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Ukraine Invasion: Part 41

998 replies

MagicFox · 06/06/2023 13:13

Welcome to thread 41 with new guidance thrashed out with regular posters to keep us on track :-) Hope you all approve!

  1. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
  1. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content
  1. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful
OP posts:
Thread gallery
161
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2023 21:36

Very happy returns of the day to the US army! :) a long and determined history.

notimagain · 14/06/2023 22:33

@mids2019

One thing that I have always been curious about is how military can ever have a grudging respect for the enemy?

Probably depends on the conflict and context, how the combatants treat non-combatants and prisoners and lots of other variables....

As an example I know those of us ex- UK mil of a certain age and of certain specialisations have a great deal of respect for the pilots of the Argentine Air Force who did a hell of a job in almost winning that particular conflict but paid an horrific price in terms of casualties.

As a result over the years there's been quite a bit of exchange of info between pilots on both sides, some which has led to at least a couple of books and a few personal meet ups, both in the UK and Argentina.

notimagain · 14/06/2023 22:34

I should have included Argentinian Naval aviators in the above..

MissConductUS · 14/06/2023 22:39

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2023 21:36

Very happy returns of the day to the US army! :) a long and determined history.

Thank you. It's a determined bunch. 😁

A couple of military analysts I follow say that Ukraine has received and begun using the Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs (GLSDB) that were confirmed to be on their way in February. This is important for the current offensive as the UAF now has three long-range precision strike munitions - Himars (70km), GLSBD (150km), and Storm Shadow (up to 500km, depending on the model). What this means for the Russians is that nothing is safe and they can expect more strikes in Crimea.

This is really good news for Ukraine.

blueshoes · 14/06/2023 22:52

MissConductUS Thank you and happy birthday to the US army. Keeping my parents safe in the Asia Pacific. Flowers

@mids2019 how does Ukraine military view the Russian enemy? All I can say is that Ukraine does have a heart. WSJ has an article about

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-soldier-surrender-ukraine-drone-3860ab6a?mod=hp_lead_pos7

The Russian Soldier Who Surrendered to a Ukrainian Drone
Trying to survive bombardment in the trenches, draftee Ruslan Anitin pleaded with a drone to spare his life

Russian draftee Ruslan Anitin was being hunted by Ukrainian drones dropping small bombs. For hours, he scurried up and down a narrow trench.

As the sun began to set on May 9, he gazed up at a small machine buzzing overhead. Parched, exhausted and alone, Anitin crossed his arms above his head and clasped his hands together, pleading into the drone’s camera to stop the bombardment.

His face was beamed onto a screen at a command post of Ukraine’s 92nd Mechanized Brigade a few miles away, near the eastern city of Bakhmut. Col. Pavlo Fedosenko conferred with other officers, then sent an order over the radio to the drone pilots.

Try to take him alive.

The Russian Soldier Who Surrendered to a Ukrainian Drone

Trying to survive bombardment in the trenches, draftee Ruslan Anitin pleaded with a drone to spare his life.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-soldier-surrender-ukraine-drone-3860ab6a?mod=hp_lead_pos7

mids2019 · 14/06/2023 22:58

@notimagain

Fascinating.

Do you feel that this conflict in general could lead to the relationships you describe or has the Russian armies treatment of civilians made such an opinion impossible?

Personally I think it must take discipline to respect the rules of war when soldiers are aware of civilian atrocities. Does this demonstrate professionalism?

One thing that would concern me is that do POWs get automatic release post conflict or would their have to be time given for the extremely complicated judicial investigation into war crimes in case the POW was involved ?

blueshoes · 14/06/2023 22:58

@IP2022 we are here for you and Ukraine and we are not going away. You are not just fighting for yourself, but for your next generation and for the rest of Europe to live in peace. Let's look forward to rebuilding soon.💙💛🇺🇦

notimagain · 14/06/2023 23:06

@mids2019

Do you feel that this conflict in general could lead to the relationships you describe or has the Russian armies treatment of civilians made such an opinion impossible?

I think very much the latter..

mids2019 · 14/06/2023 23:16

@notimagain

I agree ... there will be no football games between the trenches.

This does beg questions about how Ukraine deals with the legal aspects of POW. Are they treated as combatants or potential war crime offenders. I suppose ideally there would be a legal means to hold POW until some sort of over arching investigation into war crimes take place.

What prompted the question was that for Ukrainian soldiers gearing up for the many life threatening battles ahead there must be real hard commitment to defence of their state and people's; to some extent this is not a professional exercise but one of grim human resolve and sacrifice. I think such a scenario does not lend itself to any noble or overly chivalrous view of war.

mids2019 · 15/06/2023 00:15

Another thing.....

The Ukranians if the media is to be believed are going to face a series of bloody, hard and painful battles to achieve their objectives of recapturing territory due to the scale of defences and air superiority of the Russians.

At this juncture given our commitment to Ukraine what would be the ramifications of NATO jets providing cover for Ukrainian advanced and ensuring any Russian jets in theatre are met with deadly force?

The instinctive reaction would be 'well that's W W3', and by that I think most people would envisage that as a nuclear conflict between Russia and NATO. However is this the case?.Since the start of the war NATO has gradually increased the level of military assistance short of involving personnel; we are now providing jets that a few months age would appear infeasible. Can we now contemplate the final piece of this gradual increase in level of assistance by providing personnel i.e. fighter pilots and equipment i.e. jets. We already provide jets (or are prepared to do so) so why not commit our trained pilots?

There will be those that reply the nukes will start flying but who believes Russian nuclear rhetoric given the number of empty threats made?.Is it time to call Putin's bluff ultimately and decisively enter this war and end of in Ukraine 's favour?. Are we victims of nuclear blackmail by actually not doing this?

Greenshake · 15/06/2023 00:34

I don’t know how to answer those questions, but I am convinced that when we reflect on this down the line, we will regret not having done more and sooner.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/06/2023 07:35

Is it time to call Putin's bluff ultimately and decisively enter this war and end of in Ukraine 's favour?. Are we victims of nuclear blackmail by actually not doing this?

I believe so yes, and definitely yes to the second question too.

The danger is that Putin's nuclear blackmail works, and others are observing that too. Observing that if they get a nuclear weopon, they too will be able to invade without active pushback. Once they were invented at all we were always going to face this issue. We tend to think that people are rational but it simply isn't always the case. North Korea and Iran's leadership proves that.

Once they were invented there was always going to come a point of serious risk. The question is how to deal with that, and with psychopathic, cool headed, vindictive madmen like Putin and Kim Jong un and I'm not sure, with all these delays in military aid, we're handling it well at all.

notimagain · 15/06/2023 08:16

. Can we now contemplate the final piece of this gradual increase in level of assistance by providing personnel i.e. fighter pilots and equipment i.e. jets. We already provide jets (or are prepared to do so) so why not commit our trained pilots?

Ah but we are still not talking about the west providing jets to the latest NATO standard...

There's not really much equivalence between the F-16s (which might be supplied) and something like F-22/F-35....

F-16 will just about put the Ukraine Air Force on level terms with the Russians...and that seems to be something western politicians are happy to contemplate.

Put F-22/F-35 into the field with trained pilots and munitions and it is a massive escalation in capability. It's even more so if you also provide intelligence/targeting assets such as AWACS...I'm guessing western the politicians think doing that is a step too far.

As to saying "sod it" and going all in....one for the politicians.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/06/2023 08:25

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-14-2023

Key Takeaways

  • Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and made gains on June 14.
  • Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces struck a division of the 20th Combined Arms Army (Western Military District) near Kreminna, Luhansk Oblast while they were waiting for the commander of the 20th CAA to give a speech, prompting typical discontent among milbloggers about Russian commanders.
  • Russian sources disseminated conflicting reports about the condition of Russian Duma Deputy and Commander of the Chechen Rosgvardia branch, Adam Delimkhanov, on June 14. ISW has not observed any visual evidence to confirm or deny the contradictory claims about Delimkhanov’s condition.
  • Russian forces conducted missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on June 14.
  • Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks in the Kupyansk direction and south of Kreminna.
  • Ukrainian and Russian forces continued ground attacks in the Bakhmut area.
  • Russian forces continued limited ground attacks on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
  • Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near the administrative border of Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts and reportedly made gains in this area as of June 14.
  • Ukrainian forces continued limited ground attacks in western Zaporizhia Oblast on June 14.
  • Satellite imagery suggests that Russian helicopters defending against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations in southern Ukraine are likely deployed to an airfield in Berdyansk, Zaporizhia Oblast.
  • A Russian State Duma bill aimed at raising the conscription age suggests that the Kremlin may be aiming to shield specific generations from the demographic and social impacts of the war in Ukraine.
  • Russian occupation authorities continue efforts to consolidate economic control of occupied territories.

[note: A Russian State Duma bill aimed at raising the conscription age suggests that the Kremlin may be aiming to shield specific generations from the demographic and social impacts of the war in Ukraine this goes against the general trend to widen conscription / mobilization at the moment, though conscripts have always been more 'protected' than mobiks. But in a situation where Ru is refusing to exempt even students and PhD students from mil service, this is an exception and it would be interesting to know why]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/06/2023 09:40

Kyiv Independent Telegram

Ukraine makes gains 1 week into counteroffensive but decisive battle yet to begin (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-makes-gains-1-week-into-counteroffensive-but-decisive-battle-yet-to-begin/)

⚡️Defense Ministry: Despite heavy battles, Ukraine advances (https://kyivindependent.com/defense-ministry-despite-heavy-battles-ukraine-advances-confidently/) confidently.
Russian troops have increased their attacks and densely mined the fields to stop the counteroffensive, but Ukrainian forces are "advancing confidently," Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar told Ukrainian TV on June 14.

⚡️ Mayor: (https://kyivindependent.com/mayor-explosion-reportedly-damages-railway-in-russian-occupied-melitopol/)
An explosion has blocked a key Russian logistics route near occupied Melitopol in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, exiled Mayor Ivan Fedorov said on June 14.
According to Fedorov, Russian forces have lost five freight wagons and 50 meters of railway track as a result.

⚡️UN nuclear chief delays visit (https://kyivindependent.com/un-nuclear-chief/) to Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant over security concerns.
Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Rafael Grossi postponed a trip to the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant on June 14 due to security concerns.

⚡️Kadyrov's right-hand man Adam Delimkhanov reportedly wounded (https://kyivindependent.com/kadyrovs-right-hand-man-adam-delimkhanov-reportedly-injured/) in Ukraine.
Adam Delimkhanov, State Duma member and a close associate of the Chechen dictator Ramzan Kadyrov, has been wounded, the press service of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) reported on June 14. [conflicting reports on this]

⚡️Official: Over 1 million Ukrainians could face (https://kyivindependent.com/official-more-than-1-million-ukrainians-could-lack-water-due-to-russias-dam-explosion/) water shortages after Kakhovka dam destruction.

⚡️Netherlands to purchase (https://kyivindependent.com/netherlands-to-purchase-4-radars-to-bolster-ukraines-air-defense/) 4 radars to bolster Ukraine's air defense.
The Dutch Defense Ministry will purchase four VERA-EG radar systems for Ukraine worth a total of 150 million euros

⚡️ General Staff: Russia launches (https://kyivindependent.com/general-staff-russia-launches-37-airstrikes-in-past-24-hours/) 37 airstrikes in past 24 hours.

⚡️According to Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko, 3,761 people were evacuated from Kherson and Mykolaiv oblasts as of June 14 following the Kakhovka dam disaster.
Floodwaters have receded in the villages of Olhivka, Mykolaivka, Lvovo, and Burhunka in the Tiahynka community, Stepanivka in the Kherson community, and Bobrovyi Kut and Zapovit in the Kalyniv community.

⚡️ Russian media: Russian power plant near Rostov on fire (https://kyivindependent.com/russian-power-plant-near-rostov-on-fire/).
Russian sources said the fire started due to "non-compliance with safety precautions during repair work."

⚡️AP: Captured Ukrainian soldiers face trial (https://kyivindependent.com/ap-captured-ukrainian-soldiers-face-trial-in-russia/) in Russia.
More than 20 Ukrainian soldiers taken as prisoners of war went on trial in a southern Russian court on June 15, the Associated Press reported, adding that the soldiers are members of Ukraine's Azov Regiment.

US military official: Ukrainians expected to finish training (https://kyivindependent.com/us-military-official-ukrainians-expected-to-finish-training-on-abrams-tanks-by-end-of-summer/)on Abrams tanks by end of summer.

Ukrainian soldiers will likely finish training on Abrams tanks by the end of summer, a senior U.S. Army Europe and Africa Command official said, as cited by the Pentagon press service.
The end of the training program will roughly coincide with the scheduled fall delivery of the 31 M1A1 Abrams, pledged by the U.S. earlier.

⚡️SBU charges (https://kyivindependent.com/sbu-charges-russian-ideologue-dugin/) Russian ideologue Dugin with genocide, anti-Ukrainian activities.
The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has pressed charges against Alexandr Dugin, a Russian ultranationalist ideologue and the leader of the Eurasian Movement, SBU announced on June 1

Investigative Stories from Ukraine: Journalists track wealthy Russians living, vacationing on French Riviera
(https://kyivindependent.com/investigative-stories-from-ukraine-4/)
Ukrainska Pravda tracked down Russian officials, businesspeople, and oligarchs, some facing international sanctions, vacationing at lavish properties in southern France and Monaco; Government officials and athletes were spotted illegally out at restaurants in Kyiv during curfew hours, according to journalists from the Ukrainian media outlet Ukrainska Pravda; and more.

⚡️ (https://kyivindependent.com/former-judge-chaus-sentenced-to-10-years-for-taking-bribe/)
Ukraine's High Anti-Corruption Court announced on June 14 that it has found Mykola Chaus, the ex-judge who once worked at Kyiv’s Dniprovskyi District Court, guilty of accepting a $150,000 bribe back in 2016.

Lower losses today, but one helicopter.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/06/2023 10:35

UNITED24 Media Telegram

IAEA Director General Raphael Grossi arrived to the temporarily occupied Zaporizhzhia NPP, Energoatom reports

The defense forces continue to conduct an offensive operation with partial success, Malyar reported. Over the past day:
▫️Bakhmut direction — in various sections, Ukrainians advanced 200-500 m.
▫️ Zaporizhzhia direction — advance 300-350 m
▫️ Berdiansk direction — fighting continues near Makarivka
▫️ Mariupol direction — fighting continues in the Novodanilivka and Novopokrovsk areas
Over the past day, the enemy has lost an ACS artillery battery, two electronic warfare systems, up to 10 pieces of equipment, a surveillance and fire control radar complex, and air defense equipment. [as of 14/06/23]

At night, Russian rockets hit two industrial enterprises in Kryvyi Rih, — the head of the Regional Military Administration Lysak.

NATO is inclined to extend Stoltenberg's term as Secretary General due to difficulties in choosing his successor — FT

Reznikov arrived in Brussels for another meeting in the Ramstein format

Ukraine has prepared and submitted proposals for sanctions against Russian missile production to its partners.

In its security strategy, Germany called Russia the biggest threat to European peace, — Bloomberg.
It also states that Germany intends to spend an average of at least 2% of GDP annually on defense.

Belarus began receiving Russian nuclear weapons, — Reuters

⚡️Denmark and Norway have joined forces to deliver another 9,000 artillery shells to Ukraine, according to reports from the defense ministries of the two countries

Japan is in talks to supply U.S. artillery shells to boost Ukraine's stockpile — so Tokyo is looking for workarounds to help Kyiv in its counteroffensive, despite arms export restrictions, writes WSJ

The European Parliament recognized the blowing up of the Kakhovka HPP as a war crime of Russia, — the report of the European Parliament based on the results of the plenary session in Strasbourg.

The court in The Hague has started an investigation into the undermining of the Kakhovka HPP dam
The International Criminal Court in The Hague may bring new charges against Putin when the investigation into the disaster at the Kakhovka HPP is completed.

Ukraine agreed with the Czech Republic on joint repair of T-64 tanks, — Ministry of Defense of the Czech Republic.
"Ukroboronprom" and the Czech company VOP CZ agreed on cooperation in the repair of T-64 tanks in the Czech Republic.
The Czech Novoichyn Military Repair Enterprise will carry out repairs. The first works will start soon.

Denmark intends to restore the submarine fleet to deter the Russian Federation in the Baltic Sea — Breaking Defence.
"All ships of the Russian fleet must pass through our waters if they are coming from St. Petersburg or Kaliningrad, so we must strengthen our defenses. This is a completely new awareness for us," said Michael, head of the Danish Foreign Policy Committee. Aastrup Jensen, said in Washington.
According to him, before the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Denmark spent about 1.35% of its GDP on defense, but this year the expenditure will increase to 2%.

Greta Thunberg came to the Ukrainian rally near the UN office in Bonn, Germany, Deutsche Welle reports

MrTiddlesTheCat · 15/06/2023 10:45

This could well be absolute nonsense, seeing as I have no expertise at all, but could Ukraine join NATO with an expanding border. So using very real threat of NATO involvement to push Russia back?

What I mean is that, for example, everything 50km back from the front line becomes NATO territory. As Ukraine advance the NATO area increases and Russia can't advance as that would be an attack on NATO.

Igotjelly · 15/06/2023 10:54

MrTiddlesTheCat · 15/06/2023 10:45

This could well be absolute nonsense, seeing as I have no expertise at all, but could Ukraine join NATO with an expanding border. So using very real threat of NATO involvement to push Russia back?

What I mean is that, for example, everything 50km back from the front line becomes NATO territory. As Ukraine advance the NATO area increases and Russia can't advance as that would be an attack on NATO.

A country can’t join the alliance whilst there is an active border dispute. I think the relevant section is Article 8 of the NATO treaty.

notimagain · 15/06/2023 10:57

@MrTiddlesTheCat

No, not at the moment, for the reasons given by @Igotjelly .

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/06/2023 10:59

Live: Ukraine Telegram

Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov claims that State Duma deputy and his "right hand man" Adam Delimkhanov is "alive and well and not even wounded."
He claims that he knew from the very beginning that Delimkhanov's injury was a "fake news story," but decided to "add fuel to the fire" to "demonstrate to everyone, especially Ukrainians, to what level their media have sunk."

The U.S. Central Command is redeploying F-22 fighter jets to the Middle East due to provocations by Russian pilots.
The command's press service emphasized that the Russians are behaving "dangerously and unprofessionally" in the skies over the region, which threatens to escalate the situation.

NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg believes that it is too early to draw conclusions as to whether the Ukrainian counteroffensive will be a turning point in the war.

A debate has erupted among NATO member states, putting pressure on U.S. President Joe Biden to support a much faster and more reliable path to membership for Ukraine, The New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/14/us/politics/biden-nato-ukraine.html) reports.
Many allies, especially those bordering Russia, want to provide Ukraine with a firm political guarantee and a clear timetable ahead of the July NATO summit. Biden, on the other hand, is approaching this issue cautiously, as he does not want to bring NATO into direct conflict with Moscow, but he is aware of the risks of splits in the Alliance.

Losses to the fishing industry as a result of the destruction of the Kakhovka Reservoir after the Russians blew up the hydroelectric power plant could be over UAH 11 billion (300 million dollars), the State Fisheries Agency has warned.

An activist throws Russian rubles upon Georgian Dream MPs in Georgian Parliament in protest of Georgia's growing alignment with Russia.

Zaluzhnyi prevents bridges in Kyiv from being blown up at the start of full-scale war - BBC (https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cmm0znq3ml5o)

The first photo shows a Ukrainian M2A2 Bradley of the 47th Brigade after a direct Grad hit. The second photo shows the crew of this Bradley successfully evacuated and already performing a mission.
This is a clear proof that the combat survivability declared by the manufacturer of the armored vehicles is not just words, said Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Malyar.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
MissConductUS · 15/06/2023 14:10

This is a clear proof that the combat survivability declared by the manufacturer of the armored vehicles is not just words, said Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Malyar.

The Bradley was used widely in Iraq and Afghanistan. When one sustained battle damage resulting in casualties, it was studied in a failure chain analysis process. When the M2A1 was redesigned as the M2A2, numerous improvements were made in how the ammunition was stored, what internal components needed additional armor, adding armor on the hull and turret, etc. There have been additional upgrades since then in the M2A3, as well as the introduction of variants for specific tasks.

The Brads sent to Ukraine are very modern and safe regarding crew protection.

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/bradley-fighting-vehicles-have-officially-arrived-in-ukraine

Bradley Fighting Vehicles Have Arrived In Ukraine

The Pentagon on Tuesday gave the first official confirmation that the Bradley Infantry Fighting vehicles are indeed in Ukraine.

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/bradley-fighting-vehicles-have-officially-arrived-in-ukraine

Amispringy · 15/06/2023 15:14

Sorry if posted already - I can't see it

twitter.com/podolyak_m/status/1669270253942067202?s=46&t=En7uHsBtveeyWz6jMQkU-A

I am always genuinely surprised at how many deeper levels of disgust and loathing I can reach.

MissConductUS · 15/06/2023 21:05

The WSJ has published an update on the state of the offensive this afternoon.

Ukraine’s Offensive Meets Strong Russian Response - Kyiv’s forces are making progress but encountering resistance, defense official says

Updated June 15, 2023 2:58 pm ET

Russia and Ukraine are engaged in fierce battles in Ukraine’s south and east as Moscow’s forces push back against a counteroffensive aimed at driving them from the region, said senior Ukrainian leaders.

Kyiv’s forces are progressing in their offensive, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky told NBC News in an interview released on Thursday, but said they are being met with an intense* *Russian riposte.

“Our heroic people, our troops on the front of the front line are facing very tough resistance,” he said. “And you understand why, because for Russia, to lose this campaign to Ukraine, I would say, actually means losing the war.”

The initial stages of the Ukrainian offensive began in recent days, with Ukraine’s forces attempting to punch through the first of multiple layers of Russian defenses in areas of the country seized by the Kremlin’s forces during its full-scale invasion of the country that began last year.

Ukrainian Brigadier-General Oleksii Hromov said on Thursday that Ukraine had regained control of 38 square miles since the start of its counteroffensive operations.

Ukraine’s Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar said late on Wednesday night that Russian troops have employed antitank guided missiles and loitering munitions that stay airborne while identifying a target and then attack.

Mines laid by Russian forces in southern Ukraine have also posed an obstacle to the long-awaited Ukrainian military push, she said.

“Basically, a fierce battle is going on. We are making as much effort as we can, and at the same time the Russians are concentrating as much effort as they can in order to stop this offensive,” said Malyar. Russian forces also launched their own attacks at other points along the front line, she said.

The offensive, which is expected to unfold over the coming months, is a critical moment in the war, in which Ukraine will use Western-supplied heavy weapons, including tanks, in an attempt to break Russia’s grip on the 20% of the country it now occupies. The operations are an important test for the Ukrainian government, in which success on the battlefield could help it obtain more military aid from U.S., European and other allies.

The offensive is in the early stages and it is far too early to make any assessment of its success, said Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley at a news conference Thursday.

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin met with his Ukrainian counterpart at a gathering at the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s headquarters in Brussels on Thursday, where members discussed military assistance for Ukraine, which isn’t part of the alliance but has asked to join.

“Ukraine’s fight is a marathon and not a sprint,” Austin said. “So we will continue to provide Ukraine with the urgent capabilities that it needs to meet this moment, as well as what it needs to keep itself secure for the long term from Russian aggression.”

“This will continue to be a tough fight, as we anticipated, the element that does the best in terms of sustainment will have the advantage at the end of the day,” Austin added later in a news conference.

The U.K.’s Defense Ministry announced on Thursday the delivery by Britain, the U.S., Denmark and the Netherlands of hundreds of short- and medium-range air-defense missiles and associated systems. The delivery, which has already begun, is to protect Ukraine’s critical infrastructure “and further ensure the success of counter-offensive operations in the coming months,” the ministry said.

Ukraine’s military general staff said in an update on the fighting Thursday that it shot down a Russian helicopter and destroyed 12 Russian tanks as the fighting continued.

Ukrainian forces have made small gains in recent days, recapturing villages in eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia* *regions, according to Ukrainian officials. However, it has become clear that the fighting could be more arduous than expected, with Ukraine facing Russian forces who have had months to dig in and prepare for the expected Ukrainian assault.

The offensive has also been complicated by flooding in southern Ukraine after the destruction of a large dam in Russian-occupied southeastern Ukraine last week.

“I am especially grateful to everyone who is currently fighting in the east and south of our country, opening up strategic space for Ukraine, space for movement to victory,” Zelensky said in his nightly address on Wednesday.
“I thank all those who are now on the offensive and on the defensive, who are storming the occupiers’ positions and repelling their attacks,” he said.

Separately, Russian forces launched a barrage of missile and drone strikes at Ukrainian cities far behind the front lines.* *Russia has escalated its bombardment of civilian buildings and infrastructure in recent weeks, part of what Ukrainian officials say is an attempt to disrupt the counteroffensive.

The Russian strikes on Wednesday night and Thursday morning hit two industrial estates in the Ukrainian city of Kryviy Rih, causing a fire and wounding a 38-year-old man, according to the head of the regional military administration. A separate strike earlier this week on the city, which is Zelensky’s hometown, killed 12 people, officials said.

The Ukrainian air force said it shot down one of four cruise missiles and all 20 Iranian-made Shahed drones launched by Russia at the country overnight.
In Zaporizhzhia in southeastern Ukraine, Russian shelling resulted in 23 instances of destruction of civilian infrastructure overnight, according to the local governor. Explosions could also be heard in Kharkiv in northeastern Ukraine and Kherson in the southeast.

Ukrainian drones launched an attack inside Russian-occupied Crimea, according to the Russian-installed administration of the region, part of a broader effort by Ukraine to put pressure on Russia’s forces across the region. Russian-backed officials said all nine drones had been shot down, resulting in broken windows.

Meanwhile, Rafael Grossi, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, visited the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in southeastern Ukraine on Thursday to make an assessment of the situation there, Ukraine’s atomic energy agency said. The trip, his third to the plant, is taking place a day later than planned due to security concerns.

Grossi’s IAEA delegation will deliver equipment to the site and rotate in a new team of inspectors. It currently has four inspectors at the site but Grossi said on Tuesday that he plans to increase their number so that they can better survey the safety and security of the site.

The destruction of the Kakhovka dam last week has raised concerns about safety at the plant because the rupture drained part of a reservoir that provided water used for cooling at the nuclear power plant, the largest one in Europe.

“With the water that is here, the plant can be kept safe for some time,” Grossi said Thursday. “The plant is going to be working to replenish the water.”

Russian soldiers seized the plant during the invasion last year, setting in motion a year of difficult diplomacy aimed at stabilizing the plant and preventing a nuclear catastrophe.

Write to Jared Malsin at [email protected]
Corrections & Amplifications
The Kakhovka dam in Ukraine was destroyed last week. An earlier version of this article incorrectly spelled it Kakhova. (Corrected on June 15)

Ukraine’s Offensive Meets Strong Russian Response

Fierce battles have ensued in the south and east of the country as Russian forces push back against Kyiv’s counteroffensive, a top Ukrainian official said.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraines-offensive-meets-strong-russian-riposte-4d588bdf?mod=world_lead_pos2

blueshoes · 15/06/2023 22:48

MissConductUS, the article makes sobering reading. It was not going to be easy. Sounds like a hard slog ahead for Ukraine but they are going to keep going and they will do it. Never give up.

RedToothBrush · 15/06/2023 23:55

Noise tonight that there is fighting in Nova Kakhovka. That's where the dam was blown. Russian telegram is suggesting that the Ukrainians are launching an amphibious attack there.

It's being taken with a huge pinch of salt at this stage though there has been a lot of talk about how the Russians overcooked the destruction of the dam and compromised their own defences in the area as a result.

May or may not come to anything.