US (and other places) Hurricane season

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

It's very belated I know, I've been discussing the various hurricanes in another thread in the time I have recently, but anyway, better late than never. From t'other thread:

www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/054806.shtml?cone#contents Irma at the moment looks like it's going to slide into the Gulf of Mexico, grazing the west side of Florida. However, the GFS model has it turning earlier, so there is some uncertainty still. (as there often is)

Jose is expected to become a Hurricane over night tonight, but I don't think it will be as major as Irma due to outflow from Irma effectively choking it. However, depending on the path it takes it could still compound misery.

I'm more worried about the various Islands that Irma is traveling over rather than the potential for a US landfall, simply because they have the means to evacuate and more resources. They are going to be completely devastated. Though Branson is riding Irma out on Necker Island.

x post.

man taking 3 legged dog for walk. cnn chap yelling at him to go home.

The pressure related storm surge is like a tide, isn't it? Then you have the added effect of the wind driven water.

Never underestimate the sea, like it seems some folks are doing. I've gone into many places on a boat with the flood tide and it is immense. And that's just normal behaviour. Did none of these people watch the big tsunami footage?

RTB. That's fast.

storm surge I think just rises like filling a bath but with added waves.

I need Ed on CNN to get upstairs - he is making me very nervous!

Thanks cozie yes, the people walking on the previous sea bed seem less than sensible to me. The water is going to be somewhere!

Ed is a mile away from the marina. I think he'll be ok, or at least have warning.

True :)
How long will they have before the eye passes?

Other cnn chap is a mile away and Chad reckons the water will reach that far.

No, that was just flooding, the actual water isn't coming. Just yet. I hate seeing people out in the streets on the TV.

So calm there in the middle. Weird and lovely and so hard to believe that this is going to all go crazy again. Plus, as they are saying on TV it's still going on just a few miles north.

Also because I'm weird I've google mapped where they are presenting from and had a look at it all when it's sunny and pleasant. They are scarily close to the water though. Well the one on a balcony is. I'm really hoping the one on the ground is higher up.

I'm not sure Hester, it's moving about 12mph and the eye is about 25 miles wide, but two hours seems ages. Depends how close they are to the centre of the eye I guess?

The power is gone where my friend is in Lehigh Acres, she posted one last vid clip and it is utterly terrifying. I hope she and her family will be okay.

Live CNN is good. Down to category 2 now about to hit Fort Myers.

Cat 2 storm now despite them recording some record gusts of 141.
Good news for Tampa. It's because it's a little more onshore than thought earlier today.

The radar shows birds traveling in the eye!

Another 10 mins before their wind picks up.

Rise in water level of 6' in an hour.

Note its only just been high tide.

I hope your friend is ok expatinscotland

MrSlant I got the feeling the two presenters were near each other?

Wind has switched direction in Naples now.

Yes, the people out on the sea bed remind me of those fools continuing to film the approaching wave during the Boxing Day tsunami, rather than running like fuck.

We used to get flooding from storm surges when I lived in a low lying boat yard; it needed a combination of a) a high spring tide, b) an easterly wind physically pushing water up the estuary towards us; c) low atmospheric pressure. High pressure literally pushes the water down; low pressure allows it to rise quite a lot. I'm not sure how that explains the v. low tides in some places though; perhaps because water's being sucked in towards the centre of the hurricane with its lower pressure?

Expat I hope your friend is ok. I'm feeling less worried about my friend in Sarasota now.

stubborn I think it's exactly that.

Friend there says Marco Island is devastated.

Suggestion that Everglades got brunt of storm surge. Let's hope

okay done, I'm off to bed. Those in Florida stay safe.

It could have been much worse today for Florida, the slide over Cuba took a fair bit of sting out of the hurricane, but that was rubbish for northern Cuba itself.