I have caught up with the thread with interest this afternoon. It's been a varied read but one thing that does stand out is the resentment from some quarters that the privilege they thought they had secured for their dc by sending them to a fee-paying school is perhaps less likely than they thought to include an Oxbridge place. This has then led to comments about not being wanted and choosing to go elsewhere, which is of course their prerogative. Is that really such a loss for Oxbridge? I don't know and I don't think it has been proved. One poster has been at pains to demonstrate that students from state school are less likely to get firsts than those from independent schools, but is that really such an important measure? Does it really prove those students weren't as able as their A star gaining counterparts from fee-paying schools or is getting an Oxbridge 2.1 from a deprived background, or at least, an average comp, just as impressive as getting a first if you have come from a highly selective independent? Does the possibility that they were unlikely to get a first mean they should not have been admitted? And it's anecdotal, but my ds says some people he has met at his Oxford college are not really focused on getting firsts and are more involved in some of the extra-curricular opportunities. The data doesn't tell us anything about that and only takes us so far. As for some of the comments...I still haven't made up my mind whether the person who mentioned wealthy students from abroad not wanting to be with people who hadn't even been skiing was arguing for the other side or not.
To me, the real point is, if we do agree that widening participation has led to poorer outcomes for Oxford and Cambridge, what do we do about it? Shrug our shoulders and say we'll have to just prioritise students from the 'right' schools and backgrounds? The answer to that surely has to be no, regardless of anything else. That cannot be acceptable. I'll admit, I would shut down all the fee-paying schools tomorrow if I was in charge, because it is unarguably a system that perpetuates inequality and division and should have no place in a modern society. I don't really see another solution.
And the obsession with cultural capital is just a thinly veiled excuse for snobbery and nothing will convince me otherwise. I have a first in English Literature (not Oxbridge) and am well aware of the importance of identifying classical/biblical references and other, more general, benefits, of being cultured and having broad knowledge, but, leaving Classics aside, I don't accept that having this store of knowledge beforehand is absolutely essential to all hums/arts degrees and therefore it's best for state-educated students, especially from certain backgrounds, not to apply. This can be learnt and improved while you are studying, including at Oxbridge, and to deny that is lazy snobbery and reveals an obsession with superficial markers of excellence. People have also mentioned sport being done at a high level at private school building character and resilience but many seem to refuse to value the more varied experiences students from other backgrounds may bring and the types of setbacks they may have had that built their resilience just as much as the terrible season when Sebastian's rugger team struggled to win a game.