Storm Jocelyn.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Yep, another named storm. Named storm number 10. Primarily an Ireland/Northern Ireland, Scotland, north Wales and northern England affair and does not look as severe as Isha.

Named by Met Éireann. Their warning starts tomorrow night.

The Met Office yellow warning for the northern half of Britain kicks in at 4pm tomorrow. I think it's possible amber warnings may be issued within that area for the early hours of Wednesday. We shall see.

Howling here in Leeds much worse than past few days. Is this worse than what was forecast? As has been amber warning and was yellow for tonight.

Derbyshire here and it definitely seems windier than the other night but the wind speed is apparently slower??? From where I’m currently sat it doesn’t seem it!!!!

East coast. Given up listening to the wind and got up an hour before my alarm. This definitely sounds worse than Sunday. Dh has left a note to say don't worry about the fence, he's put the bits behind the shed and there's something like tape wrapped round the pergola and he'll sort it later.
All 4 weather apps agree on 54mph gusts. My bike ride to work which usually takes 30 mins is either going to be very fast or I'll be walking!

Tameside Greater Manchester and tonight is worse than Isha. Definitely!

THURSDAY? Good lord. Is this 1924 ? 😳😳

Sorry to hear about your roof. I think this happened a year or two ago with two storms back to back. The first storm caused loosening and weakening of roofs / trees and fences, and the second storm took things down.

That said, it does seem like some of the gusts here right now are slightly more ferocious. I guess a few mph more than originally expected.

Its interesting to compare top wind gusts between the two storms. As you can see, aside from Capel Curig, the top gusts were objectively lower than the previous storm. Thats not to say that locally people may well have been affected more badly by Jocelyn than Isha. Your personal experience of damage etc is the more important measure.

As I've said previously on these threads though , placement of warnings are impact based, focusing on danger and disruption. This includes judging where the worst winds will hit, whether city or rural. I think that although the criteria for issuing them is clear, the judgment about where and when to place them is a judgement call and a bit of an art.

I hope that those without power regain it quickly and that damage is repaired quickly. If you can't get a roofer out to effect repairs, ask if they can at least come and tarp over damage to protect from secondary damage from rain Thankfully some respite from the stormy weather now.

Another factor to consider too, is that the winds were more westerly last night. So those that may have been sheltered some on Sunday night, could well have been more exposed to the overnight gusts in Jocelyn.

Coming back to today, although the amber wind warning expires in a moment, there are still yellow warnings out for wind and will remain so until 3pm.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2024-01-24

Thank you so much OYBBK
Hope people get their power back on and stay safe
On the bright side I have my washing out

I wouldn't dare ! It would end up miles away !

@OhYouBadBadKitten asking you because I’ve never encountered someone so informed on this in person, do you know of any online resources that will teach you about this? Whether paid or free I’m not fussed, but seeing the way you talk about it all has definitely inspired me to get a bit more clued up on things.

If not, no bother! Always happy to come across your threads and thanks a lot for the time you take to explain everything!

@hoochycrone I’d love to stick my washing out but I’m certain it’ll end up all over the street if I do 😂

The more southerly yellow warning has just been cancelled with the more northerly medium impact one extended to include us.

The back dormer looks OK, anyhow - what I could see of it through a face full of hair.

I'm so pleased to hear it, I love it when people want to learn.

The Come Rain or Shine Course is excellent for beginners. https://www.reading.ac.uk/meteorology/online-courses/open-courses
Start with that one and then if you need more afterwards, let me know!

This looks amazing @OhYouBadBadKitten. Thank you for signposting this. Can I ask how time intensive it is?

I have a (very geeky) 16 year old DD who is heading for an A* in GCSE Geography and planning Geog A-level and then a Geog degree before doing a PGCE. She’d love something like this and would definitely put the work in, but I’d hate to suggest anything to her that would be so time intensive it would take her away from her actual school work.

@PopcornAndGummyBears It's nominally 4 hours per week for 3 weeks, but it's self paced. I'm not sure how quickly the course expires after you sign up for it. A couple of evenings a week would probably see the bulk of it covered.

Great - thank you! She probably doesn’t have a spare couple of evenings a week at the minute, but once exams are out of the way in June she’ll be all over this!

Once she completes the course, its something she can then use for her UCAS statement if it remains relevant to her goals @PopcornAndGummyBears

Thank you @RainbowZebraWarrior a roofer has come out today and thankfully the cost will be less than the insurance excess, so not too bad and I won't have to jump through hoops for the insurer.

Thanks for all the information, @OhYouBadBadKitten it is so interesting, if also destructive! I hope everyone who has suffered damage and power outage etc, gets sorted soon now that the worst of the storm seems to be over. So many trees were down this morning!