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Ukraine Invasion: Part 41

998 replies

MagicFox · 06/06/2023 13:13

Welcome to thread 41 with new guidance thrashed out with regular posters to keep us on track :-) Hope you all approve!

  1. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
  1. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content
  1. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful
OP posts:
Thread gallery
161
minsmum · 10/06/2023 00:03

Yes I am going to donate this weekend as well in honour of our shill

DdraigGoch · 10/06/2023 01:39

MMBaranova · 09/06/2023 23:14

Man dates in Sochi.

Very curious video of two men sitting at a well laid table in Sochi (all a bit Mar-a-Lago with an awning and a breeze, perhaps there's a wedding party expected later, but it is Putin's residence). From it we can deduce they are both alive, Putin can talk for both of them, Luka is big, Putin can use both arms, but preferably not at the same time, he touches his frozen looking cheek a couple of times, while Luka can better anchor his feet.

Official wooden dialogue and more pictures here:

http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/71326

Does Putin have different lengths of table to suit different states of diplomatic relations?

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 07:02

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-9-2023

Key Takeaways

  • Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least four areas of the front on June 9, making further gains around Bakhmut and in Western Donetsk.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged on June 9 that the Ukrainian counteroffensive recently began and noted that Ukrainian forces still have offensive potential, a departure from previous Kremlin efforts to downplay Ukrainian counteroffensives.
  • Contrarily, much of the Russian information space prematurely claimed that the Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed after Russian forces damaged more Western-provided Ukrainian military equipment on June 9.
  • Ukrainian officials directly acknowledged that Ukrainian forces expect to suffer equipment losses during counteroffensive operations.
  • The Russian command structure responsible for areas of southern Ukraine is unclear and likely overlapping.
  • Russian forces carried out missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on the night of June 8 to 9.
  • Several independent sources reported additional evidence that an internal explosion likely destroyed the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam on June 6.
  • The White House revealed on June 9 that Iran is helping Russia build a drone manufacturing factory in Yelabuga, Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, underscoring the growing military cooperation between Tehran and Moscow despite Western sanctions.
  • Chief of the Russian General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov discussed increasing Russian-Chinese military cooperation with Chinese Central Military Commission (CMC) Joint Staff Department Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli on June 9.
  • Russian and Ukrainian forces conducted limited and localized ground attacks south of Kreminna.
  • Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
  • Ukrainian forces continued limited ground attacks on the administrative border between Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
  • Russia continues to evade international sanctions and has reportedly restored access to key Western microchips and electronics that Russia needs to produce military equipment.
  • A Ukrainian report states that Russian authorities may be preparing evacuations from northern Crimea.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on June 9 that Russia will begin deploying tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus in July 2023, and this is not an escalation from Putin’s prior nuclear weapons rhetoric.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 08:39

Kyiv INdependent Telegram

⚡️US announces (https://kyivindependent.com/us-announces-2-1-billion-in-military-aid-to-ukraine/) $2.1 billion in military aid to Ukraine.
The package includes HAWK air defense systems and missiles, Puma reconnaissance drones, additional ammunition for Patriot air defense systems, 105mm and 203mm artillery rounds.

⚡️Media: Belgium to provide (https://kyivindependent.com/media-belgium-to-provide-ukraine-with-35-million-worth-of-ammunition/) Ukraine with $35 million worth of ammunition.
Belgium’s government has approved supplying Ukraine with 105mm ammunition worth 32. 4 million euros ($35 million), Belgian newspaper Het Laatste Nieuws (HLN) reported on June 9.

⚡️Military reports (https://kyivindependent.com/military-reports-advances-near-bakhmut/) advance near Bakhmut.
Ukrainian troops have advanced up to 1,200 meters in some areas in the Bakhmut direction, Serhii Cherevaty, the spokesperson for the eastern command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, said on June 9.

⚡️Governor: Military airfield in Poltava Oblast suffers damage (https://kyivindependent.com/governor-military-airfield-in-poltava-oblast-suffers-some-damage-due-to-russias-overnight-airstrike/) due to Russia's overnight airstrike.
Russian forces launched an intense airstrike targeting Myrhorod military airfield in Poltava Oblast, with the facility's infrastructure and equipment suffering "some damage," Governor Dmytro Lunin reported on June 10.

⚡️NYT: Satellites detected (https://kyivindependent.com/new-york-times-4/) explosion at Kakhovka dam shortly before collapse.
U.S. spy satellites detected an explosion at the Kakhovka dam just before it collapsed on June 6, the New York Times (NYT) wrote on June 9, citing a senior U.S. official.
According to the NYT, the satellites, equipped with infrared sensors, detected a heat signature consistent with a major explosion.

⚡️SBU: In intercepted phone call, Russian soldier confirms (https://kyivindependent.com/sbu-russian-soldier-confirms-russia-blew-up-kakhovka-dam-in-intercepted-phone-call/) Russia blew up Kakhovka dam.
In an intercepted phone call published by Ukraine's Security Service (SBU), an alleged Russian serviceman said a Russian sabotage group had destroyed the Kakhovka dam in Kherson Oblast.

⚡️Interior Ministry: 5 dead, 13 missing (https://kyivindependent.com/interior-ministry-5-dead-13-missing-due-to-flooding-caused-by-kakhovka-dam-breach/) due to flooding caused by Kakhovka dam breach.

Saving lives from Russia’s flood: Inside inundated, shelled Kherson (https://kyivindependent.com/saving-lives-from-russias-flood-inside-inundated-shelled-kherson/)

Corruption in Ukraine (), and where reforms fall short
In this episode, we unmasked Ukraine’s judicial corruption, and Oleg Sukhov explains where and why the fight against corruption falls short.

⚡️UK Defense Ministry: Russia likely sabotaging grain deal (https://kyivindependent.com/uk-defense-ministry-11/)to** force reopening of ammonia pipeline.

⚡️White House: Iran helping (https://kyivindependent.com/white-house-iran-helping-moscow-build-drone-factory-in-russia/) Moscow build drone factory in Russia.
Iran is providing Moscow with materials to build a drone factory in Russia, the White House announced on June 9.

⚡️ US offers guidance to private sector to curb Iranian drone production (https://kyivindependent.com/us-stat/)

⚡️Media: Fuel warehouse (https://kyivindependent.com/russian-media/) in Russia's Ufa on fire. The affected warehouse is reportedly at the city's railway station. Russian media claim that railway tracks are also on fire.

⚡️32 countries (https://kyivindependent.com/32-countries-join-ukraines-genocide-lawsuit-against-russia/) join Ukraine's genocide lawsuit against Russia.

⚡️Kyiv authorities initiating changes (https://kyivindependent.com/kyiv-authorities-initiating-changes-to-legislation-on-bomb-shelters/) to legislation on bomb shelters.
The Kyiv City Military Administration will initiate a change to the legislation to prevent property developers from bypassing the requirements to equip residential buildings with bomb shelters.

⚡️Ministry: Economic recovery faster (https://kyivindependent.com/economy-ministry-gdp-recovery-faster-than-expected/) than expected.
Compared to the last quarter of 2022, Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) experienced a 2.4% increase in the first three months of 2023, the Economy Ministry reported on June 9.

⚡️Minister: Venice Commission advises (https://kyivindependent.com/venice-commission-recommends-ukraine-postpones-anti-oligarch-law/) Ukraine to postpone anti-oligarch law.
The Venice Commission, an advisory body to the Council of Europe, has recommended that Ukraine postpone the implementation of the anti-oligarch law until the war ends, Justice Minister Denys Maliuska said on June 9.

🎉We are thrilled to announce that the Kyiv Independent has won the most prestigious journalism prize in Europe — The European Press Prize.
The winning story was an investigative piece, focusing on the alleged misconduct in the International Legion, a special military unit created for foreigners who volunteer to fight for Ukraine.

⚡️Authorities: 2 killed (https://kyivindependent.com/authorities-2-killed-in-russian-attack-on-medical-facility-in-zaporizhzhia-oblast/) in Russian attack on medical facility in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 09:41

If true, this is quite an annoying spoke in the wheel for Russia. Article was written yesterday.

https://cybernews.com/cyber-war/infotel-hack-impacts-russian-banks/

Pro-Ukrainian hacktivists allegedly took down Infotel, a Russian internet service provider (ISP) crucial for operating a platform that Russian banks use to facilitate the financial system.
Cyber Anarchy Squad, a pro-Kyiv hacker collective, took credit for taking down Infotel, a Moscow-based ISP. The service provider has been down since June 8th, and its site was still inaccessible at the time of writing this article.
“Their entire infrastructure is destroyed, there is nothing left alive there. Now let them try to rebuild everything — they have as much chance as Russia is to have an easy life,” attackers said on their Telegram channel.
While taking down a single ISP is not a tectonic event, the attack’s side effects have the potential to have severe ramifications for Russia’s banking system: Infotel runs the Automated System of Electronic Interaction (ASEI) for the Central Bank of Russia.
Commercial banks, credit unions, and other businesses use ASEI for secure communications between different organizations. The system enables secure document exchange, data transfer, digital signature, and other crucial activities to facilitate the banking system.
In theory, without ASEI, the ability for institutions to exchange financial information on loans and transactions is severely limited. While backup systems could assist during downtime, delays would be unavoidable.
Since banks rely on AESI to process transactions, a sudden shutdown would halt interbank comms, preventing some of the transactions from taking place.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 10:12

Kyiv Indep

much lower hardware losses but 5 'special equipment'. Nearly 900 dead.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
RedToothBrush · 10/06/2023 10:15

MMBaranova · 09/06/2023 22:38

There are paid disinformation propagandists in St Petersburg, Yoshgar-Ola etc. They are real. They are part of the war effort.

There are fellow travellers, some of whom live in a Soviet bubble / America Bad / Tankie land. Plus their real and/or spiritual spawn.

Then there's the goady troll. They like to be contrarian. They often like to set you homework and require citations for everything.

Not everyone acts in good faith. My default setting with incomers is generally neutral until I spot a drift in either direction.

I had a surreal experience in a bar in deepest darkest Cheshire some weeks back.

DH and I were in when it was very quiet. Just us, the 21year old barman and this old dude.

We all got talking and before long the old dude starts saying how he made a fortune on bitcoin (DH worked out his numbers were utter bullshit very quickly). He then goes on to say how much of an anti-capitalist he is and how he was a massive Corbynite. We then went into an alternative world with a very deep conversation for lunchtime which the poor guy at the bar was wide mouthed at. Just as he was leaving the old guy revealed that he worked for Russia Today and suddenly it all made perfect sense.

DH and I kept straight faces and played along with the shite. When he left the poor bewildered lad at the bar was like wtf just happened there? We gently explained to the lad. He's was extra nice to us last time we popped in!

So people do genuinely believe in some of this shit and it's fascinating to meet them and be able to see their complete lack of joined up thinking. I have to say it was a timely reminder to me and I havent met one as bonkers as this one since a 10 year bus journey with a dual Chinese passport holding Serb who said he'd personally discovered the cure for cancer but has been fucked over amongst other gems.

The common theme is an anti-western anti-establishment attitude and that sends people off down a rabbit warren of utter bullshit.

Great entertainment for a few hours (me and DH suss them very quickly and find it highly amusing that they are never anywhere near as clever as they think) but also fucking frightening. These people can be convincing and often are articulate.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 10:20

These people can be convincing and often are articulate.

Im observing that right now, someone leeching onto someone who's admittedly been terribly treated. Intelligent person with a chip on his shoulder and now he's got a bloodsucker on the other.

Fecking weird to find a Russia Today guy in Cheshire though.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 10:28

UNITED24 Media Telegram

A new Ramstein-style meeting will take place on June 15 in Brussels, Pentagon spokesman Patrick Ryder said.

Despite water dropping to the so-called "dead" level in the Kakhovsky Reservoir of 13.3 m, when it is theoretically impossible to feed the cooling pond of the Zaporizhzhia NPP, it is currently confirmed that the real conditions are less conservative than it provided for in the project, — Petro Kotin, President of Energoatom State Enterprise, on Radio Svoboda.
Kotin added that there are alternative power sources for this pond.
"At the moment, the situation is under control: in addition to the Kakhovsky Reservoir, there are several other water sources for the cooling pond. These are mobile pumping units that can be used if necessary, and the last is underground wells of fresh water," the President of Energoatom noted.

❗️The Russian army is again shelling the coastal areas of Kherson, reports the head of the Regional Military Administration

On the fourth day after the disaster at the Kakhovska hydroelectric power station, Putin ordered the creation of a commission to eliminate the consequences of the "flood" in the annexed part of the Kherson region.

Employees of the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations do not allow volunteers to the annexed left bank of the Dnipro in the Kherson region, including the city of Oleshki, where more than 600 people are blocked, — The Insider with reference to volunteers.
According to the interlocutor of the publication, at least 600 people in the hospital remain without food and water in Oleshky in the city center. In addition, some people are in the school and cultural center.

A series of explosions rang out in the occupied Genichesk and on the Arabat Spit
The OSINT community has determined the approximate location of the hit on the Arabat Spit — the headquarters of the occupation forces "Dnipro," which Putin visited in April.

Members of the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the US House of Representatives, representing the Democratic and Republican parties, announced the introduction of a resolution calling on the Biden administration to transfer ATACMS long-range missiles to Ukraine

The level of flooding in the Kherson region has finally begun to decrease — the water has dropped by about 20 cm in the past day, the evacuation of people and animals continues, — the head of the Regional Military Administration Prokudin.

Lukashenko's regime was preparing a ground invasion of Ukraine but did not persuade the army.
For almost a week, the KGB authorities blackmailed, intimidated, and communicated with the military—did nothing. And then they reported to the top management that the Belarusian army is not ready to conduct combat operations in Ukraine, — said the founder of the Belarusian Airborne Assault Group in the Armed Forces Valery Sakhashchyk.

Russia’s Children's Ombudswoman Maria Lvova-Belova was indicted by the International Criminal Court for war crimes. Is there anything else of interest in her life — both professional and private? As the Ukrainian OSINT agency Molfar (https://t.me/molfar_global) found out — there is a lot.
Using that extensive research we tell the story of the amazing life of Maria Lvova-Belova. Here is what to expect: big money, nepotism, church and key manager with ties to neo-nazis.

❗️The Supreme Court of the Netherlands ruled that the "Scythian gold", which was the subject of legal proceedings in the Netherlands for years, should be returned to Ukraine

The Wall Street Journal publishes the map of the fortifications of the occupiers in the Zaporizhzhia region

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 11:13

Live: Ukraine Telegram

🇸🇪 Sweden will allow NATO to deploy troops on its territory before it officially joins the Alliance. According to the government, this decision sends a clear message to Russia and strengthens the country's defense.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrives in Kyiv for an unannounced visit.

In the Odesa region, border guards are recording the consequences of the Russian ecocide: waves are washing up houses, furniture, household appliances, cars, animal bodies, mines and ammunition.

❗️At night, eight Iranian drones and two missiles were destroyed in the sky over Odesa.
The wreckage of the downed Shahed hit an apartment building and damaged several buildings nearby. Three people were killed and 26 others were injured, including two children and a pregnant woman.

Hungarian Vice Prime Minister Zsolt Semjén confirmed (https://www.atv.hu/belfold/20230609/megszolalt-semjen-ez-az-orosz-ortodox-egyhaz-gesztusa-magyarorszag-fele?fbclid=IwAR2owVCA2RjpXuIMicVP2U5FToKC8Lifv4jSot2fkaZvKYod64vlGLkBWu8) the information about the transfer of 11 prisoners of war, Transcarpathian Hungarians, from Russia to Hungary, as previously announced by the Russian Orthodox Church. This decision was not coordinated with Ukraine.
Nikolenko also noted that the Ukrainian government was not informed about the negotiations between the Hungarian and Russian sides.

Megszólalt Semjén: “Ez az orosz ortodox egyház gesztusa Magyarország felé”

“Ez emberi és hazafias kötelességem” - jelentette ki Semjén Zsolt egyházügyekért is felelős miniszterelnök-helyettes az atv.hu-nak arról, hogy koordinálta a 11 kárpátaljai magyar hadifogoly Magyarországra szállítását.

https://www.atv.hu/belfold/20230609/megszolalt-semjen-ez-az-orosz-ortodox-egyhaz-gesztusa-magyarorszag-fele?fbclid=IwAR2owVCA2RjpXuIMicVP2U5FToKC8Lifv4jSot2fkaZvKYod64vlGLkBWu8%29

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 10/06/2023 11:36

The water is starting to drop in some areas.

Just been told by the Kherson friends who stayed with us on the way to @Hillsmakeyoustrong that volunteers have found 90 bodies so far in Oleshki and the water is dropping further, ie more bodies will be found. A lot more.

There are also the villages of Gopras, Kokhans, Kardashinka, Great Kardashinka, Little Kardashinka, Podstepny, Poima, Nechaev, Winegrower, Pischanivka, Sakha left, Solontsi left, Sakha right, Solontsi right, Rybal. ʹche, Nova Zbur'ivka, Stara Zbur'ivka, village. Zabarine, Vynogradne, Kozach Lageri, Krynyk, Korsunka.

dibly · 10/06/2023 13:52

Re a Russia Today writer in Cheshire, the hard left still have a large base in the northwest, a lot centred in Liverpool, but also Cheshire. I used to be a member of the Labour Party but left after 4 years of Corbynism and motions like Labour should endorse and promote Russia Today.

They’re deluded and dangerous, and thankfully being unearthed through measures Starmer is taking

RedToothBrush · 10/06/2023 22:42

Word tonight from Russian sources is there is Ukrainian movement around the Svatove area.

This was always the suggestion back before the winter. Will be interesting to see what comes to pass.

MissConductUS · 10/06/2023 22:50

The WSJ has published front line reporting, the first I've seen anywhere. One thing to keep in mind is that most of the western trained and equipped brigades haven't been committed yet.

‘A Wall of Steel’: Ukrainian Troops Face Hard Slog in Offensive’s First Days - Brigades with Western arms make small gains against Russia’s defensive lines in occupied regions

Updated June 10, 2023 2:04 pm ET

ZAPORIZHZHIA, Ukraine—The assault began Thursday night, with about 100 troops, two German-made Leopard II tanks and several American-made armored personnel carriers.

The plan was to push south toward the Russian-occupied town of Tokmak, in the southern Zaporizhzhia region, according to a soldier who was part of the operation. Two other units would also push toward Tokmak from different axes.

As soon as the regiment crossed a road outside the town of Mala Tokmak, the 28-year-old soldier said, the Russians began to pummel them with Grad rockets. The fields were mined. Russian helicopters and jet fighters buzzed overhead.
The assault progressed less than 2 miles, the soldier said. One of the Leopards was hit and disabled.

“They were just waiting for us…prepared positions everywhere,” he said. “It was a wall of steel. It was horrendous.”

Several days into Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive aimed at taking back land occupied by Russia, the scale of the challenges that Ukrainian troops face is already clear.

Russian forces have spent months preparing for attacks in occupied parts of the country’s south, where the Ukrainians would like to push through and cut the land bridge that connects Russia to Crimea, which Moscow seized in 2014.

Videos posted on social media have appeared to show the loss of a few Leopard tanks and several U.S.-made Bradley Fighting Vehicles in the southern Zaporizhzhia region, where flat, open fields offer almost no cover for an attacking force.

Ukrainian officials have said little about what progress their forces are making, but insist that the offensive will take time and that casualties are inevitable.
The campaign could decide whether Kyiv will succeed in its goal of dislodging Russian forces from some of the nearly 20% of Ukrainian territory they currently occupy.

The West has supplied Kyiv with billions of dollars’ worth of weapons and has trained tens of thousands of Ukrainian troops to support the push. Kyiv needs to show its Western backers it can turn that aid into gains on the battlefield.

Military analysts say that the main Ukrainian attack hasn’t yet begun, with most of the newly delivered Western weaponry not yet in use.

Further east from Tokmak, near the eastern edge of the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukrainian soldiers from several units said they were making progress.

In a small town near the fighting, tired-looking troops were resting from days of heavy fighting, while freshly arriving men with clean boots awaited their orders.
A haggard-looking infantryman known by the call sign Suska said the offensive had taken several nearby villages in the past week.

“We are advancing, but there is constant shelling” from the Russians, he said.
At least three people were killed and more than two dozen injured in a Russian drone strike on the city of Odesa early Saturday. Ukraine’s military said air defenses destroyed all of the drones, but falling debris hit residential buildings. Photo: Serhii Smolientsev/Reuters

Two members of a reconnaissance unit, known as Kopa and Devyatka, had just returned from a night of combat. The Russian troops they had encountered, a mix of professionals and mobilized men, had worse morale and combat discipline than the Ukrainians, the pair said.

“They’re screaming and running around frantically,” said Kopa, adding, “Morale is fine, but I really need sleep.”

Devyatka, who like his friend has been fighting since Russia’s first incursions into Ukraine in 2014, said the Ukrainian army engaged in the offensive is the best-armed he has seen.

A short, wiry commander of a mine-clearance vehicle, known by his call sign “Finn” for his red Viking-style beard, said his unit of marines was making small gains near Velyka Novosilka in the Donetsk region, and morale was good as a result.

“We’re inevitably going to have losses, but we’re trying to make sure they have more than us,” Finn said.

Damp conditions were posing a challenge to some of the newly delivered Western equipment, he said.

After two weeks of rain, his unit’s U.S.-made MaxxPro armored vehicles don’t always have enough clearance for the marshy ground. “They were made for urban combat and the desert,” he said. “In our reality, they can get through but it’s a struggle.”

New Ukrainian brigades are also struggling with some officers’ too-brief training and lack of combat experience, he said. “They are getting disoriented in stress situations,” he said.

There isn’t enough Western weaponry for all of the Ukrainian units. Artillery spotters Taxist and Sus had just returned from the front in a battered blue Lada sedan, bought with their own money, which was their only transport. Where the Lada can’t go, they have to move on foot.

Ukrainian troops across the southern front said they expected this offensive to be tougher than the ones last year, when Ukraine retook thousands of square miles in the northeastern Kharkiv region and southern Kherson region.

“It’s very fortified,” said a veteran soldier known by his call sign Did, meaning Grandpa, who’s been taking part in the fighting in the southern part of the Donetsk region, near the border with the Zaporizhzhia region. “They are waiting for us.”

The 28-year-old soldier who was part of the assault on Tokmak said he’d been part of the offensive in the Kherson region last October. “They were just running,” he said of the Russians. “We barely had to do any fighting. We were just chasing them.”

Before the push toward Tokmak, his commander warned them that this time would be different. He set out as a machine-gunner on top of a Humvee, but ended up spending much of the night in a basement, while Leopards traded fire with Russian tanks.

“We knew it was going to be hard,” he said. “Regardless, everyone’s morale was high, even when we heard the Leopard was taken out.”

His squad was sent at around 6 a.m. on Friday to recover the Leopard, to make sure the Russians couldn’t seize it. As the team reached the tank, he heard it beeping, and walked around it to find a position to set up a machine gun and provide cover. About 50 yards from the tank, he stepped on a mine, which blew off most of his foot.

It was part of the job, he said, adding that, after he gets a prosthetic, he plans to return to the fight.

Ievgeniia Sivorka contributed to this article.
Write to Ian Lovett at [email protected] and Marcus Walker at

‘A Wall of Steel’: Ukrainian Troops Face Hard Slog in Offensive’s First Days

Brigades with Western arms make small gains against Russia’s defensive lines in occupied regions.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-achieves-mixed-success-in-counteroffensives-early-battles-says-u-k-e0b40334?mod=hp_lead_pos9

PerkingFaintly · 10/06/2023 23:41

Last week I was watching Vicky McClure's moving documentary with her grandfather, who took part in the D-Day landings.

Over 4,400 of the Allied forces killed; 10,000 Allied casualties in total; just in those few days.

And yet they prevailed.

The present Ukrainian offensive was much in my mind. The casualties will be horrible to bear. But may the forces of Ukraine prevail.

blueshoes · 11/06/2023 00:20

May the forces of Ukraine prevail 🇺🇦

minsmum · 11/06/2023 00:27

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1667648741740892161 almost the entire forward defence line of the Russian army near Velkya Novasilyka around 20 kilometres has been wiped out. Ukraine has liberated Neskuchne and Novodonestk. Forgive my spelling

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1667648741740892161

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 10:24

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-10-2023

Note: The data cutoff for this product was 1:30pm ET on June 10.

Key Takeaways

  • Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four areas of the front on June 10.
  • Russian forces in Zaporizhia Oblast are continuing to defend against Ukrainian attacks in accord with sound tactical defensive doctrine.
  • Russian milbloggers continue to highlight reported superior Russian electronic warfare (EW) capabilities as key to disrupting Ukrainian attacks.
  • Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces have tactical advantages in conducting assaults at night due to Western-provided equipment with superior night optics systems.
  • Russian sources continue to highlight the role of scarce military district-level Russian TOS-1A thermobaric artillery systems in defending against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations, though Ukrainian forces destroyed at least two of these key systems in recent days.
  • Ukrainian forces are currently attempting an extraordinarily difficult tactical operation – a frontal assault against prepared defensive positions, further complicated by a lack of air superiority – and these initial assaults should not be extrapolated to predict all Ukrainian operations.
  • Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov established a clear rhetorical line between criticizing the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and criticizing Russian President Vladimir Putin.
  • Russian forces targeted a Ukrainian operational airfield during another missile and drone strike on Ukraine on the night of June 9 to 10.
  • Russian forces made marginal advances northeast of Kupyansk and continued ground attacks near Kreminna.
  • Russian and Ukrainian forces both continued ground attacks in the Bakhmut area.
  • Russian forces continued limited ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
  • Ukrainian forces continued limited ground attacks near the administrative border between Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts and have made marginal gains in the area as of June 10.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on June 10 that it plans to formalize the organization of volunteer formations.
  • Russia is further consolidating a centralized media apparatus in occupied areas.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 10:42

This reply has been withdrawn

This message has been withdrawn at the poster's request

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 10:42

Sigh. wrong key combination. sorry posted too soon

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 10:46

Kyiv Independent Telegram

Zelensky says counteroffensive ongoing in Ukraine. (https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-says-counteroffensive-ongoing-in-ukraine/)

⚡️Ukraine advances up to 1.4 km near Bakhmut (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-advances-up-to-1-4-km-on-bakhmut-outskirts-in-a-day-military-says/) in a day, military says.

⚡️Investigation: Belarus sent over 131,582 tons of munitions (https://kyivindependent.com/investigation-belarus-sent-over-130-000-tons-of-munitions-to-russia-in-first-year-of-full-scale-war/) to Russia in first year of full-scale war, according to an investigative project of Belarusian journalist Anton Motolko.

⚡️Military intelligence: Ukraine unaware of whereabouts of POWs (https://kyivindependent.com/military-intelligence/)Russia transferred to Hungary.

⚡️UN: 700,000 lack access (https://kyivindependent.com/un-2/)* to drinking water following Kakhovka Dam destruction. *
The humanitarian situation in Ukraine has significantly deteriorated following the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam, according to the United Nations' top aid official.

⚡️Nearly 80 settlements (https://kyivindependent.com/close-to-80-settlements-flooded-thousands-of-people-evacuated-after-kakhovka-dam-destruction/)flooded, thousands of people evacuated after Kakhovka Dam destruction.

⚡️ Ukrainian border guards: Black Sea in Odesa Oblast turning (https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-border-guards/) into 'garbage dump and animal cemetery.'

⚡️ Moldova sends $230,000 in (https://kyivindependent.com/moldova-sends-humanitarian-aid-to-help-ukraine-cope-with-kakhovka-dam-disaster/) humanitarian aid to help Ukraine cope with Kakhovka dam disaster.

⚡️ UK to provide (https://kyivindependent.com/uk-to-provide-20-million-worth-of-humanitarian-aid-for-victims-of-kakhovka-dam-disaster-russias-war/) $20 million worth of humanitarian aid for victims of Kakhovka dam disaster, Russia’s war.

⚡️ Interior Ministry: 27 people missing (https://kyivindependent.com/interior-ministry-27-people-missing-due-to-floods-after-kakhovka-dam-destruction/) due to floods after Kakhovka dam destruction. [this is a preliminary figure]

⚡️ Minister: Only 15% of bomb shelters in Kyiv suitable (https://kyivindependent.com/minister-only-15-of-bomb-shelters-in-kyiv-suitable-for-use-without-significant-issues/) for use without ‘significant issues.’

⚡️Russian shelling kills firefighter (https://kyivindependent.com/russian-shelling-kills-firefighter-wounds-one-more/), wounds one more.

⚡️Deputy defense minister: NATO to agree on 'certain procedure' for Ukraine accession (https://kyivindependent.com/deputy-defense-minister-nato-to-agree-on-certain-procedure-for-ukraine-accession-at-july-summit/)at July summit.
NATO members will agree on a "certain procedure" for Ukraine's potential accession into the 31-nation alliance at the July summit in Vilnius, Deputy Defense Minister Volodymyr Havrylov said on June 10.

⚡️Venice Commission: Ukraine's proposed constitutional court selection procedure is better but could use more improvement (https://kyivindependent.com/venice-commission-ukraines-proposed-constitutional-court-selection-procedure-is-better-but-could-use-more-improvement/).

⚡️Trudeau visits Kyiv (https://kyivindependent.com/canadas-trudeau-visits-kyiv/), pays respect to Ukrainian soldiers.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made a surprise visit to Kyiv on June 10, where he paid respect to fallen Ukrainian soldiers and laid a wreath at a memorial site at St. Michael's Cathedral.

On June 22, Kyiv Independent reporters Illia Ponomarenko and Francis Farrell will join prominent military analyst Michael Kofman to discuss the next stage of Russia’s war.
Kyiv Independent editor-in-chief Olga Rudenko will moderate the panel discussion.
This event is open to the public, and you can register here. (https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_odFU7zWhRwmkxrZbzta1Qw#/registration)

Huge losses again - nearly 100 troops and a lot of hardware.
Ragnar Gudmundsson
HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUN 11:
■ 7-day troop average rises above 800
■ Landbased equipment losses close to 100
■ Include double-digit drone, vehicle, APV, artillery & tank losses
■ Oryx update

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 11:39

UNITED24 Media Telegram

The level of the Kakhovka reservoir in the Nikopol district dropped by another 1 m during the day and is 9.35 m — Ukrhydroenergo.
In general, after the attack of Russian terrorists on the hydroelectric power station, the water level dropped by more than 7 meters.

President of Kazakhstan Tokayev refused to go to Russia for the economic forum, — Reuters
The agency writes that only two officials will attend the forum: Vice Prime Minister Roman Sklyar and Deputy Minister of Economy Timur Zhaksilikov.

Olaf Scholz plans to call Putin again and convince him to withdraw troops from Ukraine, — Reuters.

Russia has not yet granted the UN access to the occupied territories of the Kherson region to help flood victims, —UN Deputy Secretary General

The Russians are transferring the most combat-capable units from the Kherson direction, this explains the purpose of blowing up the Kakhovka HPP, — Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Malyar.
Malyar notes that, taking into account their own losses and limited reserves, thus realizing the inability to restrain the Ukrainian offensive in various directions, the command of the Russian occupying forces decided to "narrow" the possible geography of active actions of the Armed Forces and withdrew parts of the marines, and airborne troops from previous positions.
"Obviously, the undermining of the Kakhovka HPP was carried out to prevent the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction and release the necessary reserves for their transfer to the Zaporizhzhia and Bakhmut directions. Also, having destroyed the Kakhovka HPP, the Russian leadership is trying to direct part of the forces and means of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to liquidate the man-made disaster, thus making it impossible to liberate the occupied territories of the left bank of the Kherson region," says Malyar.

Ecocide in the Kherson region: the situation in national parks is critical — 30% of the fund is at risk of disappearing, — head of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Ruslan Strilets.

The State Fire and Rescue Service of Poland sent 10 tanks, 10 motorized pumps and a flood control module with two boats to Ukraine to eliminate the consequences of the explosion of the Kakhovka HPP.

Canada is handing over the confiscated Russian An-124 "Ruslan" aircraft to Ukraine, Prime Minister Trudeau said at a press conference with President Zelenskyy.

The Swedish company Essity, the owner of the Zewa, Libresse and Libero brands, is ceasing operations in Russia.

UAE Minister of Climate Change and Environment, Head of the Office of International Affairs under the UAE President Mariam Almheiri visited Ukraine and met with Volodymyr Zelenskyy

⚡️The village of Blahodatne in Donetsk region came under the control of the Armed Forces, — the 68th separate jaeger brigade

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 12:46

Live: Ukraine Telegram

🇨🇦Canada will provide a new $500 million military aid package for Ukraine, - Canadian Prime Minister.
In particular, 287 additional missiles and ten thousand shells will be provided.

💰 The estimated amount of environmental damage caused by the explosion of the Kakhovka HPP has already exceeded 55 billion hryvnias (1.5 billion dollars).

Ukraine Invasion: Part 41
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 12:47

Kyiv IndependentUkrainian military reports liberating Blahodatne village (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-liberates-blahodatne/) in Donetsk Oblast and posted a video showing the Ukrainian flag being raised in the village. Ukrainian forces captured Russian soldiers when liberating the village.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-liberates-blahodatne/

https://t.co/fyNM6tDODi

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 11/06/2023 12:50

Washington Post Telegram

Iran seeks ‘billions’ worth of Russian aircraft and weapons in exchange for drones, U.S. says
(https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/06/09/iran-russia-military-drones/?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=telegram)Iran is seeking to acquire large numbers of Russian attack helicopters, war planes and air-defense systems in repayment for its support of Russia’s war against Ukraine, U.S. officials say. The White House warned that these weapons could substantially increase Tehran’s ability to threaten its neighbors or repel future attacks.

  • The last reactor still operating at Europe’s largest nuclear plant in Ukraine has been put into a “cold shutdown” as a precaution after the collapse last week of the Kakhovka dam, Ukrainian energy officials said.
  • Three people were killed in airstrikes in the Black Sea city of Odessa on Saturday, according to Ukrainian officials.
  • Ukraine’s military appeared to be carrying out attacks on at least four fronts on Saturday, according to analysts at the Institute for the Study of War.