Not sure what I'm getting at?
See below.
Will Jennings @drjennings
^
A bit of rather belated analysis of the #GE2019 vote: when you plot the size of Conservative and Labour majorities (in % terms), it is striking how inefficient the Labour vote has become since 2005.^
Labour is increasingly piling up votes in its safe seats, whereas the Conservative majorities tend to increase at a fairly incremental rate.
This is interlinked with the dynamics of geographical polarisation that @ProfStoker and I have identified... it also is consistent with Jonathan Rodden's arguments in 'Why Cities Lose' on the disproportionate urban clustering of the vote for left parties.
This is interlinked with the dynamics of geographical polarisation that @ProfStoker and I have identified... it also is consistent with Jonathan Rodden's arguments in 'Why Cities Lose' on the disproportionate urban clustering of the vote for left parties.
Stephen Bush @stephenkb
This chart sums up what I wrote about this morning about why Johnson may be better served doing symbolic things to "rebalance" the economy rather than actually rebalancing the economy:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/devolution/2020/01/why-relocating-house-lords-york-would-be-smart-move-boris-johnson
Why relocating the House of Lords to York would be a smart move by Boris Johnson
The government has more of an interest in appearing to improve the state of northern constituencies than in actually doing so.
Thus twitter doesn't reflect voting reality or numbers in the UK. Even if the woke vote in numbers is increasing (which is debatable), the effect of constituencies (which are likely to be revamped this parliament even more in the Tories favour) means that you can't ignore a more socially Conservative vote as it has disproportionate influence now.
This is a change which a lot of people haven't got to grips with yet.
It affects a lot.
Stephen Bush's argument is that it serves the Tories to keep regional towns as shit holes because its drives the young to the cities in search of opportunity and in doing so stacks the Labour vote.
By the same token it serves the Conservatives to allow the woke brigade to carry on with their demands - and look nuts in doing so. And then act when it suits to 'rein it in' and to provoke a full on revolt against the Equality Act.
Who is going to get caught in the middle of that?