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Politics

Reform are getting a shitload of voters

737 replies

HeBeaverandSheBeaver · 04/07/2024 23:27

I have not voted
Reform and live in a safe tory seat But I voted
Lib dem tactical vote

I said ages Ago on here the reform would do really well and was shouted down.

Same as brexit, no one will admit voting for reform but
They still do it in droves it seems.

I'm Willing to bet they
Might win an election in four years at this rate!!

Scary
Times

OP posts:
Thread gallery
14
Neurodiversitydoctor · 05/07/2024 01:03

Kendodd · 05/07/2024 00:55

I disagree.
We've been tip toeing around them for ages, bending over backwards to accommodate them. How's that going? I think it's about time we called them out for what they are. And I think this character of Leave/Reform voters being the poor downtrodden is just wrong. Well heeled, home countries pensioners voted Leave in droves and I'd be amazed if they didn't vote Reform in large numbers as well.

There maybe an element of that, but the stats do not suggest this is there core demographic. It isn't well heeled pensioners voting reform in Sunderland I tell you that for nothing. Talking about " these people" it's divisive. We need to work together, all sections of our society need to feel heard. It's actually not the boomers which worry me, it's the male youth vote. Reform reaching parts other politicians can't reach. Dismiss this at your peril it's chilling.

Anothersolotrip · 05/07/2024 01:03

There are no other true 'right wing' parties. Conservatives have headed too far to the left which means for those that have different views on the keeping the NHS, taxation policy and the funding of public services have no real alternative to select. Hopefully after this the Conservatives will realise that they need to realign with their traditional voters and stop trying to be everything to everyone.

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 01:03

PigletJohn · 05/07/2024 01:01

I see numbers of Reform leaning people, but I don't believe there are enough to gain political power. They are discontented Brexers, strongly right-wing, mostly Conservative defectors, and almost invariably of, or above, retirement age. There is practically no support among the young.

Farage can see the clusters of such voters, and picked the biggest one for himself.

Yes absolutely.

TheCompactPussycat · 05/07/2024 01:05

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 00:56

The fact that it is a university city isn't as relevant in this election as others because the election has been held outside of university term time.

It's a known tactic designed to reduce the strong left-wing student vote in university cities. It happened in 1992 as well and was, in part, what helped John Major win a small majority.

Makes sense, but it's not just the students themselves. It's the graduates who stay on and the others who choose the most cosmopolitan spot in the county.

University cities are usually more ethnically diverse, too.

When was the Brexit referendum? Spring? Can't remember. But the university cities were remain blind surrounded by leave areas in many places.

I don't dispute that there are graduates who remain and more ethnic diversity. I'm certainly not suggesting that everyone who is left behind is a right-wing voter. But the fact remains that if 10,000+ students who tend to be more left-wing have gone home to their leafy Tory suburbs, that will reduce their impact on the vote in their university constituencies.

morningvole · 05/07/2024 01:05

@Neurodiversitydoctor

There maybe an element of that, but the stats do not suggest this is there core demographic. It isn't well heeled pensioners voting reform in Sunderland I tell you that for nothing. Talking about " these people" it's divisive. We need to work together, all sections of our society need to feel heard. It's actually not the boomers which worry me, it's the male youth vote. Reform reaching parts other politicians can't reach. Dismiss this at your peril it's chilling.

^youve articulated this in a way I wish I could at this time of night! Dismiss this at your peril.
It's very, very worrying.

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 05/07/2024 01:06

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 01:00

Germany @TempestTost

What about the far right in Germany?

cantgetmybreath · 05/07/2024 01:06

@LiterallyOnFire I hope you are right ! And if all else fails I hope you can go to Germany for longer than 90 days. I'm not saying that sarcastically btw because I agree with you about being better off out of it. But obviously it's not just as easy as packing up and going now it's a long process to become an EU resident.

TempestTost · 05/07/2024 01:06

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 01:00

Germany @TempestTost

Hmm. I don't think that is a safer bet. In fact I think it would be worse. They have even bigger problems than the UK with immigration.

Grantshappsotherusrnames · 05/07/2024 01:07

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 05/07/2024 01:06

What about the far right in Germany?

Last time I checked Germany had a centre left government as the UK will have tomorrow.

crowgift · 05/07/2024 01:09

I'm nervous about this (I am not white) particularly as they seem to be rather an unknown quantity at the moment.

TempestTost · 05/07/2024 01:09

speculoss · 05/07/2024 00:57

It’s never enough for these people. I mean seriously they get infuriated by the sight of mixed race couples on adverts!

There was a convicted paedophile giving an interview who said he was voting Reform due to him not being able to get a job as a result of immigrants. And not because he had a criminal record! He claimed the conviction was “assault” but it was later uncovered by online sleuths he sexually assaulted a pre- teen girl!!

He chose to blame that on migrants and asylum seekers rather than the fact he’s a pervert and it’s on his record. Probably had zero qualifications either, very sloppy looking and most of all a paedo - who would hire him??.

We all know someone like this, maybe not a sex offender but utterly reckless and feckless not trying to better themselves while blaming “immigrants” and “boat people”.

Sick of corrupt politicians pandering to people like this - using their rage against brown people as a useful distraction from their corrupt ways.

Migrants are paying taxes for scum like this to use public services such as the NHS (often staffed by them) and claim their benefits.

Reform voters - along with the right wing pandering political elite & media - have helped run this country into the ground and I’ve no sympathy for them. They are all racists. Rich or poor. Period.

Edited

You do understand that it's now quite well accepted by economists that movement of labour - immigration - has indeed affected the job market for lower income people, and affected things like housing availability for the same people, in a significant way?

Do you think it's racist to crunch numbers?

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 01:10

Germany have the benefit of specific anti-Nazi legislation. They might make mistakes but they'll struggle to go far right again.

And luckily DH has an EU citizenship (which I realise not everyone does).

speculoss · 05/07/2024 01:10

cantgetmybreath · 05/07/2024 00:59

@speculoss Everything you have said is true

Thanks, it’s good to see many others on this thread agree.

Leaving this thread now I think I’ve had my say 😂 and can’t be arsed tonight with the reform apologists irrespective of their alleged race or nationality.

I’ll check the final results in the morning. Here’s hoping they got less than predicted but I doubt it tbh.

cantgetmybreath · 05/07/2024 01:10

@crowgift I feel the same Flowers

HolyGround13 · 05/07/2024 01:10

Ringpeace · 05/07/2024 00:50

White ghettos are a thing.

Try and "comprehend" that.

Me pointing out that a word has racist connotations, and you jumping to the conclusion that it means I haven’t been somewhere is an odd leap which makes me think you have poor reading comprehension. You then asserting that “white ghettos are a thing”, needing to qualify that some ghettos are white, further reinforces my point that the word is associated with minorities.

Abhannmor · 05/07/2024 01:11

Doing well in the North East. Doubt they will repeat that nationwide. Its up to the Tories now. Go back to the centre. Or go whoring after the extremist vote. Then Labour must deliver or maybe the OP will be right.

cantgetmybreath · 05/07/2024 01:11

@LiterallyOnFire you have the golden ticket ! If you decide you don't want him send him my way 😉 hope you get some sleep I'm too stressed 😂

Neurodiversitydoctor · 05/07/2024 01:12

morningvole · 05/07/2024 01:05

@Neurodiversitydoctor

There maybe an element of that, but the stats do not suggest this is there core demographic. It isn't well heeled pensioners voting reform in Sunderland I tell you that for nothing. Talking about " these people" it's divisive. We need to work together, all sections of our society need to feel heard. It's actually not the boomers which worry me, it's the male youth vote. Reform reaching parts other politicians can't reach. Dismiss this at your peril it's chilling.

^youve articulated this in a way I wish I could at this time of night! Dismiss this at your peril.
It's very, very worrying.

Wrong there though ; their core demographic obviously. Years of night shifts have some sort of upside.

ExitPursuedByABare · 05/07/2024 01:13

What do you think should be done with the thick gammonny folk who voted for Brexit and have now supported Reform?

Demonhunter · 05/07/2024 01:13

Those slating the North East voters probably don't know what it's been like under a constant Labour Council, and seeing what they DON'T do and how much ruin has become of the place esp in Sunderland. People are sick to the back teeth of Labour knowing they have a safe seat so they can sit back and take the piss! People also are reluctant to vote Conservative so generally find themselves stuck with Labour or making a protest vote and Reform is that (although I went with GP)

I've also mentioned on another thread a couple of weeks ago about the eye rolling and dismissive behaviour and attitude of my labour candidate - now MP - when asked questions, when one of his canvassers was at the door. I told him there and then I wouldn't be voting him after that. If that was the general attitude of his campaign then I'm not surprised at how the voting went for many undecided people.

Ringpeace · 05/07/2024 01:13

HolyGround13 · 05/07/2024 01:10

Me pointing out that a word has racist connotations, and you jumping to the conclusion that it means I haven’t been somewhere is an odd leap which makes me think you have poor reading comprehension. You then asserting that “white ghettos are a thing”, needing to qualify that some ghettos are white, further reinforces my point that the word is associated with minorities.

All of which I know.

Go and patronise somebody else, please.

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 05/07/2024 01:14

Grantshappsotherusrnames · 05/07/2024 01:07

Last time I checked Germany had a centre left government as the UK will have tomorrow.

Regardless of the government, there is a problem with racism in Germany.

Melisha · 05/07/2024 01:14

Kendodd · 05/07/2024 00:42

In fairness, I don't know anyone who voted Reform who isn't also a massive racist.

I am northern working class and white and know people who support Reform. And I agree with you.

Marmiteontoastgirlie · 05/07/2024 01:16

Prawncow · 04/07/2024 23:30

I’m really grateful for our first past the post system. It should keep down the number of seats they win.

FPTP isn’t really protecting you from reform it’s simply ensuring that people are frustrated with democracy and don’t feel heard and that we risk centre right parties drifting further to the right to try to win reform votes. So “reform” itself might not get in but instead their populist right ideas infect the entire conservative manifesto instead - to me this is more dangerous.

If we had a proper representational democracy where everyone’s vote counted, you would likely see a lot of the “protest” vote in reform evaporate and the two party system would be less polarised - for e.g., the conservatives able to stay “small c”conservative and keep a comfortable majority of the right wing vote, perhaps entering into a coalition with reform who get a c. 8% share of seats.

That way is actually much better because the toxic ideas of the reform party would stay within their remit, people who support them would see fair representation in government (the cornerstone of democracy after all) and the main Conservative Party wouldn’t have to tactically pander to their voting base as they would be comfortable getting most of the right wing vote nationally in a proportional system.

See recent results in New Zealand and the National Party (their equivalent of conservatives) and the Act party (their reform) for how that might work.

LiterallyOnFire · 05/07/2024 01:16

cantgetmybreath · 05/07/2024 01:11

@LiterallyOnFire you have the golden ticket ! If you decide you don't want him send him my way 😉 hope you get some sleep I'm too stressed 😂

If he does the weird beard trim again, he's yours. Smile

I'm just going to nap on the sofa with the telly on. I don't want to sleep past 3.30.