@QuimReaper
I've only read about half the thread, but I've seen several posters saying that TRAs will now deflect with a 'they're not really trans' defence. I don't think that's a defence at all - one of the biggest things we've been saying for years is that self ID will be ripe for abuse by sex offenders who aren't trans at all but can exploit a loophole to enter female spaces. I think thats exactly what's happened here, and proof positive that the idea that this can and will happen isn't a 'fantasy' as Judith Butler claimed. Certainly I didn't assume this person was necessarily trans, so much as claiming to be in order to access women, which is exactly what many of us have been warning of for years.
From what I can make out, the argument kind of goes
No true trans person will do this
When shown evidence that yes, a number of TW have sexually offended against women in single sex spaces: ok, but it's unfair to exclude all male people on the grounds that some of them will be sex offenders.
Which then moves on to: yes this is a risk female people will take in their spaces being commandeered, and some will suffer, but this is a fair price to pay for the genuine TW having the freedoms they deserve.
Which is essentially male supremacism: that the needs and freedoms of people born male and their self actualisation is more important than the actual physical injury and life changing harm caused by a sexual assault.
And yet the reason given for male people being able to identify into female spaces as they feel they need to is that sex isn't binary/not a thing. The very much sex based thinking and very much intentional and entirely sex based disadvantage proves how very little anyone really believes this, even when they are the ones putting it forward.