@erudioed.
I don't think this sale and Erudio has done anything really to change hearts and minds with regard to the Select Committee report into student loans.
Now David Cameron was quite open about how his economic model would follow the Canadian system in the mid-1990's:
www.theguardian.com/politics/2010/jun/06/david-cameron-spending-cuts
In 1995 the Canadian Student Loans Act was replaced by the Canada Student Financial Assistance Act.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Student_loans_in_Canada#History
AS Wikipedia states:
"The Government of Canada developed a formalized "risk-shared" agreement with several financial institutions, whereby the institution would assume responsibility for the possible risk of defaulted loans in return for a fixed payment from the Government which correlated with the amount of loans that were expected to be, or were, in default in each calendar year. During this period, the weekly federal loan amount was increased to a maximum of $165."
In short, the government would pay a fixed payment, the institutions would bear the financial risk. That to me sounds quite similar to the 'synthetic hedge' proposal that the Select Committee report I posted up earlier in this thread mentioned with regards to selling off ICR loans to private institutions.
Now continuing on from Wikipedia...
"On July 31, 2000, the risk-shared arrangement between the Government of Canada and participating financial institutions came to an end. The Government of Canada now directly finances all new loans issued on or after August 1, 2000. The administration of Canada Student Loans has become the responsibility of the National Student Loans Service Centre (NSLSC). There are two divisions of the NSLSC, one to manage loans for students attending public institutions and the other to administer loans for students attending private institutions. Defaulted Canada Student Loans disbursed under this new regime are now collected by the Canada Revenue Agency which, by Order in Council dated August 1, 2005, became responsible for the collection of all debts due under programs administered by Human Resources and Social Development Canada."
In short, the Canada Revenue Agency (their HMRC) collects student loan repayments, the NSLSC adminsters them, the Government of Canada finances them.
Unfortunately the amount of student loan debt went up as did the number of people who were deferred from payment. Another aspect that caused that debt to rise was the scrapping in some universities such as the University of Toronto of three year honours degrees. It was felt that four year degrees offered more scope for the development of analytical thinking. The cynic in me at the time thought "Bollocks, it's just a way to get more people into more debt".
(I was living in Toronto and attending the university for a part-time accounting course at the time hence my interest in the subject. I can categorically say that there was a lack of decent salaried jobs in Toronto at the time and you'd get graduates working in Starbucks with no hope of paying their loans back for ages, hence the rise in deferments).
Tuition fees in Canada in 20 years up to 2011 went up by 200%, vastly quicker than inflatation. In the US over 30 years to 2011, it was 400%. In 2011, Canada had about $22 billion of student loan debt. The US... eeks, nearly $1 trillion. Crazy growth creating a bubble? I think we've seen that before...
www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/another-day-smarter-but-deeper-in-debt/article14157421/
With the rise in tuition fees under the ConDems and the cutting of government funding for universities, we moved to a North American model of funding. Now we have a North American debt bubble issue and suddenly there are people shitting themselves about it.
From Vince Cable in that Indie link you popped up:
"“The Government was considering the sale of student loans on the basis that it would reduce government debt. Recent evidence suggests this will no longer be the case.”
Yes, and that links back to the synthetic hedge issue mentioned in the Select Committee report. It's that hedge which means the Government could end up paying out an unknown but sizeable wedge to the like of Arrow if Arrow bought those ICR loans.
What is going on is that finally people are being fucking realistic about the figures and sums used in the analysis of the loans and their repayment. Cameron and Osborne are very happy to get out the party hats with the employment figures going down and Britain's economy getting back to something like pre-recession figures. What the student loans debt demonstrates is what countless analysts have said, namely that the jobs that have been created are of a lower wage bracket. The rise in self-employed people for instance lowers the unemployment figures but the average earnings of those people is lower than the average earnings of employed persons.
Lower earnings = more chance of deferring your student loan payments = less chance of the Government getting its money back.
Lower earnings = private companies want to pay less to buy ICR loans as they are less likely to get a decent repayment rate back
That's why the SC report mentions that synthetic hedge. It's basically an idea where the Government subsidises a private company for the loans it bought.
The BIS Select Committee aren't electioneering, they're stating the facts as clearly as possible and it's those media politicians like Cameron who will stick their fingers in their ears and bury their heads in the sand about it. The financial model is utterly screwed and a lot of that is down to grossly optimistic figures about the level of repayments that would be forthcoming.
Really the Erudio sale is a pretty small drop in the ocean. Us older loan takers are more likely to be in a higher paying job than the younger people with ICR loans. Those ICR loans could be hugely toxic and far more problematical. What makes it even more troublesome for the Conservatives especially is that soon you're going to see a huge explosion in student loan debt at the end of the 2015 academic year. The £9k fees came in place in September 2012. 2012-13, 2013-14, 2014-15 academic years, so come the summer of 2015 when those three-ear students graduate, we're going to see just how many can find decent salaried jobs and repay, and how many will be filling out their deferment forms.