@Monkey2001
Actually *@MidLifeCrisis007* with the number of Band 1s so low this year I think she would be OK for Nottingham if her VR/GCSEs are good, and VR must be with 3190.
This all depends if the people with B1 (and likely to be 6000 of them, even on current rates) realise the advantage this gives them.
Assuming 700s, 700s, 800s, 700s to make up 3190, that gives 52, plus 45 B2, plus let's say 5 x9 and 3 x 8 (29), that gives 126 points.
A B1 (60), even low 600s in all UCAT (40), 4 x9s, 3 x 8s and a 7 (27) will give 1 more point than this.
There is a belief that Nottingham is UCAT heavy - it is not necessarily, as 2440 scores the same as 2800, if the subsets fall right (or wrong!!).
Plus CAGs grade inflation for GCSEs means more 8s and 9s around.
Somebody with a B1 can get a grade lower in 7 GCSEs and still score more than a B2 with a higher UCAT (again depends on them being in the same hundreds for UCAT in each section), and could score over 700 points less in UCAT and still have a higher score if GCSE points are equal.
Nottingham has become somewhere that suits the (GMC version) of good judgement, good GCSE-achieving, good reading, slightly weaker UCAT-performing student that is presumably what they are looking for!
6 x9s, 2 x 8s, B1 and 2440+ (if the subsets fall right) UCAT should get an interview.
B2, same GCSEs needs over 2940, up to 3500 (with >800 in VR) to still be a point short of the same score!
Now if those with a B1, but slightly lower stats, do NOT realise their magic power at Nottingham, then yes, it may drop cut offs a bit, but I think a B1 is key to being safe there this year.