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Ukraine-invasion-part-15

999 replies

Ijsbear · 20/03/2022 16:14

Next part.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
15
prettybird · 22/03/2022 09:42

Essentially @Alexandra2001 wants NATO to declare war get directly involved. Hmm

It's the only logic that would "allow" Turkey to give other (combative) nations to transit Shock as it would bring Turkey directly in the firing line, literally Sad

K4fkaesque · 22/03/2022 09:43

@Alexandra2001

Please explain in detail the way that having American warships in the Black Sea will stop "Half the world starving". Or indeed prevent Russian warships attacking Odesa without directly attacking said warships.

p.s. It amazing how you read my mind, I am indeed ecstatic that "100s of 000s" will be killed. /s

AgnesWestern · 22/03/2022 09:45

@MagicFox

That article is exactly how I feel/think about the current situation.
Thanks for sharing.

EsmaCannonball · 22/03/2022 09:45

It doesn't matter how much a poster says 'Azov,' I'm never going to be convinced that Russia is on the right side of history here or that it's a both sides as bad as each other situation. So, nice try.

As for Zelenskyy's approval ratings, well, doesn't party politics seem pretty trivial now. They might Churchill him and vote him out after the war. What matters is now. I hear that nice Mr Putin is popular with 114% of the Russian population. Wink

Ijsbear · 22/03/2022 09:48

Every time a shill says Azov, let's say Wagner!

OP posts:
afternoonteawithcake · 22/03/2022 09:50

The Russian ships are only allowed to stay in the Black Sea for 21 days according to the convention. It will be interesting to see the action Turkey will take when no doubtedly they will not leave after 21 days has passed.

Iwasfeelingepic · 22/03/2022 09:53

@EsmaCannonball

It doesn't matter how much a poster says 'Azov,' I'm never going to be convinced that Russia is on the right side of history here or that it's a both sides as bad as each other situation. So, nice try.

As for Zelenskyy's approval ratings, well, doesn't party politics seem pretty trivial now. They might Churchill him and vote him out after the war. What matters is now. I hear that nice Mr Putin is popular with 114% of the Russian population. Wink

Agree with this. Why is Zelensky being unrealistic?? It's his country that has been invaded, he shouldn't have to agree to anything if he doesn't believe its the right thing for Ukraine. Also, I love when they mention Azov, they ignore Wagnor?
RedToothBrush · 22/03/2022 09:58

Bojan Pancevski @bopanc
Thread about why Russia’s oppression of its population and its neighbours is not all about Putin. Imagine a Germany where Hitler would now be venerated, like Stalin is in Russia.

Eerik N Kross @EerikNKross
A friend asked for an explanation why "It's just Putin" is wrong and dangerous. I felt it needs a longer response. Here it is:

The problem is immeasurably deeper, wider and older than Putin and his band of gangsters. Generation after generation has been raised in a lie. And the despots who have ruled Russia have always gotten away with it internationally.

The terror of Bolsheviks, Stalinist purges, the GULAG as a system have never been criminalised, there was never a national, leadership-led redemption attempt. The opposite, all this is now, again, officially preached as a proud process of national cleansing and strengthening.

Stalin's generals and NKVD bosses were not tried at Nuremberg or Moscow process for co-conspiring with Hitler and Ribbentrop in 1939, for Katyn, for invading and illegally annexing all or parts of the Baltic states, Poland, Finland, Romania, Hungary etc,

never tried for genocide in all these countries nor for war crimes anywhere they went. I'm not even talking about the wave of Bolshevik aggression against all neighbours in 1918-24…

Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Ukraine were all independent democratic nations back then whose future was crushed by Moscow. All these countries were betrayed by the Paris Peace Conference first and at Teheran and Yalta for the second time. By the West.

Hence the deep suspicion in these countries that it’s going to happen again. If Ukraine would have not fought or fought but lost in a week, Ukraine would have been betrayed in a second. By Macron, Scholtz, Biden. Realpolitik and all. New Minsks, new mediations, soon new wars

Current national myth of Russia & the core of Putins ideology is the lie about Russia as liberator. All of us between Russia and Germany are watching Ukraine being liberated and hope that for once the West understands that this is how the Russian liberation has always looked like

This is what was done to us either in 1918-21 or 1939-45 or both. And it kept going until 1991. And it began again in 2008 and the West pretended, again, that it was not happening.

Germans have apologised for 80 years but I still felt a bit uneasy listening to Scholtz saying: wir werden uns remilitarisieren. Thankfully, for once, the Germans r on the right side of things because even there, after 80 years, the demons are not entirely dead under the surface.

So. No. It’s not about Putin. It is very much about the state of Russian society. It's not Russians' "fault", there are too many factors, but to fix this means a process of national breakdown, regrouping, redemption and re-education for, well, 80 years.

It can only be done by the Russians themselves and the best thing we can do is not get in there to tell them how. Because we don't know better.

All that is needed is help Ukraine win, set strict cold war rules relating to Russia until the war crimes have been tried, by them, and a representative government is in office. Let them demilitarise. And then take it slow. Very slow

And jail every and any Westerner who tries to engage in corrupt business with them. And help them rebuild Russia not Russian imagined expansionist interests.

Of course, it's not going to happen. At least not with the current bunch of leaders we got. The best outcome will be another short period of a Yeltsin after which it’s all going to come to something like we have today, again.
Hope you enjoyed the optimistic note from Estonia.

This is why we are seeing a massive West/East divide within Europe forming. Real differences in perceived threats / understanding of history.

Ijsbear · 22/03/2022 10:02

Went to bed before this was published last night so it's a bit late

^Key Takeaways

Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations northwest of Kyiv and further reinforced their defensive positions.
Russian forces did not conduct offensive operations in northeastern Ukraine and have been unable to solve logistics issues.
Russian forces continued to make slow but steady progress and shell civilian infrastructure in Mariupol.
Russian and proxy forces conducted several unsuccessful assaults in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in the past 24 hours.
Russia continues to deploy low-quality reserves, including combat-support elements and low-readiness units from the Eastern Military District, to replace losses in frontline units.
The Ukranian General Staff warned that Russia seeks to conduct a provocation to bring Belarus into the war, but a Belarusian offensive into western Ukraine remains unlikely to occur or succeed if it did.^
OP posts:
AgnesWestern · 22/03/2022 10:10

@MagicFox

As an add on to that, I’ve started feeling frustrated at being called a coward or that I should be ashamed of wanting to protect myself and my family. It doesn’t mean I don’t feel empathy for the people in Ukraine.

MarshaBradyo · 22/03/2022 10:11

Why is Zelensky being unrealistic?? It's his country that has been invaded, he shouldn't have to agree to anything if he doesn't believe its the right thing for Ukraine.

The Kyiv Independent political editor does king the other day said if the government did concede land they’d remove them. It stuck in my mind as the mood is very much not conceding from the people.

Ijsbear · 22/03/2022 10:12

Good article that one RTB.

The thing is that 1) how could you have gotten the Russian generals to an international court and 2) smaller countries are always going to be the vulnerable ones. Which is -why- they wanted to join NATO. I'm not convinced it was expansionism at all, however sincerely Russia believes that. Because it was their choice, because they have always been between two bigger powers.

Right and wrong v Pragmatism and real world politics are always going to be a shifting and uncomfortable friction.

OP posts:
EsmaCannonball · 22/03/2022 10:13

The Russians have burned down a stables in Hostomel with 32 horses inside.

I've read about Ukrainians taking their horses to the woods and releasing them because they think that's the best chance of surviving the war. One of the things that has really touched me in all this is seeing absolutely desperate people fleeing with their pets, even though the pets will make escaping and becoming a refugee that bit more difficult. It's a very visible reminder about the decency and humanity that is being attacked.

jgw1 · 22/03/2022 10:18

@afternoonteawithcake

The Russian ships are only allowed to stay in the Black Sea for 21 days according to the convention. It will be interesting to see the action Turkey will take when no doubtedly they will not leave after 21 days has passed.
Russia has a Black Sea coast so if those ships are based in the Black Sea they do not have to leave.
MurderAtTheBeautyPageant · 22/03/2022 10:20

@MarshaBradyo

Why is Zelensky being unrealistic?? It's his country that has been invaded, he shouldn't have to agree to anything if he doesn't believe its the right thing for Ukraine.

The Kyiv Independent political editor does king the other day said if the government did concede land they’d remove them. It stuck in my mind as the mood is very much not conceding from the people.

Even if the Ukraine government said 'okay, you can have territory X', the people living in territory X would undoubtedly have other ideas and violently resist such a move. The level of hate towards Russia is off the charts and will continue to be for decades and generations to come. Russian speaking Ukrainians may even have the most amount of hate. The Russians have come to 'liberate' Mariupol by murdering its citizens and blasting their city to smithereens.
DuncinToffee · 22/03/2022 10:20

“Ukrainian anger is fuelled by the widespread feeling that most ordinary Russians support the war. Polls consistently demonstrate strong Russian public backing for the invasion, while anti-war protests in Russia have been small and underwhelming.”
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/vladimir-putins-criminal-war-has-killed-the-myth-russian-ukrainian-unity/

Igotjelly · 22/03/2022 10:20

@EsmaCannonball

The Russians have burned down a stables in Hostomel with 32 horses inside.

I've read about Ukrainians taking their horses to the woods and releasing them because they think that's the best chance of surviving the war. One of the things that has really touched me in all this is seeing absolutely desperate people fleeing with their pets, even though the pets will make escaping and becoming a refugee that bit more difficult. It's a very visible reminder about the decency and humanity that is being attacked.

I do feel like this has really reiterated to me that there is so much genuine good in people. The bad is clearly terrible but it’s so important to remember the beauty in life and people too ❤️
MurderAtTheBeautyPageant · 22/03/2022 10:25

Regarding the horses/pets thing, I saw this photo on Twitter yesterday of a displaced Ukrainian woman and it made me feel quite emotional.

Ukraine-invasion-part-15
EsmaCannonball · 22/03/2022 10:27

The BBC has a story up about people travelling to join the International Brigade in Ukraine, including Belarusian dissidents. Some of the people are happy to be interviewed on camera (including one guy who should have been cast as one of those Jason Momoa people in Game of Thrones) but it's making me feel uncomfortable that their faces are being shown. It feels really irresponsible.

TiddyTidTwo · 22/03/2022 10:31

This chap said on CNN last night that UK special forces are on the ground in Ukraine (and probably have been all along)

Ukraine-invasion-part-15
DGRossetti · 22/03/2022 10:39

but it's making me feel uncomfortable that their faces are being shown. It feels really irresponsible.

Thoughts of Russian assassins novichoking their relatives ?

afternoonteawithcake · 22/03/2022 10:40

Thanks @jgw1

MagicFox · 22/03/2022 10:40

@TiddyTidTwo

This chap said on CNN last night that UK special forces are on the ground in Ukraine (and probably have been all along)

Isn't it kind of stupid for him to share that?

WeAreTheHeroes · 22/03/2022 10:42

It's worth remembering that there are very many Russian speaking Ukrainians and Russians living in Ukraine who want to be Ukrainian/live in Ukraine, not in part of Russia.

The situation with Russia is not as straightforward as "if NATO doesn't do something (and people who say that mean put boots on the ground/impose a NFZ, etc) then Putin won't stop". There's a really delicate balancing act being carried out by countries around the world opposed to the Russian invasion and those who won't openly oppose it.

Turkey has positioned itself as an intermediary. I can't see them changing from that position. No country wants to be drawn into a war with Russia. Not because they're scared of Putin and his fairly useless army, but because it means massive destruction and loss of life. We've been here several times in the last 100 years. Peace and stability are worth defending, but I think the powers that be don't think it will be a swift hit and the Russian leadership will back off.

EsmaCannonball · 22/03/2022 10:42

Possible worries about reprisals against the families of the Belarusian dissidents, but mainly worried about what would happen to them if captured.