Hello all, some of you know me from DS1's applications (2019 - 4 interviews, no offers, 2020 - 4 interviews, 3 offers, now a first year at St Andrews). Waves to @mumsneedwine, @HostessTrolley, @sluj.
I am joining this thread as DS2 has realised he wants to do medicine. As he is doing double maths, physics and PE (thought he was going to do engineering or sports science), he is very limited in his choices. He will be applying to Newcastle A100 and A104 at Manchester and Cardiff as they are the only ones he is eligible for. Dundee also has a medicine for non-science A levels, but because he does both maths and physics he is not eligible. He is planning to do AS Chemistry next year so that he can finish Chemistry A level in a Y14 and apply to more med schools in 2023 if he does not get an offer for 2022.
He is now doing all the virtual work experience things he can find and we are making sure we know EXACTLY how they assess the applications. He will start medify at the end of May and try to get a UCAT date in July, but I have suggested that he starts trying to get his head round Abstract Reasoning earlier as that is the one where I think you can get much quicker as you get used to looking for the patterns and success in UCAT requires great speed. Neither Manchester or Newcastle use the personal statement at all, so it is all about the UCAT for him. Cardiff use the personal statement and it might be very significant as so many will score 27 for GCSEs if they continue to give 3 points for 8/9.
I agree that we might expect to see some different criteria used for assessment this year. As they all have CAGS and there are so many top grades, universities like Oxford, Cardiff and Leeds are going to struggle to differentiate candidates. I have attached an analysis of how top GCSE grades have moved in the last few years. We are going to have to be really careful applying past cut offs for med schools which score GCSEs to the 2022 cohort. I think more may rely on the UCAT/BMAT so it will become even more important.
Somebody said our DC should be grateful not be 2021 applicants. I am afraid I think it will be worse for 2022 - there will be another cohort with very high CAGs from 2021 who will apply from a gap year.