Yes. I think he was guilty.
From the absence of common sense.
Why sleepovers?
If you wanted to create a magical experience for children - you'd do it in daytime when they and their imaginations were most active.
And why after the first sexual abuse accusation did the sleepovers keep going on and parents/"victims" paid off?
I'm not Michael. I have however had hundreds (It will make me wince to think how many - three children for 30 years and most weekends - it's an effort). Yeah I know Michael didn't have to think of food or entertainment. But seriously every child is different. You have to monitor them and make sure they're comfortable enough to talk to you and shout out if they need help.
So what motivated him?
And where precisely was his sexual libido? Or sexual interests? He had some. Because he invented new dance styles. He personally invented grabbing his crotch as a dance movement.
You may be too young. But his physical dance performances changed the way of every choreographer. He broke boundaries. And it was sexual expression.
We had "Top of the Pops" all girl band performing like Grecian dancers, lifting elegant legs. We had DJs like DLT expressing surprise over slightly risky lyrics in "Son of a Preacher Man". We had punk. And then we had an explosion of difference and new. Michael was at the centre of it. Madonna was a later part of it. But Thriller? That completely shocked and shook up the musical world.
Zombies were not part of our every day reality. The shock factor was enormous. So all the sexuality was different, with a different tag. We saw the shock factor of Zombies first.
And then following Michael shaking up the music scene - it went very pornographic. Every singer and his dog had nude, scantily clad girls on every music video. Just dumb, scantily clad girls there for sex.
Yes. I absolutely think Michael was guilty. He wasn't part of the masses. Very skilled. Very talented. Very flawed. But he was very sexual. And he wasn't attracted to grown up boys or girls.