Seen elsewhere ....
Sent in to the page and shared anonymously with permission:
The UK will fall not with a bang but as a whisper...
The three options on the table:
- No deal
- Brexit deal (as negotiated previously)
- Stay
No other alternative actually is possible for the parties involved. The Brexit deal as negotiated is the only deal that makes sense to the EU.
And the EU needs the UK less than the UK needs the deal or the EU. Meanwhile, further concessions to the UK might actually jeopardize the integrity of the EU.
Brexit deal is unpalatable to the UK because its a crappier version of stay. But that is because stay is the only option that actually makes geopolitical and economic sense.
The issue is the Brexit is the default. And since no one in the UK has the political mandate to swallow deal, or force stay... its going to be no deal Brexit...
Which is literally a disaster for the UK. They might lose Scotland (and maybe Northern Ireland). London's stature as a global financial center is jeopardized as it no longer has easy access to European markets. Furthermore, once it loses its status there is no guarantee it will get it back.
Its status as a global financial center is based on its historic position at the center of an Empire that no longer exists and as an English speaking window into EU markets. Additionally, it has infrastructure to handle trade and finances built up over centuries of being one of the most powerful cities globally.
Once it loses its infrastructure as people move their trade and financial services to places like Frankfurt which will have access to the much larger EU economy, there is no reason that this infrastructure will ever return.
With no deal, the UK might be reduced to an isolated England and Wales - even Northern Ireland might want out and into the EU. A small isolated 60 million person, 2 trillion (for now) whose claim to fame is the tourist trap that is the royal family.
And so an Empire breathes its lasts gasps. Felled not but by a new young rival, war, natural disasters, or disease. No, felled by its own apathy, hubris and small mindedness. Its carcass left for its former colonies or former vassals like the US and China to pick clean.
It was not a Spanish Armada, of a German Blitz, a Soviet Nuke or climate change that felled the beast. No, it was a pig head fucker, old racist ignorant xenophobes, some internet trolls, a younger generation who couldn't be bothered to vote and finally a power court jester with wannabe Trump hair.
It is fitting the Bojo the Court Jester presides over the last rites of the end the farcical tragic comedy.