Daniel Szeligowski AT danielszeligoeski
One of the most profound changes resulting from the Russian invasion on Ukraine will be reorientation of Ukrainian foreign policy from being largely Germany-oriented towards CEE-oriented. I suspect that even German reform advisors would no longer be welcome in Kyiv
Oleska Rusyn AT oleskarusyn
Unfortunately that doesn't rhyme with the EU membership Ukraine aspires. Ukraine had better reorient itself to the USA, the UK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan..
The big money to be made after the war will be in reconstruction. Disaster capitalism. Who do you think is going to be front of the queue?
Also rather cynically, I think that EU membership will be a long way down the road even if fast tracked. It simply won't meet required criteria. UK will step into the void they know will happen. A deal is to be done on food. Biggest problem then is ports. Keeping Odesa is strategically massively important.
Expect more anti air systems being pledged for Odesa and Kyiv after a dire Easter weekend thats expected.