I do think given the circumstances, with the multis theres a large chance Kate will be found guilty
However if the case goes against Kate it still won't be a win for Hayden. There is no win for Hayden or for the gender identity extremist lobby in this.
If it goes against Kate then it will have been demonstrated, clearly, inescapably, that someone biologically male and trans can behave however they like to a female person and that female person will have no recourse to law, or defence against them. Bear in mind Hayden's golfing hints to Caroline Farrow. The evidence goes a very long way past possible rudeness and offensiveness of misgendering. There's further a long history of evidence of the police not acting.
However if a female person is even possibly rude to a trans person, that trans person can have the police behind them and bring the full weight of the law to punish that female person. When they themselves do far worse, and openly get away with it.
Total inequality before the law. Trans will be proven as a privilege status that exempts a person born male from normal law and ethics and standards, is a white card for that person to behave freely in ways that they are supported in punishing others for, and are overall a more respected, heard, law recognised and privileged type of person. And female will be proven as the subclass of society. It's going to be right there. Evidenced, in front of the general public. Who are already pissed off
Unequal policing. Active discrimination and active favouring. The police will be deep fried. Were they afraid to challenge a trans person? Were they so soaked in Woke that they agree with and are enacting an ideology of unequal justice? I'm not sure which is going to be worse for them come the public inquiry.
The general public won't like this at all. It's going to do for PR what Yaniv did when they took the waxers to court. And Kate will be a public martyr if any kind of consequences are applied. There's going to be a hell of a lot of public sympathy for her, this is already seen as a major miscarriage of justice and political lunacy and has been since she was arrested.