IMPORTANT:
Analysis into Labour's loss of some Northern seats highlighting an astonishing change in age demographics there,
after the young fled elsewhere, for better opportunities
The old - as a group - are far more conservative and socially conservative
Ian Warrenn@election*_data
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If you want to understand the election, you need to see this table.
Look at how these towns have changed over time, and think about the seats Labour lost. ....
www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/11/labour-heartlands-gone-away-northern-towns
the Centre for Towns, a thinktank co-founded by the Labour leadership candidate and Wigan MP, Lisa Nandy, published revealing but little-noticed research
about a dozen of the northern seats lost by Labour to the Conservatives last month.
Between 1981 and 2011, all of them experienced huge decreases in the proportion of their young residents,
and similar increases in the proportion of retired people.
In County Durham, Bishop Auckland’s 18- to 24-year-olds went down by 25%, and its over-65s went up by almost 35%.
Last month, it was taken by the Tories after more than 80 yearss^ of Labour control.
Since the early 1980s, the narrowing of economic opportunities in much of the north and their widening in the south has transformed the electorate in many northern seats:
effectively shifting it to the right, given the strong Labour and Tory biases, respectively, of the young and oldd^.
The loss of many of these seats last month ought not to have been such a surprise; it was decades in the making.
Age, not class, is now what divides British voters most
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/21/age-not-class-is-what-divides-british-voters-most