I think the significance of what Salmond said yesterday & how he laid his arguments out are what Sturgeon will have difficulty in being able to dismiss as 'fantasy' or 'conspiracy theory'. There were allegations that are criminal. The Permanent Secretary was alleged to have obstructed justice. Also accused of failing in her duty of candour. She has had I think 4 sessions with the committee & failed to confirm her meeting 1 complainant & phoning another before Salmond had been told about the investigation/allegations. Yet did say it would have been inappropriate for her to have any contact with the complainants given that she was the deciding officer. That's huge. And it calls Sturgeon's judgement into question as she agreed to extend her contract, give her a pay rise, instead of sacking her.
The leak to the Daily Record was criminal. How that came about, with the timing alongside a government's efforts to get the information out, is going to be a very difficult issue to get around. That it's not been reported to the police & properly investigated isn't something I can fathom. And I'm not sure how Sturgeon can explain that either.
Those in the SNP who were trawling for more women to come forward after the police started their investigation. That very much sounded like interference with a police investigation. And that they were emailing not those that worked with him, who you would think were more likely to be close enough to be the focus of the alleged "inappropriate behaviour" makes that all the more striking in terms of motivation.
My eyes have certainly been opened with how Scotgov operates, through the GRA debacle & now the HCB too. There is something quite rotten at the core & the bloated 'success' of the SNP (built on minority/coalition administrations which were held to account when they had to reach a consensus etc.) has definitively attracted the sort of agenda driven careerists, who are anathema to good governance.
I think any attempts of Sturgeon to claim the level of ignorance to all of this, and not having any curiosity about all of this, will not reflect well on her. I agree, I think she will try & get many digs in to pivot back to Salmond's behaviour. But, Fabiani has been fairly consistent in cutting off that line of enquiry so far. I'd like to think that she'll continue to be consistent in that with Sturgeon - because this is about her government's handling of the complainants. Not Salmond's behaviour.
I also think she's breached the ministerial code multiple times. I think her government's efforts to obscure rather than co-operate with the enquiry, with her also not apparently being transparent is a difficult hurdle for her. I think she'll definitely do her best to get over that, but I can't yet fathom how to, when there is evidence but the crown appears to be suppressing key elements of it under the guise of the s162 arguments.
It'll be very interesting to see if the missing information on Scotgov discussions on the JR & hoping the criminal case will take over & also the evidence of the collusion & police investigation interference will be released before she appears. Because that'll go a long way to determining just how likely it is she'll be able to talk her way around all the pitfalls Salmond set up yesterday.