www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-25
Special ISW release:
Summary: This mobilization will not affect the course of the conflict in 2022 and may not have a very dramatic impact on Russia’s ability to sustain its current level of effort into 2023. The problems undermining Putin’s effort to mobilize his people to fight, finally, are so deep and fundamental that he cannot likely fix them in the coming months—and possibly for years. Putin is likely coming up against the hard limits of Russia’s ability to fight a large-scale war.
Other than that, minor Ukr gains, Iranian drones possibly hit a command post in Odesa (the Ru claim they did, the Ukr are not commenting)
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⚡️Ukrainian Air Force destroys 8 Russian combat drones on Sept. 25
Air Force spokesman Yuriy Ignat reported that the Ukrainian military is studying the strengths and weaknesses of Iranian Shahed-136 drones.
Meduza: Russia to ban men of conscription age from leaving country on Sept.
(kyivindependent.com/news-feed/meduza-russia-to-ban-men-of-conscription-age-to-leave-country-on-sept-28)28 (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/meduza-russia-to-ban-men-of-conscription-age-to-leave-country-on-sept-28)
According to Russian media outlet Meduza, the ban will come into effect after the end of sham referenda in the four occupied regions of Ukraine.
⚡️Russian-installed proxies in Crimea say Moscow completed mobilization in occupied peninsula.
⚡️Russia keeps 2,500 Ukrainian POWs
Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk told BBC that Russia holds civilians alongside the military. Russians didn't agree to free civilians during the latest prisoner swap.
⚡️Mobilization sparks protests in Russia's Dagestan.
⚡️Zelensky: Ukraine receives NASAMS missiles from US.
⚡️Minister: Serbia won’t recognize Russian annexation ‘referendums’ in occupied Ukrainian areas.
Serbian Foreign Minister Nikola Selakovic said that Serbia, a country considered a close ally of Russia, would comply with international law and the UN Charter.
⚡️Bloomberg: White House warns Russia of ‘catastrophic consequences’ if it uses nukes.
U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said that President Joe Biden’s administration had privately communicated with the Kremlin regarding the “decisive” response of the U.S. and other Western allies if Russia uses nuclear weapons.
“We have been clear and specific about what that will entail,” Sullivan said.
The U.S. has made it clear to Russia that the consequences of using nuclear weapons would be “horrific.”
⚡️General Staff: Russia sends newly mobilized conscripts directly to frontline.
Conscripts do not undergo any military training before being sent to the war against Ukraine, Ukraine's General Staff said.
With this step, Russian military commanders aim to replenish units that have suffered colossal losses.
[Jesus wept, just what chance do they have? Putin needs a fucking straitjacket]
⚡️ Minister: About 1.5 million Ukrainians in Russia unable to return home, contact relatives.
Olha Stefanishyna, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister for European integration, said that about 1.5 million Ukrainian citizens, mostly women and children, are currently in Russia without the possibility of returning home, and their relatives can’t contact them.
⚡️ Ukrainian forces destroy 5 ammunition depots in southern Ukraine.
💡The number of opponents of aid to Ukraine is increasing in the U.S. Congress amid the midterm elections — The Wall Street Journal
Putin's regime is weakening, so he is intensifying the conflict, and we can expect an escalation of aggression shortly — Prime Minister of Poland Mateusz Morawiecki
❤️ Mariana Mamonova, a medic released from Russian captivity, who had been defending Mariupol, gave birth to a baby on the morning of September 25
A healthy baby girl was born.
🛢 Greece cut imports of Russian gas by half
📌 Russians threaten with deportation if one refuses to vote in a pseudo-referendum — the mayor of Melitopol Ivan Fedorov
📌Georgia plans to close borders with Russia for men from Monday
“Unfortunately, the citizens of the Russian Federation lack the courage, as you said, to protest and change their regime. They better run…” she added, commenting on the huge queues at the Russian-Georgian border.
📷It is reported that in the photo, the border service of Kazakhstan detained Russians who were trying to illegally cross the border.
⚡️Ukraine received 2 batteries of the NASAMS air defense system from the United States, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with CBS
⚡️ Western countries have frozen Russian assets worth between $300 and $500 billion
🚘 Mazda plans to halt production in Russia.
✈️
"Be Brave Like Kharkiv" is the first of 10 Antonov Airlines aircraft that took to the skies
⚡️The Ukrainian IT Army hacked the Internet resources of the Young Guard of United Russia
All the personal data ended up in the hands of Ukrainian IT people.
The so-called Young Guard helps to cover up war crimes and hold illegal referendums on Russian-occupied Ukrainian land.
🚲 The Netherlands will donate 2,000 bicycles to Ukraine
They will be sent to doctors, social workers, and volunteers who help the population in the de-occupied territories. This is reported by the Stichting Zeilen van Vrijheid Foundation. [how very Dutch]
‼️ Russia attacked the Odesa region with kamikaze drones at night
One drone was destroyed, two hit a Ukrainian military infrastructure facility – a large-scale fire and ammunition detonation began, and the authorities organized the evacuation of civilians. [damn!]
[the Telegram channels occasionally post clips of the most beautiful soldier-violinist. Absolutely haunting, and all in the middle of war]
High levels of troop losses and no less than 4 helicopters + 1 plane.
Presumably the troop losses will increase in the coming weeks and months.
(the ducklings made it through the night. Put 'em by my bed and could hear them peeping all night. Usually they are under a special warming plate now but for the photo I winkled them out)