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Brexit

Please can leavers please tell me how Brexit will benefit us?

642 replies

DaveGrohlsMuse · 02/02/2020 12:42

Whenever this is asked mid-thread, it's never answered. There's plenty of information out there about how the UK had benefited from membership, but I really struggle to find info on how it's had a negative impact.
So in Jan 2021, once the transition period is over and we actually start to see the impact of the decision, what will improve? How will yours, and mine, and the general population's lives improve?

OP posts:
BurneyFanny · 05/02/2020 11:38

people need to realise the results of the trade deals can and will dramatically change any forecast

That's a fair point see I can be reasonable! BUT it depends on putting your trust in BJ and his team a) not to sell the UK down the river for their own personal gain and b) to turn out to be the most effective negotiating team the world has ever seen. Given his ridiculous combative opening stance, I'm not holding out much hope for either.

malylis · 05/02/2020 11:40

Tail between my legs?

Nope. You just aren't worth debating. Points are vacuous and repetitive. You rely on the "headlines" points when its shown that a good number of forecast predictions occured. This is deflection.

Real wages fell after the leave vote falling by 0.5 percent. Whist not as much as predicted in the shock scenario its still a fall between 2016 and 2018, as is shown by the graph in the article you linked to. By 2019 the effects of inflation caused by brexit were absorbed because year on year prices were steady (having had an increase from CPI below 2 percent to 2.9 percent in 2016 /2017).

Using articles from later in the brexit period, accurately demonstrates my point about the impacts of the Cameron resignation and BOE intervention changing the shock scenario outcomes.

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 11:42

@DeDoRonRon

@TatianaLarina

It is not essential to be legal qualified to be an arbitrator. Look at

work.chron.com/qualifications-becoming-arbitrator-5992.html

Nor would they randomly capitalise Arbitration and Objection

Most contracts contain a list of definitions at the beginning. Defined terms are alway capitalized and unless you type with the capital the word can be construed differently.

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 11:45

@malylis

When are you going to tackle the article about economists being poor at making predictions?

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 11:56

impacts of the Cameron resignation and BOE intervention changing the shock scenario outcomes

I remember Cameron saying he would step down if the vote was to leave. If so why was his resignation not reflected in the analysis? Same question applies to the BOE.

Answer if of course simple. It was to maximize fear. To some extent it worked as 16.1 million voted remain.

cologne4711 · 05/02/2020 12:46

How does that make it a good decision that a family with 100K per year gets child benefits and a single earner family next door with 60K receives no child benefit

I suppose you could argue that the double earners are paying a lot more tax so it's reasonable for them to get a bit more out of the system too.

I've been on both sides of this since it was introduced. Was earning over the threshold at one point so lost it, and at another point both DH and I were earning the same but under the threshold so we did get it even though our household income was still a lot.

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 13:09

I suppose you could argue that the double earners are paying a lot more tax so it's reasonable for them to get a bit more out of the system too

Benefits should be means tested with an upper limit of earnings. I personally think that if a household has 100K or more income they should not receive any benefits and tapering down should commence at 50K.

I picked 100K as that is the point when personal allowances are reduced.

Peregrina · 05/02/2020 13:10

How does this domestic issue relate to the benefits of Brexit? I really would have expected a long, long list by now.

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 13:20

How does this domestic issue relate to the benefits of Brexit

It does not. It started in response to Malylis assertion that experts know best. The current method of child benefit was developed by so called experts and it allows higher income households to get more benefits.

MrsWhisker · 05/02/2020 17:01

I thought he said he wouldn't resign.

Mockersisrightasusual · 05/02/2020 17:50

Cameron: Overpriviliged, Overqualified and into charcuterie in a big way.

Shame about the detective doing with his gun what DC did with his kid in the pub. I wouldn't want DC shot, but anyone who gave him a slap is worth at least an MBE in my estimation.

malylis · 05/02/2020 17:53

See there's your strawman again, didn't say experts know best said they weren't infallible.

Wrong about Cameron too.

The current method of child benefit testing was explained to you, and why to do it the way you reccomend would involve an entire overhaul of the tax system.

Your constant assertion is that because experts sometimes get things wrong we should discount them entirely, which is utterly fallacious, like the rest of your arguments.

ListeningQuietly · 05/02/2020 18:01

Brexit will benefit us all
because now its happened, those wanting it can no longer ask for it
so they can either shut up
or think of something new to whinge about

Mockersisrightasusual · 05/02/2020 18:04

...if only

More likely we shall be harranged forever as unicorn-killers who prevent Brexit from ever getting done.

malylis · 05/02/2020 18:14

How can anyone but the government prevent brexit from getting done ?

ineedaholidaynow · 05/02/2020 18:17

Mystery I assume so called experts are also being used to advise on trade deals and Brexit as a whole. Does that mean that will all go wrong too?

ListeningQuietly · 05/02/2020 18:21

Mockers
But Brexit IS Done.
THe newspapers and the Government said so.
Nothing more to see here.
We all have our own interpretations of its success.

I know what my definition of Brexit success is and look forward to achieving it Grin

Mockersisrightasusual · 05/02/2020 18:28

I move myself and my family aside
If we happen to be left out of the line
I'll get all my papers and smile at the sky
For I know that the hypnotised never lie

cologne4711 · 05/02/2020 18:32

More likely we shall be harranged forever as unicorn-killers who prevent Brexit from ever getting done

I thought it was koalas now?

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 18:32

I assume so called experts are also being used to advise on trade deals and Brexit as a whole. Does that mean that will all go wrong too?

Hope they are not the same ones who got all the forecasts wrong in 2016

cologne4711 · 05/02/2020 18:33

But Brexit IS Done

Yeah but 9 months late. And that was Remainers' fault too.

cologne4711 · 05/02/2020 18:33

10 months late.

malylis · 05/02/2020 18:35

As stated not all of the forecasts were wrong, in fact many of them were correct.

And yes, they will be the same experts advising now. Same experts at the BOE, same experts at the banks, same at the think tanks.

You think there is an oversupply of people qualified and experienced enough?

ineedaholidaynow · 05/02/2020 18:35

So is it only some experts that get things wrong?

MysteryTripAgain · 05/02/2020 18:36

@Malylis (AKA the straw man)

Still await your comment on the Article about how poor economists are at predictions.

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