The Lib Dem paper What to do with the Clifden Road site should be read as their answer to the question that the Cabinet must decide in May; it assumes that Clifden road is the only site to be had. If the Egerton road site is also available a new study of the options is needed.
The 2016 date requires both a free school and a N Kingston school, neither of which may happen. If they don?t the new school will be needed in 2015.
The paper says nothing about what may happen in Hounslow, where the birth rate has shot up ahead of the provision of new schools. It points out that the council??s assumption that the out of borough rate will fall from 32 % to 12 % is 'extremely optimistic', which I think we may interpret as 'completely unrealistic' or even 'completely daft' (given the likely influx of Kingston pupils into Teddington Schools once it?s delinked).
The truth is that we can?t forecast what will happen to the ?out of borough rate?. However, the map shows that the Egerton road site lies 340m north of the Clifden road site, and so closer to the Ivybridge estate (the borough boundary, for those who don?t know, runs along the east side of Rugby Road and then along the bit of the River Crane that runs behind Marlow Crescent and Burnside Close). As the catchment area may be no more than 1.5 km round the school, this is a significant difference.