Since 2013, the running order has been decided by the show producers and the EBU. The only thing randomly determined is which half each act will perform in, which is drawn after each semi-final.
The idea is to provide a degree of variation in genre and feel, rather than, for instance, giving us six ballads in a row. The running order also takes staging requirements into consideration, ensuring that large props won’t be crowding the off-stage area all at once, nor will we get a glut of performances all with the same colour lighting.
Pretty sure we must be act before the chat break. With Iceland and their big cage straight after.
If we look at the history of Eurovision then we will see that in the last 20 years (1998-2018) only six songs which performed in the first half have managed to win to contest. That’s around 30%. If you are lucky enough to draw second half then spots 17-25 have the best chances of winning the contest.
In particular, spot 17 has three victories: Loreen in 2012 for Sweden, Marija Šerifovic in 2007 for Serbia and Lordi in 2006 for Finland. The next best position is 22 – Netta won for Israel last year performing 22nd and Lena had the exact spot nine years ago in Oslo.
Iceland have the Lord slot which is interesting and possibly good for them.
In previous years, the running order has also given an indication of who might have done well in their semi-finals. 2018 is a very good example – Netta performed 22nd after she had won her semi-final. Runner up Eleni Foureira who came second at the semi final was positioned 24th .
They are expecting good showing for Italy, France and Australia then...
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