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Where's the premium bonds thread?

999 replies

SouthWestmom · 03/10/2017 07:02

Checked TIO to see if anyone had won and it's vanished!! Surely it isn't contentious 😂

OP posts:
BarbaraofSeville · 01/09/2020 08:36

@LovelyLovelyMe

Truly, what are the chances of winning anything ever with £500 worth of bonds?
It's true that PBs may not pay out at all for smaller amounts, but the more you have, the closer you are likely to get to the average payout. But if you do win even one £25 prize in a year on a £500 holding, that's a very good 'interest rate'.

Each bond has around a 1 in 33 000 chance of winning each month, I believe. So if you have £33k worth of bonds, on average you should win one prize each month, but in reality, it's likely to vary between 0,1,2 or very occasionally more than this.

On £500 your chance of winning each month is 500 in 33 000 = 1 in 66 so you 'should' win one prize every 5 years or so. But that's on average, so over a 20 year period for example, some people will win 4 prizes while others will win another amount of prizes between 0 and 10.

You can look at PBs as gambling the interest you would receive in a savings account. The best instant access is currently 1.15%, so the interest on £500 in a year would be a fiver or so. You can put your £500 in the NS&I income bond and claim your £5.75 a year in interest, or you can put it in PBs and bet the £5.75 that you might win more. Most people won't win anything but a minority will win at least a £25 prize.

LovelyLovelyMe · 01/09/2020 09:41

Thank you very much @BarbaraofSeville-appreciated.

Guess I'll have to revise my Right Move browsing price bracket downwards.

BarbaraofSeville · 01/09/2020 09:55

Another thing to remember is that 98% of prizes are for £25. Only 1 in 50 that win anything win more than that. You could get several £25 prizes in any given month (I got 3 in one month last year on a holding of around £15k) but the chances of winning prize big enough to allow you something at the top of the rightmove price bracket is relatively low, in the same ballpark as winning the jackpot on the national lottery.

LovelyLovelyMe · 01/09/2020 11:39

Thanks Barbara. You have explained it all really clearly. I'm sad about it but it is better to know!

Dinosauraddict · 01/09/2020 21:29

What are people hoping for tonight? I'll be happy with £50, but feel it may be less this month... Confused

Dinosauraddict · 02/09/2020 06:06

Is anyone else's app just saying results not yet available? Normally on there from midnight, but not giving me any info...

BarbaraofSeville · 02/09/2020 06:21

Yes, same here .

BarbaraofSeville · 02/09/2020 06:23

I'm hoping for £50 or more. I've had 3 x £25 this year, which is a bit poor on the holding I have.

TinkysWinky · 02/09/2020 07:05

App not working. I logged in via website. Nothing this month again on 16k. I think I have used up my 2020 luck earlier in the year have had 175 total in dribs and drabs...

wonder with all the new investors, will there be more prizes to keep it to approx 1.4% overall, or will the prizes just dilute?

angorarabbit · 02/09/2020 07:16

Yes I couldn't get on app so used website likewise. £75 for me, I'm pleased after a couple of months with nothing

PineappleCheesecake · 02/09/2020 07:16

App not working for me either but website says nothing. DH got £25.

BarbaraofSeville · 02/09/2020 07:25

Nothing for me either, but I did find the list of high value winners which is an interesting read, like someone in South Yorkshire who's held the princely sum of £10 for over 40 years and has won £5000.

www.nsandi.com/beta/prize-checker/winners

Dinosauraddict · 02/09/2020 07:34

Only £25 here (had a feeling it would be low this month) and app is working again!

FAQs · 02/09/2020 07:44

£25 here and I received a cheque in August for £25 from an old account I didn’t know I had, no idea how much is in there?!

Pineapple75 · 02/09/2020 07:56

Nothing this month on 25k Sad. Just put the rest of my savings in there so fingers crossed for next month!

Murinae · 02/09/2020 09:18

£25 on max holdings here after nothing last month.

Pepperwand · 02/09/2020 10:39

£50 this month. Pleased with that!

apairofblueeyes001 · 02/09/2020 10:57

£100 for me (4 x £25) - I've been lucky this year :-)

Sonmi451 · 02/09/2020 11:35

Tried to get on the website just now and it said it was busy and I was in a queue. Do they normally email you as well? I don't have an email, so I'm guessing I've won zero pounds and zero pence again :D

swimster01 · 02/09/2020 11:46

First month in the draw for me and no winnings. But I used to have the max and hardly won anything then either!

Murinae · 02/09/2020 12:18

@Sonmi451 I haven’t got an email yet either. Download the app and it tells you on there.

fromdownwest · 02/09/2020 12:52

£0 on £25k.
First full month in, so did not expect anything.

Sonmi451 · 02/09/2020 13:05

@Murinae Thanks, I will do.

FAQs · 02/09/2020 13:23

The email can take a few days to arrive. There is always a queue of results day but you can usually get on the site in under 10 minutes.

motherofdragon · 02/09/2020 18:15

£50 on 37k For me today 🙂