Westminstenders: The Undecideds

[RedToothBrush]

Apparently the pollsters are nervous.

There are far more undecided than there have been at this stage in recent general election.

This makes it a hugely fine line between a hung parliament and a massive tory majority.

The weather on Thursday isn't expected to be nice and this could affect turnout. The blue corner are particularly nervous about this, but don't forget those postal votes.

Whatever happens on Thursday at least this election campaign is nearly over. And that can't be a bad thing.

And Christmas is in a fortnight so we can all drown our sorrows or celebrate in style.

You always have time to restock the drinks if you end up resort to them on Thursday

(New election special thread on Thursday rather than bunging up Westminstenders BTW)

We can do this. Boris Johnson and his club of self servers are not our friends.

Hateisnotgood
www.fareham.gov.uk/PDF/about_the_council/allowances18-19.pdf
6 members at one borough council on over £15,000 a year
leader is on £29k
and that does not even allow for what he gets from the County Council

But ... 339.

2 days and so many lies to go ..

York outer has gone from safe Conservative to likely Conservative.

That's interesting, particularly given the drop in voter registrations.

That could be worse. We just need that final push to get us to a hung parliament.

The best person to read on polls is Dr Moderate on twitter.

I'm encouraged by hung parliament being within the margin of error. Though don't trust polls ... they are used to shape opinion ...

Oh please. I didn't abuse anyone.

And people have been engaging MPs and politicians in strong debate on the streets for a very long time.

I shall say no more.

This is a different pollster

Matt Singh @mattsingh_
NEW MRP model from Focaldata:

CON 337
LAB 235
SNP 41
LD 14
PC 3
GRN 1
BXP 0
Speaker 1

CON majority 24

#GE2019

I wonder how many Labour voters who imagine voting Tory will waver in the ballot box. I know I do.

i dont get the Sky results vs BritainElects

yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/

The map and seat by seat analysis is on the page

Sad if its true

Note. The YouGov poll is the central result of their methodology. That also means that there could be a much bigger tory majority too. Not just that there could be a hung parliament.

Labour and the LDs need to sort their shit out in Westminster and Kensington with it being as close as that.

Eh??

Oooo guess what. What I've been saying about expecting my seat prediction to flip back red is correct...

Lib Dems squeezed down from estimate of 8.9 to estimate of 5% which is spot on what I was expecting to see.

sigh

Is it northern Ireland?

The two seats I am most interested in remain tossups. This is going to the wire. I hope the parties have all thought through contingency plans for low turn out if the weather is as awful as predicted.

Kensington coming in as a Labour toss up.

Esher and Walton coming in as toss up (hello Dom!)

East Devon toss up (independent candidate who nearly won last time)

The actual Yougov page is absolutely clear

if they are right, its a hard Brexit at the end of January
and that is just the start

Uxbridge & South Ruislip is looking closer.

Come on Lib Dem, Green voters in Uxbridge & South Ruislip
vote Labour, just this once.

Following reaction to the yougov poll on Twitter, and some posters are saying it doesn't take into account younger voters or, of course, tactical voting.