@InvisibleDragon
Something worth noting about risk assessment is that there are standard risk assessment measures - like the HCR-20 - which are used to evaluate risk of violence and reoffending in men.
Those tools aren't validated for use with women, who have very different offending patterns. That often means that they are not used for trans women either. So I have very little confidence in the risk assessment process tbh.
(This isn't my area of expertise btw - but I heard a talk about risk assessment in prison last year and this came up)
That's correct.
The OASyS Sexual Reoffending Predictor Score (OSP) is the only risk assessment tool that is used with sexual offenders. It is only for use with adult men.
This means that prisoners of the male sex who identify as transgender and who have a GRC do not have the OSP used in their risk assessment. They must not have this risk assessment tool used. Because they are women and this tool is not for use with women.
So a prisoner who has been convicted of sexual or sexually motivated offences, for whom the OSP would in every other set of circumstances be used, suddenly mustn't have it used by virtue of the fact of possession of a piece of paper.
The MoJ (as reflected in yesterday's judgement) repeatedly says that they risk assess thoroughly to keep women in prison. But how can this be the case when not just the main, but the ONLY, risk assessment tool for sexual offending cannot be used?
There are other problems with setting prisoners' security categorisation, which also extend to prisoners of the male sex who identify as transgender and who do not have a GRC and who wish to be transferred to the female estate.
In short, a prisoner with time on their hands and the necessary inclination can most definitely game the system to obtain a lower risk assessment profile and security classification to their advantage.