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Politics

Reform are getting a shitload of voters

737 replies

HeBeaverandSheBeaver · 04/07/2024 23:27

I have not voted
Reform and live in a safe tory seat But I voted
Lib dem tactical vote

I said ages Ago on here the reform would do really well and was shouted down.

Same as brexit, no one will admit voting for reform but
They still do it in droves it seems.

I'm Willing to bet they
Might win an election in four years at this rate!!

Scary
Times

OP posts:
Thread gallery
14
EasternStandard · 06/07/2024 14:46

MsJinks · 06/07/2024 13:19

Well I agree those profiting from vulnerable people need stopping obviously and we need to be addressing the criminals as in catching and stopping them. This wouldn’t stop people needing refuge and finding other ways to their country of safety.
I am comfortable helping all people requiring asylum worldwide actually and think the world should want to! This statement does not equate to the U.K. taking every refugee in the world - that would never be wanted by most refugees and is rather a fib designed to rile us up about small boats.
Migration can be complex and to help all refugees (not just those feeling safe in U.K.) then I would include us doing things like stop selling arms to Saudi to bomb Yemen and similar. Continuing international aid but taking more steps to ensure it’s directed effectively. Not actually dictating, or trying to dictate how other countries should work. No disinformation- Iraq war for example, but also on a more local level.
For refugees wanting to come to the U.K. then I would prefer we had more accessible/safe routes to claim asylum. We also do take quite low numbers compared to similar countries in cases such as Syria and Afghanistan and I’d prefer that could be more equitable. This would address some small boat arrivals a lot more effectively. We cap numbers on these schemes as we are allowed to do so surely that would help in other areas of high numbers of refugees.
I would also stop the hatred being focussed on these boat arrivals as this doesn’t help anyone, causes distress on all sides, and is a poor and misinformed reflection of our immigration system.
We do need to look at all migration as it gets muddled and muddied with legal and illegal migration- both distinct from asylum seekers. But to look at that we need to address needs in our country in terms of economic viability and skills gaps and shortage sectors.
A lot of the above are difficult and long term and some require international cooperation too.
To directly answer your question then re U.K. - actually no one can put a specific number on a limit on asylum numbers in UK -for the UNCHR countries then we (and all signatory countries) should take all refugees for short term - if war ends for example - or long term from some very difficult situations. This is a legal requirement whilst we remain a signatory. We can put a number on schemes we do help with such as Syria and we do so - and if these safe routes were broadened then we could cap from other areas where larger numbers may need to claim asylum from and reduce the need for small boats that way.
We can cap legal migration and we can address illegal migration but we can’t refuse genuine asylum seekers arriving in our country - not via a normal legal route but essentially not illegal as they are claiming asylum. If they did arrive say on a holiday or as a student then they can’t claim asylum later - that is how it works legally.
If you think the small boats are more full of folk who are not fleeing war and persecution then we can refuse asylum and return - that is also in our rules and law. There has been a backlog for many years that has caused the current situation of hotels etc and addressing that by investing in administrative improvements is surely the quickest and most humane way of dealing with those still arriving.
Whilst most of above won’t happen and I’m idealising my shorter answer is then there is no number I would give for asylum seekers as I do still remain completely comfortable to the U.K. abiding by conventions, international law, and being a place of sanctuary to accept refugees seeking asylum here.

If we were to increase capped schemes we would still have to process asylum with people arriving by irregular means

Can you think of how many in capped schemes would stop the requirement outside them?

On average we do 60k capped per year, we could triple that and still see trafficking networks use irregular methods for profit

Schemes will not end those gangs and profit so if you do want to stop it you’ll need another way

DodoTired · 06/07/2024 15:14

Bellsandthistle · 06/07/2024 13:58

Is it your position that “working class men” vote reform because they have a position of privilege? 😂

Generally white working class men feel threatened, yes, and losing what they expected to always have ie privilege. So a lot of them vote Reform, yes.

Bullpuckey · 06/07/2024 15:44

Generally white working class men feel threatened, yes, and losing what they expected to always have ie privilege

They sure don’t look privileged to me. They’ve always been a underclass in the UK, no?

dougalfromthemagicroundabout · 06/07/2024 16:25

Bullpuckey · 06/07/2024 15:44

Generally white working class men feel threatened, yes, and losing what they expected to always have ie privilege

They sure don’t look privileged to me. They’ve always been a underclass in the UK, no?

White working class men only have privilege in the upside down. It's insane to say they're privileged. Think of the miners and countless other examples of working class men who've been harmed by their jobs because they didn't have any other choice (though it's not confined by skin colour - it's all working class men).

Working class men also got screwed during covid - often having to go out to work whilst those who claim they're privileged stayed at home. Many of them died as a result.

dougalfromthemagicroundabout · 06/07/2024 16:29

Problem is that people throw the racist label around so much, that now it just loses its impact.

This. It's in fact 'racist' you could say to imply all Reform voters are 'racist' when some of them are BAME, and some candidates too. My only black candidate was from Reform.

It doesn't help BAME people to smear a huge chunk of the electorate as racist. In fact, I would say, the opposite because people see it for the idiocy it is and then stop listening when there are real issues of racism.

SerafinasGoose · 06/07/2024 16:38

dougalfromthemagicroundabout · 06/07/2024 16:25

White working class men only have privilege in the upside down. It's insane to say they're privileged. Think of the miners and countless other examples of working class men who've been harmed by their jobs because they didn't have any other choice (though it's not confined by skin colour - it's all working class men).

Working class men also got screwed during covid - often having to go out to work whilst those who claim they're privileged stayed at home. Many of them died as a result.

Privilege in this context doesn't equate with economic privilege. The men you refer to were disadvantaged on the basis of their class. They didn't have to deal with further disadvantage on the basis of their skin colour. And, being members of the physically stronger, more dominant sex class means they weren't disadvantaged on the basis of their sex, either.

This is what it boils down to: the specific layers of systemic discrimination which work against people on various bases. 'Privilege' was probably a misleading word to describe these situations because it's inevitable this would end up confused with economic privilege.

It isn't directly related to econonics. But it certainly can end up resulting in poverty through no fault of a person's own but having everything to do with their race, class, sex, mental health, neurotypicality or able-bodied status. People who have privilege don't necessarily see that privilege. It's only truly visible when you don't.

Kendodd · 06/07/2024 16:51

God!
Just visited relatives all voted Reform. Had to listen to how asylum seekers get £38 per day and British people get nothing.

Tracker1234 · 06/07/2024 17:00

Because I spent some time in the ME I can honestly say the way women were treated is shocking. Of course the men think it’s fine and the women agree (!!). They walk around covered completely often in black in the heat to stop people like my husband ogling them.

A friend of mine was working for a Middle Eastern airline. She obviously wasn’t always at base but she was only able to stick it out 18 months. Women have no real voice. They are controlled by their male family members. They often have big families to keep the women suppressed and at home.

There are of course other parts of the world that are equally shocking with their treatment of their girls and women, controlling their movements in their teens etc. In Turkey regardless of your will as a women a certain % MUST go to male children even though they might be step children and you would prefer to choose yourself who you leave your money to!

Devonbabs · 06/07/2024 17:16

Tracker1234 · 06/07/2024 17:00

Because I spent some time in the ME I can honestly say the way women were treated is shocking. Of course the men think it’s fine and the women agree (!!). They walk around covered completely often in black in the heat to stop people like my husband ogling them.

A friend of mine was working for a Middle Eastern airline. She obviously wasn’t always at base but she was only able to stick it out 18 months. Women have no real voice. They are controlled by their male family members. They often have big families to keep the women suppressed and at home.

There are of course other parts of the world that are equally shocking with their treatment of their girls and women, controlling their movements in their teens etc. In Turkey regardless of your will as a women a certain % MUST go to male children even though they might be step children and you would prefer to choose yourself who you leave your money to!

And this attitude is not tempered by immigrants from these areas living in the UK.. it also seems to get worse in 2nd/3rd generations.

We need to tackle this, without being called racist letting it go unchecked is a danger to women.

roman12345 · 06/07/2024 17:21

Reform won seats in Clacton (Essex), Boston/Skegness (Lincolnshire), Great Yarmouth (Norfolk), Ashfield (Nottinghamshire) and South Basildon (Essex).

The only way Reform seats were won in the 'impoverished' north is if you turn a map of the UK upside down.

Bellsandthistle · 06/07/2024 17:25

@DodoTired Ironically, there is a level of privilege that allows one to happily ignore concerns around increased immigration because they don’t affect you. See also the privilege it requires to ignore the importance of issues such as single-sex spaces.

roman12345 · 06/07/2024 17:52

The number of votes doesn't always mean anything. It's the concentration of them that wins the seat.

Labour got less overall votes this time than Corbyn in both the 2017 and 2019 elections.

Reform got 4 million votes and 4 seats, while the LibDems got 3.4 million votes and have 71 seats.

Bullpuckey · 06/07/2024 18:22

They didn't have to deal with further disadvantage on the basis of their skin colour

You were like, a 98% white country in those days. Hardly relevant.

People who have privilege don't necessarily see that privilege. It's only truly visible when you don't

Tbh it seems like you see privilege where there is none

LiterallyOnFire · 06/07/2024 18:33

Kendodd · 06/07/2024 16:51

God!
Just visited relatives all voted Reform. Had to listen to how asylum seekers get £38 per day and British people get nothing.

£38 per day? That's weirdly specific. Have they got hold of some factoid and misunderstood?

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 06/07/2024 21:39

dougalfromthemagicroundabout · 06/07/2024 16:29

Problem is that people throw the racist label around so much, that now it just loses its impact.

This. It's in fact 'racist' you could say to imply all Reform voters are 'racist' when some of them are BAME, and some candidates too. My only black candidate was from Reform.

It doesn't help BAME people to smear a huge chunk of the electorate as racist. In fact, I would say, the opposite because people see it for the idiocy it is and then stop listening when there are real issues of racism.

People from ethnic backgrounds have to put up no end of shit from the prebirth to the grave. We don't care or need the approval of people like you. You are a huge part of the problem. As you well know BAME is completely unacceptable. BTW If you want to see idiocy, look in the mirror.

paperrocksiscissors · 06/07/2024 22:09

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 06/07/2024 21:39

People from ethnic backgrounds have to put up no end of shit from the prebirth to the grave. We don't care or need the approval of people like you. You are a huge part of the problem. As you well know BAME is completely unacceptable. BTW If you want to see idiocy, look in the mirror.

Racists have always been focused on immigration. Reform voters complain 'You cant talk about immigration without being accused of being a racist', but the fact is you can't talk to a racist without immigration coming up.

I have a very racist family Uncle, he believes in white replacement, conspiracy theories but above all he believes white people are superior to non-white people. Farage said himself he smashed the BNP by providing a home for white people who weren't racist, but felt some of the BNP policies were spot on, putting British people first. The trouble is, Reform is a home for many who liked many other aspects of the BNP that Reform don't talk about it.

The only way to reduce immigration REALLY reduce it, is accepting we can't have huge growth with an ageing population and low native birth rate, we will have to accept to be a poorer nation and have a reduced economy , even then, we'll still need some migrants, but we can't bloody well have both, a big economy and low migration, unless we all start having 3 or 4 kids again. And this is the puzzle that all of western Europe and the US is facing.

But no politician will tell you the truth about immigration...including Farage, Trump or Le Pen.

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 06/07/2024 23:07

paperrocksiscissors · 06/07/2024 22:09

Racists have always been focused on immigration. Reform voters complain 'You cant talk about immigration without being accused of being a racist', but the fact is you can't talk to a racist without immigration coming up.

I have a very racist family Uncle, he believes in white replacement, conspiracy theories but above all he believes white people are superior to non-white people. Farage said himself he smashed the BNP by providing a home for white people who weren't racist, but felt some of the BNP policies were spot on, putting British people first. The trouble is, Reform is a home for many who liked many other aspects of the BNP that Reform don't talk about it.

The only way to reduce immigration REALLY reduce it, is accepting we can't have huge growth with an ageing population and low native birth rate, we will have to accept to be a poorer nation and have a reduced economy , even then, we'll still need some migrants, but we can't bloody well have both, a big economy and low migration, unless we all start having 3 or 4 kids again. And this is the puzzle that all of western Europe and the US is facing.

But no politician will tell you the truth about immigration...including Farage, Trump or Le Pen.

Sadly racists have not had the memo. It will be interesting to see their reaction when the wheels fall of the of the cart!

Bullpuckey · 07/07/2024 00:06

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 06/07/2024 23:07

Sadly racists have not had the memo. It will be interesting to see their reaction when the wheels fall of the of the cart!

China and Japan do very well with worse demographics and no immigration. So no, it doesn’t have to be that way at all.

1dayatatime · 07/07/2024 00:21

@paperrocksiscissors

"The only way to reduce immigration REALLY reduce it, is accepting we can't have huge growth with an ageing population and low native birth rate, we will have to accept to be a poorer nation and have a reduced economy , even then, we'll still need some migrants, but we can't bloody well have both, a big economy and low migration, unless we all start having 3 or 4 kids again. And this is the puzzle that all of western Europe and the US is facing."

To take an alternative approach a large number of the legal migrants are working in the agricultural, care and health sector. Jobs that the native population is not willing to do at the salaries on offer.

Now you could in theory resolve this by increasing salaries in those sectors - to take an extreme example if you paid fruit pickers £50k a year then you would have no problem recruiting native workers, however your punnet of strawberries would now cost £25 and no one would buy them! An alternative approach would be to reduce social welfare so that native workers have a choice between say picking fruit or serving to death, although I think such a policy might be a tad Victorian and somewhat unpopular with the electorate!

The ageing population explanation whilst true only offers a part explanation, for example Japan has a much quicker ageing population and is handling it without immigration albeit through two decades of lost growth but they are now coming out the other side of it.

So to my mind there are choices to be made.
Yes the UK could strictly control immigration just like Japan does but this would come at a cost to the economy.
Or UK could continue to import cheap foreign labour to grow our economy and keep inflation low. But by continually seeking to increase the population in some kind of Ponzi scheme you are placing stress on housing, healthcare, education, social cohesion
Or you face massive unpopularity by forcing the native population to do the jobs that they are currently unwilling to do.

But what we cannot do is to dodge the question entirely and accuse anyone asking it of racism, fascism, nationalism etc etc.

BloodyHellKenAgain · 07/07/2024 04:54

Neurodiversitydoctor · 05/07/2024 12:08

Islam is a massive world religion I think what you mean to say is that there are large Bangladeshi , Pakistani and Palestinian communities in those constituencies. Not so sure about Islington North.....I would suggest that if you have relatives in Gaza you might be more invested in the major party's stance on this. Just like I am more likely to vote on the health agenda- there is nothing surprising or wrong with that.

No, I meant to say there are large Muslim communities in those constituencies and I still think the 4 (muslim) independents who ousted Labour over Gaza are strongly influenced by their religion and so does the BBC:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3g37mk7vxlo

IMO religion has no place in UK politics.

A montage of the dome of a mosque and the Star of David on a synagogue

Election fallout: deep shifts in Muslim and Jewish voting

In the 2024 UK general election, Labour suffered some surprise seat losses over its stance on Gaza.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3g37mk7vxlo

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 07/07/2024 08:27

Neither Japan nor China is without problems. Both need immigration as does this country. Both do have problems with racism.

We need immigration, 1 in 1 out is not going to cut it. We need to to focus on:
How we get the right newcomers for the right roles. We don't just need Drs.
We need to define what good integration looks like and put in an infrastructure that ensures it happens.
We definitely need to stop the boats and other foms of illegal immigration. Unfortunately only taking a firm line on this is going to reduce this.

Changes are going to need to happen on both sides.

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 07/07/2024 08:38

1dayatatime · 07/07/2024 00:21

@paperrocksiscissors

"The only way to reduce immigration REALLY reduce it, is accepting we can't have huge growth with an ageing population and low native birth rate, we will have to accept to be a poorer nation and have a reduced economy , even then, we'll still need some migrants, but we can't bloody well have both, a big economy and low migration, unless we all start having 3 or 4 kids again. And this is the puzzle that all of western Europe and the US is facing."

To take an alternative approach a large number of the legal migrants are working in the agricultural, care and health sector. Jobs that the native population is not willing to do at the salaries on offer.

Now you could in theory resolve this by increasing salaries in those sectors - to take an extreme example if you paid fruit pickers £50k a year then you would have no problem recruiting native workers, however your punnet of strawberries would now cost £25 and no one would buy them! An alternative approach would be to reduce social welfare so that native workers have a choice between say picking fruit or serving to death, although I think such a policy might be a tad Victorian and somewhat unpopular with the electorate!

The ageing population explanation whilst true only offers a part explanation, for example Japan has a much quicker ageing population and is handling it without immigration albeit through two decades of lost growth but they are now coming out the other side of it.

So to my mind there are choices to be made.
Yes the UK could strictly control immigration just like Japan does but this would come at a cost to the economy.
Or UK could continue to import cheap foreign labour to grow our economy and keep inflation low. But by continually seeking to increase the population in some kind of Ponzi scheme you are placing stress on housing, healthcare, education, social cohesion
Or you face massive unpopularity by forcing the native population to do the jobs that they are currently unwilling to do.

But what we cannot do is to dodge the question entirely and accuse anyone asking it of racism, fascism, nationalism etc etc.

The average racist is not thinking that deeply about this. Their behaviour towards ethnic minorities is not driven by this. There is a reason so many people found a home in Reform and it isn't intelligence.

Grammarnut · 07/07/2024 09:00

Socrateswasrightaboutvoting · 07/07/2024 08:27

Neither Japan nor China is without problems. Both need immigration as does this country. Both do have problems with racism.

We need immigration, 1 in 1 out is not going to cut it. We need to to focus on:
How we get the right newcomers for the right roles. We don't just need Drs.
We need to define what good integration looks like and put in an infrastructure that ensures it happens.
We definitely need to stop the boats and other foms of illegal immigration. Unfortunately only taking a firm line on this is going to reduce this.

Changes are going to need to happen on both sides.

Edited

We need to train/educated our own workforce rather than poaching the workforces of nations which are less well off than us. We also could encourage slightly larger families by extending benefits to all families, not just those with both parents (or sole parent) working, so that childcare can be the choice of the family, whether it is parent staying at home, grandparent care, childminder, friendly arrangement or a nursery.

Rainbowsponge · 07/07/2024 09:42

I voted Lib Dem, because I want to rejoin the EU.

However I understand why people voted Reform. I think parties like that hold a kind of nostalgia, back to the ‘good times’ of the 60s-90s when housing was cheap, the economy was on the up bar one or two blips, population much smaller and the ‘more old fashioned way of life’ was gentler and more enjoyable - globalisation is seen as the opposite of that, it signifies a fast moving word of tech and immigration.

I don’t think all Reform voters are racists, I think a lot of them are simply weary of modernity and the sad places it’s taken us to and want to revert to happier times.

Devonbabs · 07/07/2024 11:22

Rainbowsponge · 07/07/2024 09:42

I voted Lib Dem, because I want to rejoin the EU.

However I understand why people voted Reform. I think parties like that hold a kind of nostalgia, back to the ‘good times’ of the 60s-90s when housing was cheap, the economy was on the up bar one or two blips, population much smaller and the ‘more old fashioned way of life’ was gentler and more enjoyable - globalisation is seen as the opposite of that, it signifies a fast moving word of tech and immigration.

I don’t think all Reform voters are racists, I think a lot of them are simply weary of modernity and the sad places it’s taken us to and want to revert to happier times.

I think you have a better understanding than many here. I guess we are at a cross roads. Rather like the Industrial Revolution. Rather like the Reformation.

I think we have become used to “any change is good” existence must keep getting better. But that’s one of the biggest lies we tell ourselves.

History is littered with empires of similar mindsets, with people who were just as intelligent, with advanced technology. Who thought they were unbeatable, most of the time the they have been the architects of their own destruction.

This is where we are now in the developed world. We tinker round the edges of a broken system whether that be globalisation or institutions like the NHS.

In reality no political party will solve this. I feel like Reform were the closest to identifying many of the issues. They are right, having some electric cars isn’t going to stop global warming. What we need to do is address the impact of countries like China. What we need yo fo is stop the rampant consumption and yes that links back to how people lived decades ago.

We need humanity esp in the West to change its mindset about the future of mankind.