weeds 
wmbriggs.com/post/30833/ Here's another link for you all by a statistician who analysed countries by lockdown and results. It's an interesting read. I'm finding I'm doubting my judgement though - it's hard to know who is reputable or has a particular agenda.
A Singapore University have done a study saying the virus will fizzle out by September - I think I'm taking this as just one theory but it is a nice one. www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8351237/Coronavirus-completely-wiped-Britain-September-30.html
I also spotted what someone else has on this thread. In that article it says
'Yesterday, it was revealed that a much-anticipated coronavirus vaccine trial only has a 50 per cent chance of success - because the disease is disappearing so rapidly.
Just days ago, pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca announced it had the capacity to make one billion doses of Oxford University's promising jab, with Britain striking a deal for 100 million 'as early as possible'.
That came after ministers said they hoped a third of those would be ready for September, at which point, if proven effective, people would be allowed to go back to work and businesses given the green light to reopen and start rebuilding the economy.
However, Professor Adrian Hill told The Sunday Telegraph the rapid disappearance of the virus itself in the UK has thrown doubt on the team's ability to meet the deadline in four months' time.
If Covid-19 is not spreading in the community, volunteers will find it difficult to catch, meaning scientists can't prove whether the vaccine actually makes any difference.
Some 10,000 people are being recruited to test the jab over the coming weeks, but Prof Hill said he expected fewer than 50 of those to catch the virus, and the results could be deemed useless if fewer than 20 test positive.'
Professor Adrian Hill works at Oxford and seems to be highly respected/accomplished. Interestingly he used to be married to Sunetra Gupta.