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Scottish Elections who do you think will take the majority of Seats?

708 replies

Fundays12 · 12/04/2026 11:15

As a Scot I genuinely have no idea who to vote for.

I dont trust the SNP and find John Swinney completely incompetent. I wouldnt trust him to run my household budget let alone the countries so he is out for me. I cant stand labour, the tories well are not my cup of tea, lib dems and green would never get my vote.

However i dont seem to be alone in having no idea who to vote for which leaves me wondering who will take the majority of seats across Scotland. What do others think will happen?

OP posts:
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LazyCatLtd · 14/04/2026 10:06

Fundays12 · 12/04/2026 11:15

As a Scot I genuinely have no idea who to vote for.

I dont trust the SNP and find John Swinney completely incompetent. I wouldnt trust him to run my household budget let alone the countries so he is out for me. I cant stand labour, the tories well are not my cup of tea, lib dems and green would never get my vote.

However i dont seem to be alone in having no idea who to vote for which leaves me wondering who will take the majority of seats across Scotland. What do others think will happen?

I feel exactly the same.

Nimonion · 14/04/2026 12:18

I’m a bit confused. Edinburgh central constituency polling appears to be a battle between the Greens, Labour with SNP as far as I can see. Reform are out of it. I’m sure more accurate polling will emerge as the election nears.

Zoom in on the constituency map to see the current predictions here: https://ballotbox.scot/scottish-parliament/polling-scottish-parliament/

Was the polling you were looking at for Westminster? Ian murray is a Westminster MP.

Scottish Parliament Polling

This page tracks polling for Scottish Parliament elections, as well as seat projections for each poll. I will aim to capture as much data as possible here, but for ease of presentation, the chart …

https://ballotbox.scot/scottish-parliament/polling-scottish-parliament/

feemcgee · 14/04/2026 12:21

If people want change and aren’t happy with the SNP, then please vote for another party, rather than spoiling your ballot paper. They’ll keep getting in because people are voting for independence.

Sskka · 14/04/2026 12:34

I’ve taken to voting for whoever has the best chance of making the established parties wake up and offer different policies which people actually want, rather than all shuffling down a very narrow path towards an imaginary ever-more-progressive future. Feels daft to be voting like a disgruntled teenager at my age but we are where we are.

I don’t think much of Reform, and for all the scare stories really they’re awfully close to the same consensus as everyone else, but at least the fact that they will give everyone else a jolt back towards the centre makes them a pretty easy choice at this election.

Waitwhat23 · 14/04/2026 12:53

Waitwhat23 · 12/04/2026 12:39

And to answer the question in the OP, depressingly probably the SNP who, despite almost two decades in power, have started their usual pre election bribes for votes in the form of offering the moon on a stick, but not actually following through on it once re-elected.

And lo.

Scottish Elections who do you think will take the majority of Seats?
weegielass · 14/04/2026 12:58

why do the highlands and islands always vote lib dem? Is it a throwback to Charles Kennedy who I think was from thereabouts?

KeeleyJ · 14/04/2026 13:05

Nimonion · 12/04/2026 19:47

Independence would be an unmitigated disaster for Scotland. Responsible political is CANNOT endorse it and keep the respect of those that see the reality of the situation, in the same way that Labour would never endorse scrapping prisons. They haven’t be the grown ups in the room protecting the interests of the wider public.

They don't care though, Independence at any cost so we can all run around shouting "FREEDOM".

I'm Scottish born and bred but desperately hoping we'll still be legally allowed to move to England when they get the independence vote.

FortyFacedFuckers · 14/04/2026 13:07

For the first time ever I have absolutely no idea who to vote for either.

KeeleyJ · 14/04/2026 13:10

Just to add, where I live it's a choice of SNP and Tory, other parties are generally ignored so not worth the petrol driving to the polling station, so guess it will be Tory for me but that's a 'best of a bad bunch' approach. I don't really like any of the choices at the moment.

Needspaceforlego · 14/04/2026 13:12

weegielass · 12/04/2026 18:51

SNP will win, they always do, because the unionist vote is so split.
Yet the majority of people who vote for SNP don't do it for independence, despite what the SNP may say. They just want to protest against the other parties.
People vote Green and Reform for the same reason.
Its a shit show. Sensible voting no longer exists.

That's it in a nutshell.

It comes down to looking at who's got best chance in your seat against SNP

I'll howl if Reform get 2nd place because thats a pure protest vote against SNP and Labour

Fundays12 · 14/04/2026 13:15

weegielass · 14/04/2026 12:58

why do the highlands and islands always vote lib dem? Is it a throwback to Charles Kennedy who I think was from thereabouts?

SNP tend to forget about this area until there is an election. They have no interest in the area really.

Even when it was announced 300 migrants would be moving into Cameron barracks which is right next to an army residential estate, a primary and huge secondary school and the locals raised questions around this SNP refused to get involved or answer.

It all fell to a few local councillors and an ex SNP MP (now independent) to try answer peoples questions and listen to there concerns (which there has been huge numbers off). They are the ones left to pick it all up along with Highland council. SNP have sat on the fence for fear of upsetting a few potential voters. However those parties that sat on the fence (and the SNP were not alone) have been very much criticised.

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Needspaceforlego · 14/04/2026 13:17

Waitwhat23 · 14/04/2026 12:53

And lo.

And there's a whole pile of landfill fodder.

What teacher wants 30 matching school bags for 5 year old who can hardly read their own name?

"Yes i put it in my bag mum" - and its landed in any one of the 30 matching bags 🎒

Not to mention its nice for kids to pick their own bags.

Nimonion · 14/04/2026 13:19

Needspaceforlego · 14/04/2026 13:17

And there's a whole pile of landfill fodder.

What teacher wants 30 matching school bags for 5 year old who can hardly read their own name?

"Yes i put it in my bag mum" - and its landed in any one of the 30 matching bags 🎒

Not to mention its nice for kids to pick their own bags.

Well at least it’s not totally unaffordable. There’s that. But there will presumably some howlingly unaffordable promises incoming later this week when the full manifesto is launched.

Waitwhat23 · 15/04/2026 11:47

I have hesitated to post this because it is so ludicrious that I assumed it was fake but it seems to have now been verified by various sources. It is being reported that -

'At Edinburgh Southern hustings, SNP candidate Deidre Brock has just said that reading, writing, and arithmetic is not something she subscribes to in education, because modern kids have calculators. This has understandably caused consternation in the audience.'

The Twitter poster later added -

'Missed a bit off the end of her remark, which concluded: “… because modern kids have calculators and the internet.”

(Verified with other attendees afterwards.)

Tragically, I was not recording audio. But dps will certainly corroborate the quote.'

LazyCatLtd · 15/04/2026 11:49

Waitwhat23 · 15/04/2026 11:47

I have hesitated to post this because it is so ludicrious that I assumed it was fake but it seems to have now been verified by various sources. It is being reported that -

'At Edinburgh Southern hustings, SNP candidate Deidre Brock has just said that reading, writing, and arithmetic is not something she subscribes to in education, because modern kids have calculators. This has understandably caused consternation in the audience.'

The Twitter poster later added -

'Missed a bit off the end of her remark, which concluded: “… because modern kids have calculators and the internet.”

(Verified with other attendees afterwards.)

Tragically, I was not recording audio. But dps will certainly corroborate the quote.'

Can’t actually believe this. The world has gone mad.

Igneococcus · 15/04/2026 13:10

But but how will they know where to make their cross when they go voting if they can't read?

Fundays12 · 15/04/2026 13:29

Igneococcus · 15/04/2026 13:10

But but how will they know where to make their cross when they go voting if they can't read?

Maybe that's the idea

OP posts:
BoredZelda · 15/04/2026 14:39

I will vote tactically for whoever is likely to shift our SNP MSP (Unless that is Reform) In my area that tends to be Tory or Labour. I’m fine with that. When it comes to UK election I’m going Green for the first time in my life, but the Greens are so in the pocket of SNP, I won’t be doing that here.

I predict SNP will win the most seats but not an overall majority. We’ll be in coalition, hopefully not with the greens this time!

BoredZelda · 15/04/2026 14:42

Sskka · 14/04/2026 12:34

I’ve taken to voting for whoever has the best chance of making the established parties wake up and offer different policies which people actually want, rather than all shuffling down a very narrow path towards an imaginary ever-more-progressive future. Feels daft to be voting like a disgruntled teenager at my age but we are where we are.

I don’t think much of Reform, and for all the scare stories really they’re awfully close to the same consensus as everyone else, but at least the fact that they will give everyone else a jolt back towards the centre makes them a pretty easy choice at this election.

Voting Reform because you think they are anti-establishment, is akin to Americans voting for Trump for the same reasons. See how well that has worked out!

Nimonion · 15/04/2026 15:01

Established parties have to offer policies that actually work because they’d get annihilated if they came up with some of the stuff the crazies come up with. They can’t say ‘let’s get rid of prisons’ (the Greens) or ‘let’s raise the personal allowance to £20k’ (Reform) because neither of these policies are at all possible. They’re just nonsense. Which is why ‘the establishment’ have such predictable policies. There’s a limit to the sort of things you can do when acting as a grown up.

Sskka · 15/04/2026 15:03

Anti-establishment is the last thing I want though! Give me the actual establishment of everyone’s nightmares! Fuddy-duddies, conformity, boring traditional ideas, no more chasing the progressive dream. The kind of people you can have fun thumbing your nose at. Bliss.

Arrearing50 · 15/04/2026 15:48

Yes nobody needs to understand how to do anything in the world of AI we can simply passively consume and recycle content. That Brock quote has to have more context. Mind you, a section of educationalists want to ditch exams and give kids ‘I can’ reports on leaving school…

ImMissingMum · 15/04/2026 18:10

I fear for my children's future reading through this thread. It's thoroughly depressing how awful Scottish politicians are. None of them are serious people. Particularly the Greens it seems. They are a law unto themselves.

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