September 12.

IMF Agreement Could Give Ukraine Access to $1.1 bn

A staff-level agreement on the fifth review of the four-year Extended Fund Facility Agreement, subject to approval by the IMF executive board, would clear the way for Ukraine to access the money.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38793

MissConductUS · 11/09/2024 16:14

The Russian counter attack in Kursk bears watching. If it's really only 8 or so tanks, I don't think the Ukrainians will have much trouble containing it. What it does indicate is that they have at least one functioning pontoon bridge on the Seym River.

https://x.com/RALee85/status/1833619139501375776

x.com

https://x.com/RALee85/status/1833619139501375776

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 11/09/2024 23:19

Giant package announced for Ukraine from the UK, 600 million

blueshoes · 11/09/2024 23:37

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 11/09/2024 23:19

Giant package announced for Ukraine from the UK, 600 million

So proud of UK. UK Defence Secretary John Healey seems all over it. This is one thing I will willingly pay more taxes to the Labour government for.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 12/09/2024 13:51

Totally agree with that sentiment blueshoes.

MagicFox · 12/09/2024 14:01

I had a lot of hope in Healey and it's great to see him put money where is mouth is

OP posts:
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 12/09/2024 14:52

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️Russia claims to have recaptured 10 settlements in Kursk Oblast https://kyivindependent.com/russia-claims-to-have-recaptured-10-settlements-in-kursk-oblast-as-counterattack-ongoing/ amid ongoing counterattack.

⚑️The U.K. announced a new 600-million-pound ($781 million) aid package for Ukraine on Sept. 11, as U.K. Foreign Secretary David Lammy visited Kyiv on a joint trip with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken. https://kyivindependent.com/uk-781-million-aid-ukraine/

The U.S. will provide Ukraine with $700 million in humanitarian aid to support displaced Ukrainians, the energy grid in Ukraine, and demining efforts, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced in Kyiv on Sept. 11. https://kyivindependent.com/blinken-announces-700-million-humanitarian-aid-package/

⚑️ Pentagon allocates $1.2 billion for production of AMRAAM missiles, including for Ukraine. https://kyivindependent.com/pentagon-allocates-1-2-billion-for-production-of-amraam-missiles-including-for-ukraine/

The U.K. has already privately decided to allow Ukraine to use its British-supplied Storm Shadow missiles for long-range strikes deep into Russia, the Guardian reported on Sept. 11, citing unnamed U.K. officials. https://kyivindependent.com/guardian-uk-has-decided-to-allow-ukraine-to-use-storm-shadow-missiles-in-long-range-strikes-on-russia/

⚑️Biden planning to ease restrictions https://kyivindependent.com/biden-planning-to-ease-restrictions-on-kyivs-long-range-strikes-politico-reports/ on Kyiv's long-range strikes, Politico reports.

⚑️ Zelensky gave detailed pitch https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-long-range-strikes/ to Blinken, Lammy on need for long-range strikes, source says.

⚑️Russia pushing https://kyivindependent.com/russia-pushing-toward-kurakhove/ toward Kurakhove in Donetsk Oblast from several vectors.

⚑️Russian attacks cut off gas, water supplies in Pokrovsk, governor says https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-cut-off-gas-water-supplies-to-pokrovsk-governor-says/

⚑️Ukraine sabotaged https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-special-forces/ Belgorod Oblast railroad, derailing freight train, media reports.

⚑️ Russian oligarchs, financial company lose appeal against EU sanctions.
Russian oligarchs Gennady Timchenko and Mikhail Fridman and Russia's National Settlement Depository on Sept. 11 lost their appeal against EU sanctions imposed against them. https://kyivindependent.com/russian-oligarchs-financial-company-lose-appeal-against-eu-sanctions/

⚑️ Spain blocks https://kyivindependent.com/spain-blocks-hungarys-attempt-to-buy-train-company-over-ukraine-concerns-ft-reports/ Hungary's attempt to buy train company over 'Ukraine concerns,' FT reports.
Spain prevented Hungary from buying Talgo, a Madrid-based train manufacturer, due to its potential usefulness for Ukraine's reconstruction, the Financial Times reported on Sept. 12, citing undisclosed officials.
Madrid vetoed the 619 million euro bid ($680 million) due to concerns about Budapest's warm ties to Moscow amid Russia's ongoing full-scale war against Ukraine, the FT wrote.

⚑️Russian tank manufacturing plant catches fire https://kyivindependent.com/omsk/ in Omsk.
Russia uses Omsktransmash to produce military equipment, including tanks and Solntsepek multiple rocket launchers capable of using thermobaric warheads. The EU, the U.S., Ukraine, Canada, and other countries have imposed sanctions on the plant.

⚑️ Russia claims drone attacks on Murmansk Oblast behind the Arctic Circle came under a drone attack, necessitating temporary flight restrictions, 1,500 km from Ukraine. https://kyivindependent.com/russia-claims-drone-attacks-on-murmansk-oblast-1-500-km-from-ukraine/

Canada will host a conference in late October on one of the points of Ukraine's peace formula pertaining to the release of Ukrainian captives and those deported by Russia, the Presidential Office announced on Sept. 12. https://kyivindependent.com/canada-to-host-conference-on-release-of-captured-deported-ukrainians-in-october/

⚑️EU ready https://kyivindependent.com/eu-gas-transit-end/ for end of Russian gas transit via Ukraine, commissioner says.

Putin dragging his feet on mobilization despite troop shortages https://kyivindependent.com/i-wont-go-russians-grumble-as-kursk-incursion-exposes-kremlins-need-for-mobilization/ exposed by Kursk incursion
Amid speculation that the Kremlin is considering a new mobilization of conscripts, some potential draftees say they are not enthusiastic about defending their country’s territory just over a month after the Ukrainian incursion into Russia’s Kursk Oblast.

Iran's Fath-360 ballistic missile – what we know https://kyivindependent.com/irans-fath-360-ballistic-missile-what-we-know-about-the-weapon-now-in-russias-hands/ about the weapon now in Russia's hands
After months of contradictory reports, the U.S. on Sept. 10 confirmed that Iran had delivered ballistic missiles to Russia in what could prove a dramatic development for Ukraine.
Military cooperation between Moscow and Tehran has deepened since the launch of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, with Iran already having sent extensive supplies of Shahed kamikaze drones, which are regularly used to target Ukrainian cities and infrastructure.
In a statement on Sept. 7, Ukraine's Foreign Ministry said the move "will have devastating consequences for Ukrainian-Iranian bilateral relations."

⚑️No confirmation Russia has used https://kyivindependent.com/no-confirmation-russia-has-used-iranian-missiles-against-ukraine/ Iranian missiles against Ukraine yet Zelensky says.

⚑️UK sanctions 10 Russian 'shadow' vessels involved in oil trade. https://kyivindependent.com/uk-sanctions-10-russian-vessels-involved/ "Russia has been forced to spend over $8 billion amassing this shadow fleet," Foreign Secretary David Lammy said.

⚑️Russia has committed 137,000 war crimes in Ukraine, Zelensky says. https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-137-000-war-crimes/

⚑️Russian propagandists bemoan https://kyivindependent.com/russian-propagandists-bemoan-trumps-debate-performance/ Trump's debate performance.

⚑️Russian strike on Konotop heavily damages https://kyivindependent.com/russian-strike-on-konotop-damages-infrastructure-injures-unknown-number-of-civilians/ energy infrastructure, injures civilians.

⚑️ Russian attacks against Ukraine kill 6, injure 44 https://kyivindependent.com/attacks-91/ over past day.
⚑️Russian attacks https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-on-kharkiv-donetsk-oblasts-kill-5-injure-9/ on Kharkiv, Donetsk oblasts kill 5, injure 9.
⚑️Update: 3 Red Cross employees killed https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-on-kharkiv-donetsk-oblasts-kill-5-injure-9/ 2 injured in Russian attack on Donetsk Oblast.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β€¬ β€ͺ- SEP 12, 2024
β–  Relatively few engagements but casualties above 7-day avg
β–  Massive equipment losses incl. double-digit tank losses & 1st plane of Sep
β–  Most πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ strikes since the middle of Dec 2023, best strike ratio in more than a month

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 12/09/2024 14:56

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Lithuania urges NATO to shoot down Russian drones entering Alliance territory, reports LRT.

In Russia, discussions have begun about implementing universal conscription.
"I believe we need to return to a truly universal conscription," said Valery Fadeyev, head of the Human Rights Council. "I am not advocating for mobilization or sending young people to the front lines; that is not the intention. Instead, I think every young person should serve in the military, as we are in a state of prolonged conflict. If they are not fit for combat, they can still contribute in non-combat roles, such as serving in the kitchen."

Croatia's 11th aid package was announced by Prime Minister Andrej Plenković. "Our government has approved another package of military aid to Ukraine, bringing the total to over 200 million euros," Plenković stated. Zelenskyy expressed his gratitude to Croatia for the package, which includes 5 million euros for restoring Ukraine's energy infrastructure and assistance in treating and rehabilitating Ukrainian veterans and their families.

Latvia's package will include military equipment and supplies, such as armored vehicles and drones. Additionally, Latvia will continue to train and equip 4,000 Ukrainian soldiers. The country is also preparing an aid package for 2025, which will cover Patriot systems, drones, equipment, and training. Starting next year, Latvia will allocate 0.25% of its GDP to support Ukraine and will continue providing generators, solar panels, and other essential equipment.

The Croatian company DOK-ING has opened a representative office in Ukraine to speed up demining efforts and equipment production.
DOK-ING, a company specializing in demining, has launched operations in Ukraine. According to Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, cooperation with Croatian experts will accelerate demining through technology and experience exchange. Founded in 1992, DOK-ING is the largest private demining company in Southeastern Europe.
The company produces multifunctional robotic systems, including the MV-4 and MV-10 demining machines, which are already in use in Ukraine. These machines are remotely controlled and designed for efficient soil clearing. Additionally, the Ukrainian company β€œA3TECH-UKRAINE” handles the assembly and localization of DOK-ING machines, with the capacity to produce up to 60 units of equipment per hour.

Since the start of the full-scale invasion, Russia has killed more than 100 civilian medical workers in Ukraine while they were treating patients.
However, this data does not include information about healthcare workers serving in the country's defense forces or those who remain in areas under Russian occupation, according to Ukrainian Health Minister Viktor Lyashko.

In two years, Russia has attacked Ukraine’s energy industry more than 1,000 times, said Energy Minister Herman Galushchenko.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ Czech special services continue to view Russia as the biggest threat to the country’s security and noted that Moscow is attempting to rebuild its agency’s influence, which was weakened by the large-scale expulsion of Russian embassy staff from Prague.

The Pentagon has signed a nearly $1.2 billion contract with Raytheon for the production of advanced AMRAAM air-to-air missiles, some of which will be supplied to Ukraine, according to the Pentagon’s press service.
The contract covers the production of missiles, the AMRAAM telemetry system, spare parts, and other equipment for engineering and technical support.
Work will take place in Tucson, Arizona, and is expected to be completed by December 31, 2028.
β€œThis contract includes foreign military sales to Bahrain, Bulgaria, Canada, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Norway, Switzerland, Ukraine, and the United Kingdom,” the US Department of Defense stated.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 12/09/2024 15:02

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

❗️Putin ordered the Kremlin to recapture Kursk by Oct. 1. And on Wednesday, Russian troops dutifully launched a counterattack, - Forbes
The Russians targeted Snagosk, a village just south of the Seym River. Separate Russian force rolled toward Ulanok, on the Ukrainians’ right flank.

🀑Putin met with the Chinese Foreign Minister and invited the head of state to Kazan

In Pokrovsk, the Russian army destroyed the Dmitrovsky bridge connecting the city with Myrnohrad.
Russia also cut off water supply to Pokrovsk, - Regional Military Administration.

⚑️Ukrainian monitoring channels write that Russian SU-30SM crashed/was shot down over the Black Sea at night

Russian soldiers tried to repair a destroyed bridge using a civilian KAMAZ dump truck and an excavator. Ukrainian FPV strike drones of the "Requiem group" destroyed the enemy equipment in addition to a Russian pickup truck with fuel. Seym river, near Zvannoye village, Kursk region.

❗️The National Police has already recorded more than 200 cases of arson attacks on Ukrainian military vehicles, about a quarter of which were committed by minors

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 12/09/2024 15:06

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

The consequences of the Russian shelling of a civilian vessel in the Black Sea
"A Russian missile targeted a cargo of wheat destined for Egypt. Today's strike in the Black Sea hit a civilian vessel immediately after it exited Ukrainian territorial waters," said Zelensky.

Russians building new defensive lines in Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia region.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38794

⚑️Zelensky and Xi Jinping may meet in October β€” Reuters
Recently, the President of Ukraine criticized China’s and Brazil’s peace plan, calling it β€œdestructive” and coordinated with the Kremlin.

πŸ’₯Ukrainian intelligence has taken down a Russian Su-30SM fighter jet over the Black Sea
The $50 million aircraft was shot down yesterday by a portable surface-to-air missile system.

Lithuania plans to acquire short-range air defense systems for Ukraine β€” Lithuanian President NausΔ—da
Lithuania is considering purchasing these air defense systems for Ukraine and hopes to achieve a positive result within 2-3 weeks to deliver them quickly.

Russians said to be inflating their available warship numbers
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38841

Ukraine's year-over-year inflation rate now stands at 7.5%
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38861

Kyiv Post Morning News Roundup for September 12th, 2024
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38853

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
MissConductUS · 12/09/2024 16:45

The UK counter terrorism police are investigating the death of Telegraph journalist David Knowles.

https://x.com/jeromestarkey/status/1834188894633369644

I wondered about the possibility that this was a Russian assassination. The fact that it happened while he was out of the country might be a coincidence, but assuming no history of cardiovascular disease, a fatal MI at his age is statistically very unlikely.

If it turns out to be a poisoning, the UK government will have to react somehow.

x.com

https://x.com/jeromestarkey/status/1834188894633369644

Efacsen · 12/09/2024 16:46

Don't know if this relevant

UK counter-terror police drafted in after Telegraph journalist dies in Gibraltar

www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/12/uk-counter-terror-police-telegraph-journalist-david-knowles-dies-gibraltar-ukraine

Efacsen · 12/09/2024 16:54

x-post

Hillsmakeyoustrong · 12/09/2024 17:00

Would be shocked but not surprised if Russia was involved. I couldn't believe he had died and felt very sad about it. I hope to goodness they can prove criminal involvement and that there is a stong response (but worry there won't be.)

notimagain · 12/09/2024 17:02

If it turns out to be a poisoning, the UK government will have to react somehow.

Well last time around (Salisbury poisonings) the response involved expelling 23 Russian diplomats from the Uk, which led to a bit of a tit for tat….one would hope for something more robust if this is also pinned on the Russians, second offence and all that, but we’re talking politics here so who knows….

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Sergei_and_Yulia_Skripal

MagicFox · 12/09/2024 17:53

I am totally shocked by this and not at the same time, hard to describe

OP posts:
Igotjelly · 12/09/2024 18:57

This confirms my absolute worse fears. It sounds pathetic but I’be had to take a step away the past couple of days. For some reason his death has really floored me.

MagicFox · 12/09/2024 19:11

It doesn't sound pathetic @Igotjelly , I know exactly what you mean 🌻

OP posts:
Efacsen · 12/09/2024 19:39

The autopsy is scheduled for tomorrow so if he had major cardiac pathology it will be obvious immediately - microscopic examination will take a few days and toxicology at least a few weeks

So maybe 'good news' of a non-sinister cause of death tomorrow or very soon

.

MissConductUS · 12/09/2024 19:41

notimagain · 12/09/2024 17:02

If it turns out to be a poisoning, the UK government will have to react somehow.

Well last time around (Salisbury poisonings) the response involved expelling 23 Russian diplomats from the Uk, which led to a bit of a tit for tat….one would hope for something more robust if this is also pinned on the Russians, second offence and all that, but we’re talking politics here so who knows….

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Sergei_and_Yulia_Skripal

I remember the poisoning of the Skripals. MI5 had no trouble identifying the GRU agents who did it. They found them on surveillance video from whatever airport they flew into as "tourists". When I heard that Knowles died in Gibraltar, my first thought was that the GRU was waiting for him to leave the UK to hide their tracks.

As to what the response could be, since there's a shooting war going on now, the UK could clear long-range strikes with British weapons inside of Russia. They seemed to be on the brink of that anyway.

Igotjelly · 12/09/2024 19:42

MissConductUS · 12/09/2024 19:41

I remember the poisoning of the Skripals. MI5 had no trouble identifying the GRU agents who did it. They found them on surveillance video from whatever airport they flew into as "tourists". When I heard that Knowles died in Gibraltar, my first thought was that the GRU was waiting for him to leave the UK to hide their tracks.

As to what the response could be, since there's a shooting war going on now, the UK could clear long-range strikes with British weapons inside of Russia. They seemed to be on the brink of that anyway.

I see Putin is doing his usual β€œif you authorise this we’ll be at war with America”….. sabre rattling? I thought we were already at war πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ

MissConductUS · 12/09/2024 19:54

Igotjelly · 12/09/2024 19:42

I see Putin is doing his usual β€œif you authorise this we’ll be at war with America”….. sabre rattling? I thought we were already at war πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ

We are in a way. I think he's smart enough to know that going kinetic with the US military would not end well for him.

WinterMorn · 12/09/2024 20:08

I thought Putin had spent the last 2.5 years chuntering on about being at war with NATO, threatening to nuke everyone etc…..which rather takes the impact out of this latest statement.

PerkingFaintly · 12/09/2024 22:34

Igotjelly · 27/08/2024 11:14

12 May it was, episode 146 and was called "Britain and Russia, Eternal Frenemies"

If you're a bit of a Russia/UK geek its well worth a listen.

Thank you SO much for this. I don't listen to much in the way of podcasts, and usually have to take a lot of rest breaks, but I went straight through with that, gripped!

It helps that I found it to meet Galeoti's own criteria for a great publication:
– I agree with a lot of it says;
– and I wish I'd written it myself.Grin

Fascinating stuff.

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